Crypto News

The postponement removes near term regulatory clarity for digital asset markets, extending the uncertainty firms have cited as a constraint on custody and product planning since the bill cleared committee in May. A September vote pushes the decision into a session already crowded with appropriations fights ahead of the November midterms, reducing the available floor time and adding execution risk to the bill's prospects for 2026 passage. Crypto-linked equities and token prices tied to regulatory outcomes may see continued volatility on headlines around the ethics provision and Democratic support, while the delay reinforces reliance on existing SEC and CFTC guidance as the only near term regulatory guardrail. Sentiment is likely to stay sensitive to any signal from Senate leadership on how much September floor time the bill will actually receive.--- Crypto's biggest legislative priority has been bumped into a September session with barely any spare floor time, leaving the industry's regulatory clarity on hold for at least another month.Summary:The Senate has postponed a floor vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act until September, missing its self-imposed deadline before the August recessThe bill passed the House in July 2025 by a 294-134 vote and was advanced by the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 in May 2026It has sat on the Senate Legislative Calendar since June 1 as Calendar No. 423, eligible for a floor vote whenever leadership chose to schedule oneSenate Majority Leader John Thune had said the bill would get a floor vote before recess, but competing priorities, including federal nominations and a Russia sanctions bill, took precedenceOutstanding disputes include an ethics provision addressing senior government officials' ties to the crypto industry, an area where the White House reached a partial agreement with lawmakers in recent weeksThe House and Senate both return for a few weeks in September, but face limited floor time before Congress breaks again for the midterm election campaignIn the absence of the bill, the industry's main regulatory guardrails remain existing SEC and CFTC guidance issued outside of Congress The US Senate has postponed a vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act until September, pushing back the crypto industry's central legislative priority as lawmakers run out of floor time before the August recess. The bill, which would establish a system for regulating digital commodities through the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, has already cleared the House and a Senate committee but has not reached a floor vote despite months on the Senate's legislative calendar.The House passed the bill in July 2025 by a 294-134 margin, with more than 70 Democrats joining nearly all Republicans in support. The Senate Banking Committee advanced its own negotiated version on May 14 this year by a 15-9 vote, with two Democrats crossing over, and the bill was formally placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar as Calendar No. 423 on June 1, making it eligible for consideration whenever Senate leadership chose to schedule floor time. Senate Majority Leader John Thune had indicated the bill would get a vote before the chamber's recess, but competing legislative priorities, including federal nominations and a Russia sanctions bill, ultimately crowded it off the agenda.A key sticking point has been an ethics provision aimed at limiting senior government officials' ability to profit from the crypto industry, a measure that has drawn scrutiny given the involvement of high profile political figures in digital asset ventures. Negotiations over that language continued into early August, with the White House engaging on a compromise proposal from lawmakers, though Democrats have signalled the current terms may not go far enough to satisfy their concerns. Other unresolved details, including provisions addressing illicit finance and agricultural commodity issues, remain under discussion as well.With the vote now pushed to September, the bill faces a narrower window than before. Both chambers return for only a few weeks that month, and floor time will compete with appropriations bills and the approach of November's midterm elections, conditions that policy analysts have said could cause the bill's prospects to deteriorate further the longer it drags on. In the meantime, the digital asset industry continues to operate under existing regulatory guidance issued directly by the SEC and CFTC, rather than the clearer statutory framework the CLARITY Act is intended to provide, a gap that firms have cited as a constraint on custody arrangements and product planning throughout 2026. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

The removal is likely to be felt most acutely among crypto traders who rely on Telegram as a primary communication and trading channel, given the app's central role in many token communities and trading groups. GRAM, the digital asset linked to the Telegram ecosystem, has already registered a modest decline on the news, reflecting some near-term uncertainty even though existing installations remain fully functional. Since new downloads and updates are frozen rather than existing access being cut off, the immediate disruption looks more operational than systemic, though a prolonged removal could pressure sentiment further if it starts to affect user growth or platform reliability on iOS. The lack of any statement from either Apple or Telegram leaves the market guessing as to whether this echoes the brief 2018 removal or reflects a more serious or lasting issue.--- Telegram has vanished from Apple's App Store worldwide without explanation, leaving existing users unaffected for now but blocking new downloads and updates.Summary:Apple has removed Telegram Messenger from the iOS App Store worldwide, preventing new installs or updates, while existing installations on iPhones continue to function normally for now.Neither Apple nor Telegram founder Pavel Durov has issued an official statement explaining the removal.Users who delete the app from their iPhone will not be able to re-download it from the App Store, and new iPhones or iPads cannot access the official Telegram client through Apple's marketplace.Updates, including bug fixes, performance improvements and security patches on iOS, are frozen until Apple restores the listing.The outage is isolated to Apple's iOS distribution; Telegram's web interface, desktop apps for macOS and Windows, and Android versions remain fully accessible.Digital assets linked to the Telegram ecosystem saw short-term price dips as news of the delisting spread across social channels.The removal poses an immediate operational risk for traders, particularly in crypto, who use Telegram as their primary hub for communication and trading updates. Apple has removed Telegram Messenger from the iOS App Store worldwide, cutting off new downloads and updates for the messaging app without offering any public explanation for the move.The removal appears to have happened quietly, with no prior warning from either company. As of early Tuesday, searches for Telegram were returning no results across Apple's App Store in multiple regions, with official app store pages showing errors rather than the usual listing. Existing installations on users' iPhones continue to function normally for now, meaning current users are not immediately locked out of the platform or their accounts.The practical restrictions, however, are significant for anyone without the app already installed, or who might delete it. Users are being warned not to uninstall Telegram from their iPhones, since doing so would leave them unable to re-download it through the App Store. Anyone setting up a new iPhone or iPad is similarly unable to fetch the official Telegram client directly from Apple's marketplace. Updates are also frozen, meaning bug fixes, performance improvements and critical security patches on iOS will not be delivered until Apple restores the listing.Notably, the disruption is confined strictly to Apple's iOS distribution channel. Telegram's web interface, its standalone desktop applications for macOS and Windows, and its Android version all remain fully accessible, meaning users on other platforms are unaffected by the removal.Neither Apple nor Telegram founder Pavel Durov has issued an official statement addressing the cause of the removal, leaving open questions about whether it reflects a policy dispute, a technical issue, or something more significant. The episode is not without precedent. Apple previously removed Telegram, along with its experimental Telegram X app, from the App Store in 2018 over concerns about inappropriate content circulating on the platform, before restoring both apps once additional safeguards were introduced. Separately, in April 2024, Apple removed Telegram alongside WhatsApp, Signal and Threads from the App Store in China specifically, at the request of Chinese internet regulators citing national security concerns, a move Apple said at the time it was legally obligated to comply with.For now, the current removal is global in scope and has come without any accompanying statement, a departure from the more targeted, explained actions Apple has taken in the past. The uncertainty has already had some market impact, with digital assets tied to the Telegram ecosystem, including the GRAM token formerly known as TON, registering short-term price declines as news of the delisting spread across social media. The disruption carries particular significance for crypto traders and community managers who rely heavily on Telegram as their primary channel for communication and trading updates, a group for whom even a temporary inability to install or update the app on iOS represents a meaningful operational risk. With the situation still developing and no official word from either company, the extent and duration of the removal remain unclear.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Ethereum price analysis today: ETH bears press $1,852, but support has not broken yetEthereum futures outlook score: -4 / +10Bias: Moderately bearish while below $1,881.50, but sellers still need confirmed acceptance beneath $1,848.50 to activate the next downside leg.Ethereum futures are trading near $1,860.50 after retreating from Sunday’s high at $1,903.50. Short-term market structure remains bearish, with failed rebounds, declining resistance and accepted value moving closer to the bottom of the recent range.However, Ethereum is now pressing a heavily defended support cluster between approximately $1,848.50 and $1,857.50. This makes the outlook more balanced than the bearish score alone may suggest.The market is weak, but it is also compressed against support. That combination can produce either a confirmed breakdown or a sharp rebound if sellers fail to extend the decline.Key takeaway: Ethereum remains bearish below $1,881.50, but selling directly into $1,852 carries poor location unless price confirms that support has failed. Bulls need to repair the structure above resistance, while bears need sustained acceptance below $1,848.50.Why the Ethereum outlook remains bearishAfter my previous analysis whereby Bitcoin's slip below the $64,940 key level following a rejection at $65,800 as active traders evaluate whether buyers can reclaim structural order flow, I am looking at geopolitics which continues to drive macro sentiment: headline risks remain elevated after renewed US-Iran conflict headlines rattled broad market sentiment, which spilled directly into Asian trading sessions where crude oil slumped following Trump's latest statements regarding Iran. Looking ahead to today's trading calendar, keeping a close eye on the key economic calendar events and scheduled risk catalysts will be critical for managing exposure across both traditional asset classes and digital assets.Back to crypto, Ethereum futures initially balanced between approximately $1,905 and $1,935 before attempting to establish higher value near $1,930-$1,943. That attempt failed.Several developments reinforce the bearish interpretation:On July 30, Ethereum futures reached $1,946 but closed near $1,921, even though buying activity was strongly positive. Buyers were aggressive, but they could not establish higher prices.Ethereum subsequently fell through the psychologically important $1,900 area and continued toward $1,852.Friday’s rebound from approximately $1,849-$1,852 reached $1,881.50, but buyers could not sustain the repair.Sunday’s reopening rally reached $1,903.50, briefly moving above the previous value-area high near $1,889, before being rejected.The current session’s accepted trading activity has migrated lower.The last point is especially important. The previous session’s value-area high was near $1,889, while the current value-area high is developing near $1,878.50. The point of control, where the most volume traded, has shifted from approximately $1,872 toward $1,860.50.This means the market is not merely dipping briefly. Traders are increasingly conducting business at lower prices.Why chasing Ethereum lower may still be dangerousThe bearish evidence is meaningful, but Ethereum has not yet established accepted value below $1,852.That area has repeatedly attracted support, and several technical references are concentrated nearby:Developing activity around $1,857.50-$1,860.50Developing and previous value-area support near $1,852-$1,854.50The July 31 structural low near $1,849Higher-timeframe support around $1,848.50The psychological $1,850 levelThe latest completed hourly sequence also showed shrinking volume and narrower price ranges after the test of $1,852. One of the heavier selling bars reached $1,852 but recovered to close at $1,858.50. The following bars did not immediately produce a fresh low.That can indicate that sellers are beginning to lose momentum or that passive buyers are absorbing market sell orders. It does not prove that a lasting bottom has formed, but it warns against assuming that every move beneath $1,860 will automatically continue lower.Repeated tests of support can have two very different outcomes. They can weaken the level until it breaks, or they can exhaust sellers and produce a reversal. Price still needs to reveal which outcome is developing.The higher-timeframe Ethereum structureThe daily chart provides an important counterweight to the short-term bearish evidence.Ethereum broke out of a broader bull-flag structure in mid-July and subsequently retested the breakout area. The current decline may still be a correction or consolidation within that larger recovery rather than the beginning of a complete structural breakdown.Daily support near $1,848.50-$1,850 is therefore highly relevant. It aligns with several earlier highs, lows and opening-price references.If this area holds, Ethereum could be completing another downward leg inside its broader July range. If it fails, the immediate intraday downside targets may be followed by a deeper higher-timeframe test near $1,788-$1,780. That region includes the previous monthly value-area low and the approximate location of the earlier bull-flag breakout.A still deeper extension could eventually bring approximately $1,766 into view, although that is not the immediate TradeCompass scenario.Ethereum bullish above $1,881.50The bullish TradeCompass threshold is $1,881.50.The current value-area high is developing near $1,878.50, but a brief move above that price may only represent a liquidity probe. The published bullish threshold includes a buffer above the resistance cluster.Acceptance above $1,881.50 would indicate that buyers are beginning to reverse the downward migration of value and repair the latest breakdown.Bullish partial-profit targets are:$1,888, just before the previous value-area high near $1,889$1,898-$1,900, ahead of Sunday’s high and the $1,900 round number$1,909-$1,911, around previous balance and resistance$1,919.50, just before the earlier $1,920.50 referenceThe bullish outlook would improve further if Ethereum sustains trade above $1,900-$1,903.50, rather than merely touching that area.Beyond the immediate TradeCompass targets, a stronger recovery through approximately $1,933-$1,935 would reopen the path toward:The previous monthly value-area high near $1,968The July 27 high at $1,981.50The psychologically important $2,000 levelThis larger bullish path remains possible, but Ethereum must first repair the local structure above $1,881.50.Ethereum bearish below $1,848.50The bearish TradeCompass threshold is $1,848.50.A small move beneath $1,852 would not necessarily be sufficient. It could become a liquidity sweep below an obvious support level, followed by a fast recovery.The cleaner bearish confirmation would involve:Sustained trade beneath $1,848.50Failure to reclaim $1,849-$1,852New high-volume activity developing beneath the broken support shelfContinued migration of accepted value to lower pricesIf the bearish scenario activates, downside areas to consider for partial profit-taking are:$1,844.50-$1,840$1,837.50-$1,833$1,822-$1,820, if selling acceleratesA rapid recovery back above $1,852 after a breakdown would warn that the move may have been a failed breakdown rather than genuine bearish acceptance.The Ethereum decision zoneWhile price remains between the two activation thresholds, Ethereum is inside a broad decision zone:Above $1,881.50: Bullish repair activates$1,872-$1,881.50: Main resistance and decision area$1,860.50-$1,872: Internal repair zone$1,852-$1,857.50: Concentrated supportBelow $1,848.50: Bearish continuation activatesInside this range, both sides remain vulnerable to false starts.Holding $1,852 does not automatically make Ethereum bullish. It initially means only that sellers have failed to extend the decline.Likewise, briefly trading beneath $1,852 does not automatically validate a short. Sellers must clear the full support cluster and establish trade beneath it.What volume delta reveals, and what it does notVolume delta compares aggressive buying with aggressive selling.Positive delta means more contracts traded at the offer, normally associated with buyers crossing the spread. Negative delta means more contracts traded at the bid, normally associated with aggressive selling.However, delta should not be interpreted in isolation.When Ethereum reached $1,946 with strongly positive delta but failed to hold the advance, it suggested that sellers were absorbing aggressive buyers. Similarly, Friday’s rebound produced strong buying activity but failed to establish a lasting recovery above $1,881.50.The latest order-flow readings remain seller-aligned, but price has not yet accepted below $1,852. This disagreement between bearish activity and defended price is precisely why confirmation matters.A personal note on scores and key price gatewaysAlthough an outlook or score may begin bullish or bearish, I place greater importance on how price later reacts at the key gateways in the trading map. These levels are not random prices. They reflect accepted value, concentrated volume, previous highs and lows, liquidity behavior, psychological prices and relationships across multiple timeframes.A bearish score should not become a permanent opinion. If Ethereum reclaims an important gateway and holds above it, the evidence can shift from bearish toward neutral or bullish. If support breaks and fails on a retest, the bearish case becomes stronger. The map helps traders update their decision support as price supplies new information.This is consistent with the investingLive TradeCompass methodology: trade the map rather than becoming attached to the initial prediction.A gateway can activate through a sustained hold, a candle close beyond the level or a breakout followed by a successful retest. A single tick above or below a threshold may not provide sufficient confirmation.How traders can approach the current Ethereum mapThe cleaner approach may be patience.Bulls can wait for acceptance above $1,881.50.Bears can wait for sustained trade below $1,848.50, ideally followed by a failed reclaim.A tactical countertrend long may become more attractive if Ethereum sweeps beneath $1,852 or $1,849, quickly recovers and then reclaims $1,860.50.A rebound that fails between $1,860.50 and $1,872 may provide bears with better location than selling directly into support.If a scenario activates and reaches its first target, traders can consider taking a partial profit and reducing risk. After the second target, protecting the remaining position becomes increasingly important. A smaller runner can then pursue a larger move without allowing the full original risk to remain open.The suggested TradeCompass discipline is a maximum of one completed trade per direction for each published map. This helps reduce repeated entries, overtrading and emotionally driven attempts after a failed setup.Ethereum outlook conclusionEthereum futures remain under bearish pressure, but the market has reached a support area that sellers have not yet broken convincingly.The lower migration of accepted value, failed rallies and rejection from $1,903.50 support the -4 / +10 score. The repeated defense of $1,849-$1,852, signs of declining hourly selling momentum and the still-relevant higher-timeframe bull-flag structure prevent a more aggressively bearish conclusion.The map is therefore conditional:Above $1,881.50, Ethereum begins a bullish repair.Below $1,848.50, bearish continuation becomes more credible.Between those gateways, price remains compressed and vulnerable to two-sided rotation.The current session profile is still developing, so its value-area and volume references may shift as more trading occurs.All prices refer to Ethereum futures and may differ from spot ETH or CFD quotations. Futures are leveraged instruments. Position size, stops, slippage and contract selection should be considered before any trade.Trade at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

In terms of 'risk on' sentiment, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing new life after testing key moving averages and getting a boost from Amazon earnings, up over 10% overnight, contrary to Apple's negative earnings reaction of apx -7% in after-hours after it reported its quarterly earnings. Crypto has been a lot less volatile. Not to mention the KOSPI, or Korea Composite Stock Price Index, the benchmark stock market index of South Korea,moving a mind blowing 14% yesterday (!) as Adam Button at investingLive notes that it is not a huge surprise given the rebounds in chip stocks yesterday but it's still unbelievable to see a national index swing like the Kospi has this week.I also found the following quite interesting in the stock market, whereby a hedge fund named Situational Awareness LP borrowed heavily (using 4x leverage) to bet big on AI infrastructure stocks, but when those stock prices fell in July, the fund ran out of money and was forced by banks to sell off all its shares. Giant investment firm Citadel stepped in to buy the fund's entire stock portfolio at once, which stopped the panic, cleared out the forced sell-off, and sparked a quick rebound in AI tech stocks. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency markets (like Bitcoin and Ethereum) remained steady and largely unbothered, demonstrating that eliminating a single forced seller in traditional stock markets doesn't automatically spill over into 24/7 crypto trading.  Now lt's dive into some bitcoin futures key price levels for today's trading map, shall we?Bitcoin price analysis today: BTC slips below $64,940 after $65,800 rejectionBitcoin futures have shifted into a moderate bearish correction after a rally to $65,800 failed and price slipped below the important $64,940-$65,000 area. Sellers retain the near-term advantage, but BTC is already testing support. A cleaner downside signal requires acceptance below $64,350, while buyers need to reclaim $64,910 and then $65,400.Bitcoin prediction score: -4 / +10Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders and investors todayShort-term bias: Moderately bearish following the rejection from $65,800.Immediate pivot:$64,940-$65,000 separates defended higher value from a deeper corrective rotation.Bullish tradeCompass threshold: Above $64,910, with stronger confirmation if buyers hold above $65,000.Bearish tradeCompass threshold: Below $64,350, opening the next downside targets.Higher-timeframe test: A daily close above $65,400 would begin repairing the correction, while acceptance above $66,075 would offer much stronger bullish evidence.Important data warning: The July 31 daily and weekly candles are still developing. The latest confirmed daily close is July 30 at $65,080.What is happening to Bitcoin today?August Bitcoin futures were trading near $64,565 at the time of this analysis after a sharp overnight reversal.Bitcoin initially rallied from approximately $65,020 to $65,800, but buyers could not sustain the move. Price quickly returned below $65,000 and fell toward the $64,375-$64,540 support area.The failure matters because it was not Bitcoin's first unsuccessful attempt to establish a stronger breakout. BTC previously reached approximately $67,095 on July 21, but the move did not produce lasting acceptance above the upper part of the July range.The daily structure subsequently shifted into a correction. The July 30 rebound was constructive, but the $65,080 close remained below the main recovery zone near $65,400. The developing July 31 candle then traded as high as $65,800 before fading sharply.I am therefore treating the latest move as another failed recovery attempt, not yet the beginning of a new bullish leg.However, this is also not a confirmed larger bear trend. Bitcoin remains close to important central support, while the broader weekly market is still trading inside a balance between approximately $63,600 and $66,075.My 4-hour Bitcoin CME Futures chart uses a Fixed Range Volume Profile to identify key price acceptance levels. The market is consolidating inside a highlighted yellow zone between two critical levels: the Point of Control (PoC) at $64,000, which represents the price level with the highest traded volume, and the Value Area High (VAH) at $65,850, marking the upper limit where 70% of volume was transacted. Trading within this range indicates market balance, with $64,000 providing solid support and $65,850 acting as overhead resistance until a directional breakout occurs.Why $64,940-$65,000 is the key Bitcoin pivotThe $64,940-$65,000 area combines two important market references:The previous month's upper value boundary near $64,940.A high-volume price area near $65,000 that has repeatedly attracted Bitcoin over the past three weeks.This makes the area more important than an ordinary round number.Above $64,940-$65,000: Buyers are defending the market's recent migration into higher value. Bitcoin could then attempt another recovery toward $65,400-$65,800.Below $64,940-$65,000: The market begins rejecting that higher-value area. This increases the probability of rotation toward $64,260 and the previous month's main high-volume price near $63,925.What this means: A high-volume price area represents a level where buyers and sellers previously conducted substantial business. Price often returns to these areas because the market has already demonstrated acceptance there.The repeated attraction toward $65,000 also carries a warning. Buyers have shown aggression, but that activity has not produced sustained price progress. This suggests that supply remains active between approximately $65,000 and $66,100.Bitcoin bullish above $64,910The bullish tradeCompass scenario becomes active above $64,910.This threshold is positioned beyond the immediate intraday resistance cluster. A 30-minute close above it, followed by continued acceptance or a successful retest, would suggest that the overnight breakdown is beginning to fail.A move above $64,910 would activate a tactical bullish scenario, but it would not fully repair the daily correction. Bitcoin would still need to overcome the more important $65,400-$65,800 resistance zone.Bullish Bitcoin partial-profit areasThe first target is close to the bullish threshold because Bitcoin would immediately encounter substantial resistance near $65,000. Reclaiming $64,910 should therefore not be interpreted as a guaranteed return to the overnight high.A failed reclaim followed by sustained trade back below approximately $64,810 would weaken the tactical bullish setup.Bitcoin bearish below $64,350The bearish tradeCompass scenario becomes active below $64,350.This level is placed below the developing support area and the overnight low near $64,375. It is intended to distinguish a genuine breakdown from a brief test or stop-run beneath visible support.A 30-minute close below $64,350, or a breakdown followed by a failed attempt to reclaim it, would provide stronger evidence that sellers are establishing acceptance at lower prices.Bearish Bitcoin partial-profit areasIf price recovers and sustains trade back above approximately $64,540 after triggering the bearish scenario, that would weaken the immediate breakdown thesis.The $63,840-$63,925 area is particularly important. It could attract price if Bitcoin remains below $64,940, but it may also produce a meaningful rebound because it represents the previous month's main area of accepted value.The practical Bitcoin tradeCompass for July 31The -4 / +10 score reflects a moderate bearish edge, not an extreme bearish condition. The failed recovery and loss of the $64,940-$65,000 pivot favor sellers, but nearby support makes chasing the decline less attractive without confirmation.What should Bitcoin investors watch beyond today's session?For investors and swing traders, the larger decision area is wider than the intraday tradeCompass.Bitcoin remains inside a higher-value weekly balance as long as it holds approximately $63,600-$63,925. That area combines an important weekly support boundary with the previous month's high-volume price.A daily close below $63,535-$63,600 would make the correction structurally more serious and raise the probability of a retest of $62,680.Acceptance below $62,680 would represent a more meaningful bearish range expansion. The next support areas would then sit around $61,865-$61,430. The previous month's lower value boundary near $59,545 would become relevant only if the correction develops considerably further.On the bullish side, a daily close above $65,400 would represent early repair. Sustained acceptance above $66,075 would provide the stronger signal because it would show that buyers are finally moving Bitcoin beyond the recent balance.The next upside tests would then be $67,095 and approximately $67,360.What many Bitcoin traders may get wrongThe rejection from $65,800 is bearish information, but it does not mean every price below $65,000 offers an equally attractive short.Bitcoin has already fallen more than $1,400 from the overnight high and is testing the lower part of today's developing value. Selling directly into support can leave traders exposed to a sharp rebound toward $64,940-$65,080.The same warning applies to buyers. A bounce from $64,375-$64,540 would not, by itself, reverse the correction. Buyers still need to reclaim the resistance overhead and prove that price can remain there.This is why the area between $64,350 and $64,910 is best treated as a decision zone. Inside it, price may rotate in both directions without producing reliable follow-through.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validThis map remains most useful while Bitcoin futures are reacting around the published thresholds.If price is still between $64,350 and $64,910, the market remains in the decision zone.If Bitcoin has accepted above $64,910, use the upside areas to judge progress rather than chasing after several targets have already traded.If price has accepted below $64,350, the bearish targets become relevant.If Bitcoin has moved substantially beyond the final intraday target, a new market map is needed.Because the daily and weekly candles are unfinished, their closes may materially change the higher-timeframe interpretation.Managing risk around the Bitcoin decision zoneThe tradeCompass is a scenario map, not a requirement to trade. Traders can wait for acceptance, a candle close or a successful retest before treating either threshold as activated.Consider taking partial profits at the published reaction areas and reducing remaining risk after the first or second target. Under the suggested tradeCompass discipline, traders should take no more than one completed trade in each direction from the same published map.For more context on threshold confirmation, decision zones and partial-profit management, read how traders can use the investingLive tradeCompass market map.This analysis refers primarily to the August 2026 Bitcoin futures contract. Bitcoin spot, perpetual contracts, CFDs and other futures contracts may trade at different prices. Traders should transfer the market logic to their own chart rather than copying the futures levels mechanically.Trade at your own risk. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin analysis today after the Fed: BTC futures trade near a two-way decision zoneBitcoin futures experienced a volatile reaction following the Federal Reserve decision, but the initial price swings did not produce a lasting directional breakout.The July Bitcoin futures contract first surged from below $64,000 to approximately $64,720, before reversing sharply toward $63,335. Buyers subsequently repaired much of that decline, although the recovery stalled near $64,405.At the time of this analysis, Bitcoin futures are trading near $64,075, close to today's developing VWAP. That leaves BTC in a difficult location for intraday traders, where price can still move convincingly in either direction.This is a pure tradeCompass article without a prediction score. Its main purpose is to map the confirmation levels and practical partial-profit areas available from the last two trading sessions.Key takeaway: Bitcoin futures remain vulnerable to two-way rotation while trading between $63,920 and $64,375. Acceptance above $64,375 would favor another recovery, while a sustained break below $63,920 would place sellers back in control.This 4-hour Bitcoin chart is sitting at a key decision point, balancing right on top of crucial support.The Key TechnicalsThe Purple Line (Anchored VWAP): Tracks the volume-weighted average price starting from July's low. It acts as the line in the sand for buyers.The Downward Channel (Pitchfork): Highlights the recent pullback. If price breaks out to the upside, this turns into a classic bull flag pattern.What to WatchThe Battleground ($63,500): Price is hovering right around this level.The Bullish Path: As long as buyers defend $63,500 and keep price above the purple line, they hold the advantage. A push out of the blue channel would confirm the bull flag and open the door for a rally.The Bearish Path: If sellers step in and force a 4-hour candle close below $63,500, support gives way, likely setting up a slip toward $61,900.So Buyers have the slight upper hand for now, but a decisive 4-hour move past $63,500 sets the direction for the rest of the week.These levels refer to Bitcoin futuresThis analysis refers to the July 2026 Bitcoin futures contract, not the Bitcoin spot price.Futures may trade at a premium or discount to spot Bitcoin. Traders using a spot exchange, CFD or another futures contract should apply the underlying technical logic to their own chart rather than copying these prices mechanically.What the post-Fed price action tells tradersThe Fed-related volatility produced a rally, a sharp rejection and then another recovery. That sequence left several important references on both sides of the current price.Today's developing VWAP is close to $64,050, while the developing value area extends approximately from $63,950 to $64,360. The developing point of control, where the greatest amount of business has taken place, is around $64,320.The previous session adds another layer:Previous value area low near $63,925Previous point of control near $64,475Previous value area high near $64,715Price is therefore near fair value rather than at a clear directional extreme. Buying directly below the developing point of control offers limited immediate room, while selling close to overlapping value-area support also produces an unattractive location.The cleaner approach is to wait for Bitcoin to leave the current balance area.Bitcoin bullish above $64,375The bullish tradeCompass becomes active above $64,375.This threshold is positioned above today's developing value area high and the overnight recovery high near $64,405. A sustained move above this region would indicate that buyers are establishing acceptance above today's value rather than merely rotating around VWAP.A 30-minute close above the threshold or a breakout followed by a successful retest would provide stronger confirmation than a brief price spike.Bullish partial-profit targets$64,455: The first target is placed just before the previous session's point of control near $64,475. This high-volume area could attract price, but it could also interrupt the rally.$64,680: The second target sits ahead of the previous session's value area high near $64,715.$64,735: The third target is positioned before the recent intraday highs around $64,745-$64,755.$65,080: This is a deeper upside target based on the next meaningful resistance area above the two-session value structure. It becomes relevant only if buyers establish acceptance above $64,755.The first three targets represent the more realistic intraday profit-taking map. A move toward $65,080 would require a genuine expansion beyond the post-Fed range.Bitcoin bearish below $63,920The bearish tradeCompass becomes active below $63,920.This threshold sits beneath the overlapping value-area lows from the last two sessions. Acceptance below it would indicate that Bitcoin is leaving established value rather than continuing to rotate near VWAP.Because round numbers can attract liquidity probes, traders may prefer a 30-minute close below $63,920 or a failed attempt to reclaim the level from underneath.Bearish partial-profit targets$63,820: The first target is positioned just above the overnight reaction low near $63,805.$63,680: The second target is kept above the nearby support and reaction area around $63,650.$63,575: The third target is placed before the post-Fed downside region around $63,555.$63,375: The fourth target sits ahead of the more important recent low near $63,335.A sustained break below $63,335 would represent a more substantial bearish development. It could open the door toward the earlier low near $62,680, but that is a wider expansion scenario rather than a routine intraday target.The practical Bitcoin tradeCompassWhy the point of control mattersThe point of control is the price at which the most trading activity occurred during the measured session. It can be viewed as an area where buyers and sellers previously agreed on fair value.That does not mean it must act as support or resistance. However, price often slows, rotates or becomes less directional when it returns to a point of control.For bullish traders, this is why the first upside target is placed just before the previous session's point of control near $64,475. The objective is to improve the probability of taking some profit before Bitcoin reaches an obvious area where rotation could begin.Managing partial profits after a volatile Fed reactionPost-Fed markets can reverse quickly, especially when price remains close to VWAP and overlapping value areas.After TP1 is reached, traders should consider reducing risk. After TP2, moving the stop to entry or otherwise protecting the remaining position becomes increasingly reasonable.A smaller runner can then be left open for the more ambitious targets, but a profitable trade should not be allowed to become a full loss following another sharp reversal.The developing VWAP, point of control and value-area boundaries may continue to move as more volume trades. Traders should remain flexible if Bitcoin begins establishing value materially above or below the current range.Trade at your own risk. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin price analysis today: BTC futures trapped in a two-way decision zoneBitcoin futures remain neutral between $64,940 and $65,380, where nearby support and resistance increase the risk of whipsaws. Acceptance above $65,380 would give buyers a clearer intraday advantage, while sustained trade below $64,940 would strengthen the bearish case.Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders todayCurrent market state: Neutral and vulnerable to false breakouts Bullish above:$65,380Bullish targets:$65,480, $65,610, $65,730 and $65,870Bearish below:$64,940Bearish targets:$64,880, $64,735 and $64,670Deeper bearish target:$64,190Neutral decision zone:$64,940-$65,380This is a pure investingLive tradeCompass analysis without a prediction score. The objective is not to force a Bitcoin price forecast while the market is balanced. It is to map where buyers or sellers may gain a clearer advantage and where partial profit-taking could become reasonable.Important: These levels refer to Bitcoin futuresThe prices in this analysis refer to the July 2026 Bitcoin futures contract, not spot Bitcoin.Bitcoin futures can trade at a premium or discount to the spot price. Traders using a spot exchange, CFD, perpetual contract or a different futures expiration should apply the technical logic to their own chart instead of copying the prices mechanically.The important information is not only the exact number. It is how price behaves around the corresponding support, resistance and balance areas on the instrument being traded.Why is Bitcoin in a difficult intraday location?Bitcoin futures recently rallied to approximately $65,895, but buyers could not sustain the move. Price subsequently retreated toward the lower portion of today’s developing value area.What I see now is conflicting evidence: Bitcoin remains below today’s developing VWAP, giving sellers a modest short-term advantage. Price is already approaching the lower edge of accepted value, making a late short less attractive. Previous-session support remains nearby, including an important high-volume reference around $64,860. Buyers have not reclaimed the VWAP area or repaired the rejection from almost $65,900. This creates an awkward location for both sides.Buying blindly near support means trading against the current position below VWAP. Shorting directly into support means accepting limited room before the market reaches an area where buyers may respond.Confirmation is therefore more valuable than prediction.What is today’s Bitcoin tradeCompass?The tradeCompass uses one bullish threshold, one bearish threshold and a decision zone between them. Above the bullish threshold, buyers have stronger evidence of control. Below the bearish threshold, sellers have the clearer case. Between the thresholds, the market remains vulnerable to rotation, failed breakouts and rapid changes of direction. For today’s Bitcoin futures analysis:Bullish threshold:$65,380Bearish threshold:$64,940Decision zone:$64,940-$65,380This does not mean every move beyond a threshold should be traded. A brief wick can be a liquidity probe. Traders can look for a candle close, sustained trading beyond the level or a breakout followed by a successful retest.Bitcoin bullish above $65,380The bullish tradeCompass becomes active above $65,380.This threshold requires Bitcoin futures to reclaim the developing VWAP area and move above nearby resistance inherited from the previous session.A 30-minute close above the level could provide confirmation. Another possibility is a breakout followed by a pullback that holds $65,380 as support.A momentary trade above the threshold, followed by an immediate return into the decision zone, would be weaker evidence. That could represent a false breakout rather than genuine upside acceptance.Bitcoin bullish partial-profit targetsFirst bullish target: $65,480This target is positioned just before today’s developing point of control around $65,495. Price may slow or rotate where considerable trading activity has already occurred.Second bullish target: $65,610This target sits just below the developing value area high near $65,625, another location where sellers could initially respond.Third bullish target: $65,730This target is placed ahead of earlier intraday resistance around $65,750.Fourth bullish target: $65,870The final listed target is positioned before the overnight high near $65,895. Taking some profit before an obvious prior high can improve the probability of execution.A sustained breakout above $65,895 could signal a wider upside expansion. Traders should still look for acceptance above the high rather than assuming that the previous rejection has been fully repaired.Bitcoin bearish below $64,940The bearish tradeCompass becomes active below $64,940.This threshold sits beneath today’s lower value-area region and recent reaction lows. Acceptance below it would suggest that Bitcoin is leaving the current balance rather than continuing to rotate around $65,000.A 30-minute close below $64,940 could support the bearish case. A breakdown followed by a failed retest from underneath may provide even clearer evidence that former support has become resistance.A quick sweep below $64,940, followed by an immediate recovery into the decision zone, would be a warning against chasing the breakdown.Bitcoin bearish partial-profit targetsFirst bearish target: $64,880The first target is positioned just above the previous session’s point of control near $64,860. This is close enough to the bearish trigger that active traders should manage expectations carefully.Second bearish target: $64,735This target is placed ahead of the previous session’s value area low near $64,710.Third bearish target: $64,670The third target sits just above the recent session low around $64,650, where buyers may attempt another defense.Deeper bearish target: $64,190This expansion target is positioned before major support around $64,160. It becomes relevant only if sellers establish acceptance below the $64,650-$64,670 region.The first three targets are designed for routine intraday partial-profit management. The deeper $64,190 target requires a more decisive breakdown and should not be treated as inevitable.Why trading below VWAP is not automatically a short signalVWAP represents the average price paid during the session, weighted by trading volume.Trading below VWAP is bearish information because the market is operating below that average. It is not, by itself, sufficient reason to enter a short position.Location also matters.Bitcoin futures are below the developing VWAP but close to lower-value and previous-session support. Selling directly into those references could leave limited downside before the first meaningful bounce risk.The opposite principle applies to buyers. Being near support does not automatically justify a long while Bitcoin remains below VWAP and the rejection from almost $65,900 has not been repaired.A technical indicator should be interpreted within the surrounding market structure. It should not replace it.What does price acceptance mean?Acceptance means the market does more than briefly touch or cross a level.Evidence of acceptance can include: Price remaining beyond the level for a meaningful period A candle closing beyond the threshold A breakout followed by a successful retest Former resistance beginning to act as support Former support beginning to act as resistance This distinction is especially important in Bitcoin because the market trades around the clock and frequently moves through obvious highs or lows before reversing.A wick beyond $65,380 is not necessarily a successful bullish breakout. A wick below $64,940 is not necessarily a confirmed bearish breakdown.Why does the neutral Bitcoin zone carry extra risk?Inside $64,940-$65,380, Bitcoin can continue rotating around VWAP, the developing point of control and nearby high-volume areas.This creates several risks: A breakout can quickly fail. Traders may enter after much of a short-term move has already occurred. Stops can be triggered on both sides of the range. The distance to the next opposing level may offer poor reward relative to risk. Repeated entries can turn normal market noise into unnecessary losses. Sometimes the most useful trading decision is to recognize that the market has not yet provided a meaningful directional advantage.The neutral zone is not unimportant. It is the area where traders can observe which side is gradually gaining control without feeling compelled to predict every candle.How can traders manage partial profits in a fast Bitcoin market?This map is designed around scaling out rather than holding the entire position for one distant target.A practical approach could be: Take an initial partial profit at TP1. Reduce risk further if TP2 is reached. Consider protecting the remaining position at entry or behind updated market structure. Leave a smaller runner for TP3 or TP4 only if price continues showing acceptance in the trade direction. Partial profit-taking does not imply that Bitcoin must reverse at every target. It recognizes that known reference areas can produce reactions.This approach can reduce the emotional pressure of deciding between closing everything too early and holding the entire position through a sharp reversal.Why the distance to the first target mattersThe bearish trigger at $64,940 has an initial target at $64,880, a relatively narrow distance.That makes execution costs, slippage and confirmation especially important. A trader who waits for extensive confirmation may find that much of the move toward TP1 has already occurred.The educational lesson is that a technically valid direction does not automatically create an attractive trade. The distance between entry, invalidation and the next realistic target must still justify the risk.If confirmation comes late, allowing the setup to pass may be more disciplined than chasing it.How should spot Bitcoin traders use these futures levels?Spot Bitcoin traders should first compare the futures chart with the price on their own exchange.For example, if futures trade at a premium to spot Bitcoin, the equivalent spot resistance may appear below $65,380. The size of that difference can also change during the day.A practical process is: Identify the relevant futures threshold. Compare the futures and spot prices at the same moment. Locate the equivalent structure on the spot chart. Watch how spot price behaves around its own corresponding zone. Use the prices from the instrument actually being traded for execution and risk management. This preserves the analytical value of the futures map without creating false precision for another market.When does this Bitcoin analysis become outdated?Today’s VWAP, point of control and value-area boundaries are still developing. They can move as more volume trades.The map should be reassessed if: Bitcoin establishes price well above $65,895 Bitcoin accepts below the $64,650 region and begins expanding lower The developing VWAP or value structure migrates materially The July futures contract no longer reflects the instrument being traded A major market event produces a structural repricing Technical analysis is a map built from the information available now. It should change when the market provides important new evidence.Practical Bitcoin outlook for traders todayWhat I see is a Bitcoin futures market caught between nearby support and unresolved resistance.Sellers have a modest advantage while price remains below the developing VWAP, but the market is too close to support to make a late short especially attractive. Buyers have nearby support to work with, but they have not repaired the rejection from almost $65,900.The practical map is:Above $65,380: Buyers gain the clearer intraday advantage. Between $64,940 and $65,380: Bitcoin remains neutral and vulnerable to whipsaws. Below $64,940: The bearish intraday case strengthens. Below $64,650: The deeper bearish target near $64,190 becomes more relevant. Above $65,895: Bitcoin may begin a broader upside expansion, provided the breakout holds. The important lesson is not to become permanently bullish or bearish. It is to recognize what evidence the market would need to present before either view deserves greater confidence.Trade at your own risk. This analysis is intended for education and market research and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto markets are volatile, and traders should use their own confirmation method, position sizing and risk controls. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin futures technical analysis: A two-way intraday tradeCompassBitcoin futures are trading in a tricky intraday location, close to today’s developing VWAP and an important high-volume decision area. With geopolitical headlines continuing to drive short-term sentiment across macro and crypto markets, the focus is not on predicting the next large move. Instead, this tradeCompass identifies when buyers or sellers may be gaining control and where intraday traders may consider taking partial profits.This analysis refers to the July Bitcoin futures contract, not the Bitcoin spot price. Futures can trade at a premium or discount to spot, so traders should apply these levels only to the relevant futures chart.Geopolitical headlines remain a risk for crypto tradersGeopolitical developments continue to dictate short-term sentiment across commodities, broader risk markets and cryptocurrencies.As Giuseppe Dellamotta at investingLive highlighted, gold remains under pressure near its monthly lows as markets assess the inflation risks associated with the US-Iran conflict. Persistent selling along the downward trendline keeps potential downside targets toward $3,885 in view unless a clearer de-escalation develops.Energy markets received a temporary breather after Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei indicated that communication channels remain open. The resulting headline optimism helped crude oil prices ease slightly following their recent strength.However, Justin Low at investingLive cautioned that active traders should not interpret diplomatic dialogue as evidence of a lasting truce. Iran’s non-negotiable position concerning the Strait of Hormuz suggests that negotiations could also serve as a tactic to gain time, leaving the geopolitical risk premium elevated.This backdrop matters for Bitcoin because renewed escalation can quickly affect inflation expectations, the US dollar, bond yields and general risk appetite. Crypto traders should therefore remain prepared for sudden volatility that overrides nearby technical levels, particularly around breaking geopolitical headlines.As I mentiond last week, Ethereum futures did provide a similar picture of cautious consolidation. They were trading near the $1,785 to $1,790 VWAP cluster, an area representing dense short-term fair value. A sequence of higher lows gives buyers a mild structural advantage, but sustained hourly acceptance above $1,813 would be needed to support a more convincing bullish expansion. A breakdown below $1,739 would instead return control to sellers, with $1,717 becoming a potential downside objective.Against this uncertain backdrop, Bitcoin futures are also sitting in a location where confirmation matters more than prediction.Bitcoin spot chart offers a mildly bullish signalThe BTC/USD spot chart adds a mildly bullish perspective. Price is trending within an upward-sloping pitchfork, which acts as a dynamic price channel. A pitchfork uses three anchor points to project a median line and parallel boundaries. Traders watch whether price continues making progress inside the channel, reacts around the median line, or breaks one of its outer boundaries. As long as Bitcoin respects this rising structure, buyers retain a modest technical advantage.The three purple lines represent July’s developing monthly value area:Monthly value area high: The upper boundary of the price range containing most of July’s trading activity. Sustained acceptance above it can indicate that buyers are establishing value at higher prices. Monthly point of control: The price where the most activity has occurred since the start of July. Because many participants have traded there, it can act as support, resistance or a magnet when the market is undecided. Monthly value area low: The lower boundary of the month’s main trading area. Holding above it preserves the broader balance, while acceptance below it can signal that sellers are pushing the market into lower value. A value area typically contains approximately 70% of the volume traded during the selected period, depending on the chart settings. The important concept is not whether price briefly crosses one of these levels, but whether it becomes accepted above or below it. Repeated closes and continued trading beyond a boundary carry more weight than a temporary wick.For now, Bitcoin remains within the rising pitchfork and above July’s monthly POC, leaving the bulls with a slight upper hand. If price begins to sustain below the monthly POC, that advantage would weaken and sellers could start targeting the lower portion of the monthly value area.Bitcoin futures are near a two-way decision zoneAt the time of analysis, Bitcoin futures were trading near $64,700 after briefly rallying to approximately $65,160 and retreating.Today’s developing point of control is around $64,760, while the developing VWAP is also nearby. That concentration of references makes the immediate area vulnerable to rotation, failed breakouts and repeated whipsaws.Rather than forcing a directional opinion, the tradeCompass uses two confirmation levels:Bullish above $64,810Bearish below $64,590Neutral and vulnerable to whipsaws between those levelsTraders seeking stronger confirmation can wait for a 30-minute candle to close beyond the relevant threshold or for a breakout followed by a successful retest.Bullish above $64,810Bitcoin futures become more attractive to intraday buyers above $64,810, particularly if price reclaims the developing point of control and holds above it.That would indicate that the recent rejection from above $65,000 is being repaired and that buyers are beginning to establish control above the current fair-value area.Bullish partial-profit targets$64,970: The first target is positioned just before the psychological $65,000 level, where traders may naturally take profits. $65,140: The second target sits just below today’s developing value area high near $65,170. $65,285: The third target is placed before the upper VWAP band and nearby resistance around $65,300. A sustained move above $65,300 could open the door to further upside. However, the chart currently provides fewer reliable intraday references beyond that area. Traders retaining a runner may therefore prefer to manage it with a trailing stop rather than selecting an arbitrary fixed target.Bearish below $64,590Bitcoin futures become more attractive to intraday sellers below $64,590.A sustained break would represent a clearer loss of the developing VWAP area. It would suggest that the market is moving away from its current balance rather than merely rotating around fair value.Bearish partial-profit targets$64,500: The first target is kept just above today’s developing value area low near $64,470. $64,250: A nearby support and consolidation area formed during today’s recovery. $64,165: Positioned before the previous session’s value-area reference around $64,135. $64,090: Placed ahead of the previous session’s VWAP close near $64,060. $63,860: A deeper target just above today’s overnight low around $63,820. If $63,820 breaks with acceptance, the downside move could expand. That would represent a new phase of price discovery rather than a routine intraday rotation around VWAP.The practical Bitcoin tradeCompass mapManaging a Bitcoin trade around VWAPThis is primarily a partial-profit map. Bitcoin futures can reverse quickly around VWAP, the point of control and value-area boundaries, particularly when geopolitical headlines are capable of changing market sentiment without warning.After TP1 is reached, and certainly after TP2, traders may consider moving the stop to entry or reducing risk aggressively. A runner can then be retained for a larger move, but a profitable position should not be allowed to become a full loss following a sharp reversal.It is also important to distinguish between a temporary break and market acceptance. A brief move beyond a threshold can be a liquidity sweep. Holding beyond the level, building volume there or successfully retesting it provides stronger evidence that control has genuinely shifted.The developing VWAP, point of control and value area can move as additional volume trades during the session. The levels above provide the decision map, but traders should continue monitoring those developing references alongside geopolitical headlines.Trade at your own risk. This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan for FinanceMagnates.com at investinglive.com.

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Is Near Fair Value as $1,813 and $1,739 Define the Next BreakoutEthereum futures are consolidating near a dense $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster. Higher lows give buyers a slight advantage, but sustained hourly acceptance above $1,813 is needed to confirm a bullish breakout, while acceptance below $1,739 would put sellers in control.Ethereum prediction score: +2 / +10Ethereum futures were trading near $1,790 when this analysis was prepared, close to an area the market has repeatedly treated as fair value.The short-term structure leans slightly bullish because ETH has formed a series of higher lows and recovered from its recent decline toward $1,750. However, the market has not produced a corresponding series of higher highs.That means Ethereum is still consolidating rather than trending decisively higher. The current location near the center of the range is also less attractive for chasing either direction.What is the current Ethereum futures range?Across the full visible chart, Ethereum futures have traded between approximately $1,715 and $1,850.However, most of the recent volume has been concentrated inside a narrower range:$1,813: July 7 value area high and major bullish breakout boundary $1,739: July 9 value area low and major bearish breakdown boundary ETH is trading above the midpoint of this volume-defined range, which provides some encouragement for bulls. But price remains inside an established area of balance.This distinction matters. A market can have a mild directional lean without offering a high-quality directional entry from its current location.Why is the $1,785-$1,790 area important for ETH?Several session VWAP references have converged around the current Ethereum price:Today’s developing VWAP: Approximately $1,785 Yesterday’s closing VWAP: Approximately $1,785 July 7 VWAP: Approximately $1,788 July 10 VWAP: Approximately $1,790 VWAP is the average traded price of an instrument during a selected period, weighted by volume. It gives greater influence to prices where more trading activity occurred.When several session VWAPs cluster within a narrow area, they can identify a price zone where buyers and sellers have repeatedly found balance. In this case, the $1,785-$1,790 cluster represents recent market fair value, not Ethereum’s fundamental or intrinsic value.Fair-value areas often produce: Two-way trading Overlapping candles Frequent returns toward the average Failed attempts to establish momentum For that reason, initiating an aggressive directional position near $1,785-$1,790 may offer a weaker risk-to-reward profile than trading closer to the range boundaries or after a confirmed breakout.Traders already short from higher prices could consider reducing exposure around this cluster. The same principle applies to traders who entered long substantially lower, as ETH has returned to an area where the market has repeatedly found equilibrium.Do Ethereum’s higher lows favor a bullish breakout?Yesterday’s low near $1,750 was higher than the important lows recorded during the July 8, July 9 and July 10 sessions.This sequence of higher lows suggests sellers are having increasing difficulty forcing ETH back into the lower part of the range. It is an early sign of improving demand, but it is not yet confirmation of a bullish trend.Higher lows become more meaningful when they are followed by higher highs. Until that happens, the structure may simply reflect compression inside the existing range.Buyers have improved their position, but they have not yet established control.What would confirm the next larger Ethereum move?The principal upside boundary is approximately $1,813, near the July 7 value area high.A brief move above $1,813 would not necessarily confirm a breakout. Crypto futures frequently trade beyond obvious resistance levels to access liquidity before returning to the previous range.One practical confirmation filter would be at least two or three consecutive hourly closes above $1,813. This would provide stronger evidence of acceptance above resistance rather than a temporary price excursion.The equivalent bearish confirmation would be two or three consecutive hourly closes below $1,739, the July 9 value area low.These closing requirements are confirmation filters, not guarantees. They reduce some false-breakout risk, but they may also produce a later entry after part of the move has already occurred.The broader directional map is:Bullish breakout: Sustained hourly acceptance above $1,813 Bearish breakdown: Sustained hourly acceptance below $1,739 Continued consolidation: Trade remains between $1,739 and $1,813 What is the tactical bullish Ethereum trade map?Using the tradeCompass framework, ETH becomes tactically bullish above approximately $1,795, with better confirmation if price can establish itself above the psychological $1,800 level.Potential bullish profit-management levels include:$1,794: Initial partial consideration for existing longs entered lower $1,806: Beyond the $1,800 liquidity area and before resistance near $1,807-$1,808 $1,812: Immediately before the major $1,813 range boundary $1,827: Potential objective following confirmed acceptance above $1,813 $1,848-$1,850: Broader range-high objective if a genuine breakout develops The $1,806 level is positioned beyond the obvious $1,800 round number because price may briefly sweep liquidity around $1,800 before testing the next chart reference.This is a conditional map rather than a prediction that ETH must reach every target. If price fails to hold above $1,795 and returns beneath the VWAP cluster, the tactical bullish case weakens.What is the tactical bearish Ethereum trade map?A move back below the $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster would provide the first sign of renewed weakness. A more meaningful tactical bearish signal appears below approximately $1,782.Potential bearish profit-management levels include:$1,778: Nearby first reduction level $1,767: Most important initial downside target $1,755: Recent reaction area $1,741: Positioned just before the major $1,739 range boundary $1,717: Potential objective only after confirmed acceptance below $1,739 The $1,767 area is particularly important because it combines several previous market references: Yesterday’s value area low The July 9 session high The July 6 value area low This convergence may attract buyers or encourage short sellers to take profits. Traders holding shorts from higher prices could therefore consider reducing at least part of the position as ETH approaches $1,767.Why can partial profit-taking help inside a range?Since July 6, Ethereum futures have repeatedly moved between support and resistance without sustaining a larger breakout. This creates range inertia, where the market has a tendency to rotate back toward previously accepted prices.Every range eventually breaks, but several unsuccessful breakout attempts may occur before the decisive move develops.That makes partial profit-taking particularly relevant. One possible approach is to: Reduce part of the position at the first meaningful target. Tighten the stop or move it closer to the entry price. Retain a smaller position in case the larger breakout develops. After the first target is reached, and especially after a second target, traders should consider reducing the remaining risk. A profitable range trade does not need to become a full loss while waiting for a less frequent extended move.Ethereum futures levels to watchRecent fair-value zone: $1,785-$1,790 An area of balance where two-way trading may continue. Tactical bullish threshold: $1,795 Holding above this level would represent an early improvement for buyers. Psychological confirmation: $1,800 Establishing above the round number would strengthen the short-term bullish structure. Major bullish boundary: $1,813 The larger breakout case requires sustained hourly acceptance above this level. Tactical bearish threshold: $1,782 A move below this level would indicate deterioration in the short-term structure. Important bearish target: $1,767 A confluence area where short sellers may consider reducing exposure. Major bearish boundary: $1,739 The larger bearish breakdown requires sustained hourly acceptance below this level.Ethereum tradeCompass summaryEthereum futures remain in consolidation with a slight bullish lean. Higher lows suggest improving demand, but the absence of higher highs means buyers have not yet confirmed a new upward trend.The $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster represents recent fair value and may continue to attract two-way trade. The clearer directional signals would come from sustained acceptance above $1,813 or below $1,739.This analysis will expire as price and volume develop, but the underlying lessons remain useful. VWAP clusters can help identify balance, range boundaries can define directional confirmation, and partial profit-taking can help manage the repeated reversals that often occur before a range finally breaks.Ethereum futures and spot ETH prices may differ slightly across exchanges and trading venues. Trade only with risk you can afford to take, and conduct your own research. This analysis is for educational purposes only.Crypto traders, after reading the above at investingLive.com, see if you can answer these key questions: What are the key Ethereum support and resistance levels? What would confirm an Ethereum price breakout? Why is the $1,785-$1,790 ETH area important? How can VWAP help traders analyze Ethereum futures? This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Futures Confirm Short-Term Bullish Acceptance Above 64,115Bitcoin futures have shifted from a breakout test to short-term bullish acceptance. The latest move carried price from approximately 63,100 to 64,710, with BTC futures now near 64,620. The key question is whether buyers can defend 64,517-64,615 without forcing a late chase near the upper intraday range.Key takeaways from today’s Bitcoin futures analysisShort-term bias: Constructive, with a prediction score of +4/10. Confirmed development: The prior 64,115 continuation trigger has been reclaimed and confirmed. Immediate pivot: Buyers need to defend 64,517-64,615. Upside test: The first breakout high is 64,710, followed by 64,850-65,000. Main risk: A confirmed 30-minute move below 64,250 would weaken the bullish structure. This analysis is based on Bitcoin futures, not spot BTC. Spot Bitcoin, perpetual contracts and other crypto products may trade at slightly different prices.What changed in the Bitcoin price analysis?The earlier Bitcoin futures structure was based on a breakout test. Price had moved higher, but the market had not yet shown enough evidence that buyers could hold the reclaimed levels.That has now improved.BTC futures moved from roughly 63,100 to 64,710, reclaimed the prior 64,115 continuation level and is holding above two important current profile references near 64,517 and 64,615.In practical terms, the market has moved from asking whether buyers can break higher to asking whether they can defend the new higher-value area.The old 62,450 failed-breakout line remains relevant as a much deeper structural warning, but it is no longer the immediate decision level for this intraday setup.What does the +4/10 Bitcoin futures score mean?The current prediction score is +4/10.This indicates a short-term bullish edge, but not an unlimited upside signal. Price has already made a substantial move and is now trading close to the upper band of the 30-minute structure. That makes the market constructive, but also increases the risk of entering after the most favorable part of the move has already happened.The score is a snapshot of the current market structure. It is not a probability, a guarantee or an instruction to buy Bitcoin futures.Bitcoin futures bullish and bearish thresholdsThis update uses the investingLive tradeCompass framework. It is a decision map built around a bullish threshold, a bearish threshold and the decision zone between them.What this means: Acceptance is more than a brief move through a price. It means buyers can hold above the level, defend a pullback and prevent price from immediately falling back into the previous range.What are the key Bitcoin support and resistance levels?The 64,615 level is particularly important because it separates a successful retest from a possible failed breakout. If price holds above it, buyers retain control of the short-term structure. If price repeatedly rejects it after a move above, the market may be losing momentum.What does the Bitcoin illustrative scenario show?I shared the chart below in some social media groups a few hours ago, and someone asked whether the timing drawn on the chart also has meaning.That is a fair question, because market forecasts involve two separate challenges: estimating price and estimating timing. Forecasting both accurately is extremely difficult.In this case, the chart is primarily a price-path illustration. It shows a potential bullish flag developing inside the broader Bitcoin structure, with a possible upside path toward approximately $95,000. If Bitcoin remains constructive and enough time is allowed for the pattern to develop, I can also see a possible extension toward the $102,000 area.However, the projected path should not be interpreted as a calendar forecast. The arrows show one possible sequence of price behavior, not a claim that Bitcoin will reach each level on a specific date or within a specific number of days.Is this Bitcoin chart a trading plan?No. This is an illustrative scenario, not a work plan or a standalone trading signal.A bull flag is a period of consolidation that can sometimes resolve higher after an earlier decline or recovery attempt. For the pattern to become more credible, Bitcoin would need to continue respecting the structure, break above important resistance and show acceptance rather than only producing a brief spike.The chart is therefore something to watch, not something to follow blindly.My more detailed Bitcoin futures map uses specific support, resistance, entry and invalidation levels. Other maps can also matter, including volume profile, VWAP, liquidity areas and order flow. The chart shown here is a broader visual scenario with less price-level resolution. It is one angle of analysis, not the only map available.The important question is how price reacts: If Bitcoin continues to respect the structure and eventually accepts above the relevant resistance, the bullish scenario becomes more credible. If price cuts lower through the structure and fails to reclaim it, the map needs to be updated. If this scenario stops working, that does not automatically mean Bitcoin must become bearish. It means I would look at other market maps and reassess the evidence. Timing can matter for futures traders because entries, stops and holding periods are important. It matters even more for options traders because options lose time value as expiration approaches. But for this Bitcoin futures illustration, the main purpose is to identify a possible price structure and define what would confirm or weaken it.My above chart is best understood as a possible roadmap, not a promise. Markets can follow the general idea while taking a different route, moving more slowly, moving faster or invalidating the structure entirely. The value comes from monitoring whether price continues to respond well to the map and updating the view when the evidence changes.What is the preferred bullish Bitcoin futures setup?I would avoid chasing BTC futures near 64,620 after the sharp move from the lower 63,000 area.The preferred bullish scenario is a controlled pullback into 64,520-64,615, followed by evidence that buyers are still defending the reclaimed structure.Potential long scenarioEntry area:64,520-64,615Condition: Price holds above 64,517 and reclaims or continues to defend 64,615Invalidation: Below approximately 64,390First target:64,710Second target:64,850-65,000A deeper bullish setup could develop around 64,250-64,350 if price pulls back further but remains supported. That scenario would be weakened materially below 64,000.The important distinction is between buying a controlled retest and buying after a vertical extension. A retest gives traders a defined level to monitor and a clearer point at which the idea is no longer working.When could a Bitcoin futures short become attractive?A short is not attractive simply because BTC futures are trading near 64,600. Strong markets can remain elevated longer than expected, and resistance alone does not prove that sellers are taking control.The bearish setup would require a more specific sequence: BTC futures reject the 64,700-64,800 area. Price closes back below 64,615 on the 30-minute chart. A failed retest of 64,615 follows from below. Potential short scenarioPossible entry area:64,580-64,620, only after the rejection and failed retest sequence Invalidation: Above approximately 64,830First target:64,517Second target:64,250Third target:64,000-63,935This is a conditional short setup. Without the rejection and failed retest, selling into the current bullish structure would carry a higher risk of being caught in continued upside momentum.Why is chasing the Bitcoin breakout risky here?BTC futures have already moved substantially from approximately 63,100 to 64,710. When price is extended near the upper part of an intraday range, a new entry may have less favorable risk-reward even if the larger direction remains bullish.This is why the current map favors patience: A pullback toward 64,517-64,615 could offer a cleaner test of acceptance. A deeper pullback toward 64,250-64,350 could provide a more favorable risk-defined area. A rejection from 64,700-64,800 could create a conditional short, but only after the market loses 64,615. The goal is not to predict every candle. It is to identify where the bullish thesis remains valid, where it weakens and where a new setup may become available.How should traders manage the scenarios?If a position is taken, traders can consider scaling out at logical reaction levels rather than waiting for one final target.A disciplined approach would include: Use only one long scenario and one short scenario for this market map. Consider partial profit-taking at the first target. After the second partial target, consider whether moving the stop toward entry fits the trade and timeframe. Do not widen a stop after the original invalidation level has been reached. Avoid opening a new position simply because the first move has already occurred. What should Bitcoin traders watch next?The bullish structure remains constructive while BTC futures hold above 64,517-64,615.A move through 64,710 could open the way toward 64,850-65,000, with 65,000-65,200 acting as a potential extension zone. However, price reaching those levels would not automatically create a fresh long entry.The bullish view would weaken if price closes below 64,250 and fails to reclaim it. A move below 64,000-63,935 would damage the repair structure more seriously.This analysis remains valid as a framework while price is interacting with the listed zones. If BTC futures move far beyond the targets, traders should not treat the article as a late entry signal. The levels are better used to judge acceptance, rejection and invalidation.This is market analysis for educational and decision-support purposes, not financial advice. Bitcoin futures trading carries substantial risk, and losses can exceed expectations when leverage is used. Use your own timeframe, risk limits and execution plan, and trade at your own risk only. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The "Trump Accounts" are opening today, and Pres. Trump when asked if they would include Bitcoin, responded by saying "I am a big fan of crypto" and that the Trump Accounts could include the digital currency.It was reported over last week or so that President Trump's 2025 financial disclosure shows that cryptocurrency became the largest driver of his personal income, with more than $1.4 billion in reported income tied to crypto-related ventures. The filing marks a dramatic shift from his traditional reliance on real estate, golf clubs, and branding businesses. More specifically, looking at bitcoin the breakdown showed:World Liberty Financial: Nearly $800 million in income came from this crypto venture, which Trump co-founded with his sons. The reported income included: More than $520 million from token sales. More than $250 million from the sale of ownership interests in the business. $TRUMP memecoin: Trump reported approximately $635 million in royalties or proceeds tied to the Trump-branded meme coin, which launched shortly before his second inauguration.HMMMM. I know why he is a big fan.Regardless of the ethics surrounding President Trump's involvement in crypto, it is the price action that matters most to traders. At least for now, Bitcoin is not following the President's lead and is instead trading lower.From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has fallen back below its 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart above), currently near $62,410, after dropping to a session low of $61,246. Importantly, that decline has so far found support above the rising 200-hour moving average near $61,002 (call it $61,000).That leaves the short-term technical bias neutral. The 100-hour moving average around $62,400 is the key resistance level, while the 200-hour moving average near $61,000 serves as critical support.The next directional clue will likely come from a break of one of those moving averages. A move back above the 100-hour moving average would shift the near-term bias back in favor of the buyers and open the door for a run toward the next swing area between $64,600 and $65,500.Conversely, a break below the 200-hour moving average would hand control back to the sellers, with the next downside target coming in between $58,000 and $59,100. That area sits just above the recent cycle low of $57,735, reached on July 1, before Bitcoin staged a corrective rebound to $63,858.For now, traders should focus less on the headlines and more on the battle between the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages. A break of either level should provide the next meaningful directional signal. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Michael Saylor’s company, Strategy Inc. (formerly known as MicroStrategy), is the world's first and largest Bitcoin Treasury Company. Strategy has disclosed the sale of 3,588 Bitcoin (BTC) for approximately $216 million between June 29 and July 5, 2026. According to a regulatory filing, the liquidations were executed to fund distribution payments for the company’s perpetual preferred stock.Following the transactions, Strategy’s Bitcoin reserve sits at 843,775 BTC. The corporate treasury firm notably refrained from using its at-the-market (ATM) stock program or initiating any share buybacks during this window. Despite the $216 million divestment, Strategy maintains a substantial cash reserve of $2.55 billion.Bitcoin dropped on the news due to a couple of factors. For years, Michael Saylor's Strategy acted as the market backstop, projecting an image of absolute diamond hands. Selling Bitcoin to fund standard corporate obligations, even a fraction of a percent of their total stack, signals to the market that Bitcoin is no longer an untouchable reserve asset. Strategy previously built a massive capital structure by issuing perpetual preferred stock to fund aggressive Bitcoin acquisitions. However, those shares require regular dividend distributions. By using Bitcoin sales to cover these yields, Strategy has established a precedent. Traders now expect the company to routinely dump chunks of Bitcoin onto the market at regular intervals to service its equity vehicle, creating predictable structural headwind.The "Never Sell" Era ended on June 29, 2026 when the company formally announced a new Digital Credit Capital Framework that authorizes the sale of up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin's ability to rise on Monday despite fresh doubts over the reserve's legal footing suggests the market is treating the plan as a longer-term structural question rather than an immediate price driver. With the federal government's holdings worth more than $20 billion, any eventual resolution, whether housed at Treasury or Commerce, could still matter for supply dynamics given Washington's status as one of the world's largest Bitcoin holders. For now, traders appear more focused on broader momentum than on the bureaucratic wrangling in Washington, even with the token still down nearly half from its October peak.--- A dispute between the US Treasury and Commerce departments over legal authority to run Trump's planned Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is holding up the policy, even as Bitcoin itself rose on Monday despite the uncertainty.Adding to the impressiveness of the Bitcoin rally is it was in the face of a high profile puke:Bitcoin falls as Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin between June 29 and July 5By the fact!Summary:Treasury and Commerce departments are both vying to run the planned Strategic Bitcoin Reserve amid questions over legal authorityHousing the reserve at the Commerce Department is being considered as an alternative to TreasuryA central issue is whether Bitcoin can legally be held indefinitely given its price volatilityThe Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel is working with both departments to find a legally viable structureThe US government holds more than $20 billion in Bitcoin across various agencies, among the largest holdings globallyBitcoin is down nearly 50% from its October all-time high, though it rose on Monday A plan to create a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, one of the centrepieces of President Donald Trump's pro-crypto agenda, has run into an unexpected obstacle: rival government departments and unresolved questions over who has the legal authority to manage it. Trump ordered the reserve's creation last year, intending for it to sit within the Treasury Department and be stocked with Bitcoin from federal asset seizures along with possible future purchases. But according to people familiar with the matter, says Bloomberg (gated) concerns emerged over whether Treasury could legally manage such a holding, prompting officials to explore alternatives including housing the reserve at the Commerce Department instead.The Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel is now working with both departments to identify options that would let the policy proceed on solid legal footing. A further complication is whether Bitcoin can be held indefinitely, as Trump's original executive order envisioned, given how sharply its price can swing. The White House said the administration continues to evaluate the best structure for the reserve and a related digital asset stockpile, while Treasury and Commerce did not respond to requests for comment.The stakes are considerable. Counting holdings across different parts of the federal government, the United States is already among the largest Bitcoin owners in the world, with a stash worth more than $20 billion at current prices. Officials have argued that premature sales over the years cost taxpayers roughly $17 billion, and that consolidating the holdings into a single, permanently held reserve would give the country a strategic edge. Bitcoin itself remains volatile, trading nearly 50% below the all time high it reached in October, though it still managed to post a gain on Monday even as the reserve's legal troubles became public. The delays underscore the gap between the administration's ambitions to position the US as the leading hub for cryptocurrency and the practical difficulty of building durable government infrastructure around an asset whose value can swing so widely. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC remains in a lower-value reset as $60,750-$61,000 becomes the key repair gateAnswer Capsule: Bitcoin spot is still in a bearish lower-value reset after the June 24-25 liquidation. Buyers are showing real absorption near $58,000-$59,750, but BTC has not yet reclaimed $60,750-$61,000 or the stronger $61,750-$62,250 repair zone. My active spot-adjusted score is -3 / +10.Key takeawaysActive BTC score:-3 / +10, replacing the prior futures-only blended 0 / +10.Market state: Bearish lower-value reset with early absorption, not confirmed accumulation.Main tactical resistance:$60,750-$61,000 is the first escape gate from the lower balance.Stronger repair zone:$61,750-$62,250 needs to be reclaimed before the bullish case becomes more credible.Key support and absorption zone:$58,000-$58,400 remains the main defended low area.What is the current Bitcoin market state?The macro picture is shifting rapidly, and it’s hitting both risk assets and crypto hard. I’ve been tracking this closely, especially as Bitcoin threatens to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time since October 2023. This critical line in the sand comes on the heels of hawkish macro pressure, highlighted by Fed's Kashkari signaling potential rate hikes if sticky inflation forces the central bank's hand. The selling pressure has been relentless over the past week; we just watched as Bitcoin broke through the psychological $60,000 floor to lock in a fresh 20-month low. This accelerating downside momentum really gained traction early in the week when a broad tech sell-off and diving semiconductor stocks dragged the broader crypto market down with them, shifting my near-term outlook to a much more aggressive bearish bias. I am monitoring the order flow at these extreme structural lows to see if institutional absorption or a cascading liquidation event takes over next.I am treating Bitcoin spot as being in a post-liquidation lower balance. That means BTC has not simply bounced back into its prior bullish repair structure. Instead, the market accepted lower value after the June 24-25 liquidation, then stabilized at lower levels.That stabilization matters. Sellers did not get clean continuation below the defended $58,000-$58,400 area, which suggests real buyer absorption. But absorption near the lows is only the first step. For accumulation to be confirmed, Bitcoin needs higher value migration, stronger acceptance above resistance, and ideally better volume participation.Right now, that has not happened yet.My current practical read on Bitcoin over the weekend (now) is:Bearish lower-value reset with early absorption.More specifically:Post-liquidation lower balance, weak repair, no confirmed accumulation yet.Why did the BTC score change from 0 to -3?The previous futures-only read was more neutral because BTC futures stopped trading at the end of June 26 and did not include the full weekend spot sequence. The futures chart showed local repair, but spot added an important extra clue: the weekend bounce did not generate enough upside acceptance.The daily POC only improved to around $60,250, volume dropped sharply, and BTC still failed to reclaim $60,750, $61,750, or $62,250. That keeps the structure below the old value zone.On my -10 to +10 scale, -3 means BTC still has a bearish structural edge, but it is not a full downside continuation signal because buyers are defending the lower zone.What does the Bitcoin value migration show?The main story is the daily POC migration:$64,750 -> $62,250 -> $59,750 -> $59,250 -> $59,750 -> $60,250That sequence shows that sellers successfully pushed accepted value lower. The later lift from $59,250 to $60,250 is a repair attempt, but it is still inside the new lower balance.What this means: POC, or point of control, is the price area where the most volume traded in a given profile. When POC migrates lower, it often shows that the market is accepting lower prices as fair value.The bullish nuance is that price did not continue collapsing after the June 24-25 liquidation. The $58,000-$58,400 zone appears to have attracted responsive buying or inventory absorption. But the bearish nuance is just as important: BTC has not yet turned that defense into a convincing move back toward the old value area.What are the key Bitcoin resistance levels to watch?The first real test is $60,750-$61,000. Below that area, I would still prioritize failed-repair logic. Above that area, the BTC score can start improving toward neutral.The more important repair test is $61,750-$62,250. If BTC can reclaim and hold that zone, the market would be doing more than bouncing. It would begin to show accepted value migration back toward the prior structure.Where could Bitcoin find support if the repair fails?A clean loss of $59,250 would damage the repair attempt. But I would be careful about treating the first break as automatic downside continuation, because the $58,000-$58,400 area has already shown buyer defense.A higher-quality bearish confirmation would require:Acceptance below $59,250POC remaining below $59,750Failed reclaim of $59,900-$60,250Expanding negative deltaA clean test or break of $58,400-$58,000That combination would shift the score back toward roughly -5 / +10.Is Bitcoin showing accumulation or only absorption?My answer is:Absorption: yes. Confirmed accumulation: no.The best evidence for absorption is the reaction after the liquidation:June 26 flipped to positive deltaPOC lifted from $59,250 to $59,750Price did not extend lower after the June 24-25 sell pressureThe defended zone around $58,000-$58,400 heldWhat this means: Absorption happens when buyers appear to take supply without allowing price to continue falling. It can be an early bullish clue, but it is not the same as confirmed accumulation.For accumulation to become more credible, I would want to see at least one of these conditions:Until then, the more precise read is:Lower-zone absorption after liquidation, with unconfirmed inventory transfer.What is the best Bitcoin trade scenario from here?The cleaner tactical idea remains the failed-repair short, not a blind short at the lower POC.Bearish scenario: failed-repair shortThis setup is cleaner because it waits for BTC to rally into resistance and then fail, rather than shorting after price is already stretched inside a lower-value area.Bearish scenario: breakdown shortThe breakdown short is lower quality unless confirmed.The trap risk is important. When a market already showed buyer defense near the lows, the first break below support can flush late sellers before reversing.Bullish scenario: conditional repair longThe long side is possible, but it needs confirmation.I would not treat the current structure as a clean bullish accumulation setup yet. The market needs to prove that the lower-zone defense can become higher-value migration.What would upgrade the BTC score?The key distinction is simple: holding the lows is not enough. BTC needs to move value higher.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validBecause Bitcoin trades around the clock, this analysis should be treated as a live decision map, not a permanent forecast.This article is still relevant if BTC is still reacting around the core map:Below $60,750-$61,000, failed-repair shorts still have priority.Above $60,750-$61,000, the score can improve toward neutral.Above $61,750-$62,250, the repair becomes more credible.Below $59,250, the repair attempt weakens.Below $58,000-$58,400, the absorption zone is no longer holding.If price has already moved far beyond these levels by the time you read this, do not treat the article as a fresh entry signal. Use the levels to judge whether Bitcoin accepted higher, failed the repair, or became too extended to chase.What should Bitcoin traders watch next?The next real decision area is $60,750-$61,000.Below that zone, BTC remains trapped inside the lower balance, and failed-repair shorts remain the cleaner tactical idea. Above $61,750-$62,250, the repair becomes much more credible because buyers would finally be reclaiming a more important part of the prior structure.For now, I would treat Bitcoin spot as -3 / +10, not neutral.The market is not in clean bearish continuation at the lows, because $58,000-$59,750 absorption is real. But it is also not bullish repair yet, because BTC has not escaped the new lower-value area.Remember: Trading bitcoin is risky. Treat the above bitcoin analysis as opinion for educational purposes only. You must do your own research and always trade and/or invest in crypto at your own risk only.FAQIs Bitcoin bullish or bearish today?Bitcoin is still bearish on the spot-adjusted structure, with an active score of -3 / +10. Buyers are absorbing supply near $58,000-$59,750, but BTC has not yet reclaimed the levels needed to confirm bullish repair.What level would make Bitcoin look more bullish?The first improvement comes above $60,750-$61,000. A stronger bullish repair requires BTC to reclaim and hold $61,750-$62,250.What is the main Bitcoin support level now?The main defended support zone is $58,000-$58,400. However, $59,250 is the nearer breakdown trigger to watch.Is Bitcoin accumulation confirmed?No. Bitcoin is showing absorption near the lows, but not confirmed accumulation. Confirmed accumulation would require higher value migration, especially above $60,750 and then $61,750-$62,250.What would make the Bitcoin bearish case stronger?A sustained move below $59,250, followed by a failed reclaim of $59,750-$60,250 and a clean test of $58,000-$58,400, would strengthen the bearish case. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Keep an eye on the bitcoin chart as it breaks $60,000. It's gone through that level and touched below the June 5 bottom of $59,125.This is a fresh low since September 2024.At current levels, the entire Trump 2.0 rally is already wiped out despite a host of crypto-friendly US policies. That's a poor fundamental sign and a problem for the bulls. There are few reasonable levers left to pull aside from a bitcoin strategic reserve and that doesn't sound like something Congress is at-all interested in.Today, crypto is caught in something of a sell-everything deleveraging in markets. Bitcoin is down 5% but silver is down 7.4% and gold is down 3%. WTI crude oil is down 4%, hot chip names are slumping and the US dollar is bid across the board. The winner today is the bond market with yields down 6-9% on a flight to safety.Bitcoin was s last down $3019 to $59,369 and about $200 from the June intraday low after briefly touching below it.I think the bigger problem for bitcoin, as I wrote earlier this month, is that it's lost its cool. The young men that dominate risk taking in markets are increasingly shifting to AI trades, meme stocks and options trading. Crypto has benefited from some of that but for 20-year olds, it almost seems institutional.Moreover, the use cases continue to be limited and the same talking heads parroting "bitcoin to $1 million" have lost credibility. The overall bandwidth for crypto is getting to be smaller outside of stablecoins, which are proving to be incredible businesses, but hardly investments at all. Technically, a breakdown here will squarely target $50,000 and that could come quickly if we get a poor earnings reaction from Micron later today and a 'risk off' wave hits the Nasdaq. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The disclosure adds a political risk dimension to pending US crypto legislation, with ethics provisions barring officials from profiting off regulation they oversee now a harder sticking point for Senate negotiators needing 60 votes to advance the bill. Broader sentiment toward Trump-linked tokens could stay weak given roughly two-thirds of memecoin holders and 85% of World Liberty Financial's WLFI buyers are currently underwater, according to Nansen data. The episode lands against a backdrop of an already volatile crypto market, with Trump's flagship memecoin down 97% from its peak. Any delay to regulatory clarity from a stalled bill could weigh further on sentiment across the sector.--- Trump earned $1.4bn from crypto ventures last year even as most retail holders of his memecoins remain underwater, a disclosure shows, complicating regulation talks in Congress. Summary:President Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto ventures last year, including $800 million from World Liberty Financial, according to a financial disclosureRoughly two-thirds of investors in Trump's memecoin are currently underwater, based on Nansen data covering 1.48 million wallets since its January 2025 launchAround 85% of World Liberty Financial's WLFI token buyers in the secondary market are also sitting at a lossTrump's memecoin peaked near a $15 billion market cap before falling 97% to about $400 millionWorld Liberty Financial launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin shortly before Trump signed the Genius Act, which established a regulatory framework for such tokensThe disclosure could complicate Senate negotiations over crypto legislation, with ethics provisions barring official profit from crypto activity a key sticking pointThe bill has passed the House but needs Democratic support to reach 60 votes in the SenatePresident Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto ventures last year, according to a financial disclosure reported by the Wall Street Journal (gated), even as most retail investors who bought into his family's digital tokens are sitting on losses. The single largest contributor was World Liberty Financial, the family's flagship crypto venture, which alone generated $800 million for the president. The scale of the earnings underscores a gap between Trump's financial position and that of many investors who followed him into crypto. Data provider Nansen, which tracked 1.48 million wallets that bought Trump's memecoin since its January 2025 launch, found roughly two-thirds of those holders are currently underwater. A separate Nansen analysis of secondary market buyers found 85% of World Liberty's WLFI token holders are also in the red.Trump's memecoin, launched just before his inauguration, reached a peak market capitalisation near $15 billion before collapsing 97% to around $400 million today. World Liberty Financial, launched by Trump and his sons in September 2024, later released a dollar-pegged stablecoin shortly before Trump signed the Genius Act into law, which established a regulatory framework for such tokens.The White House has rejected suggestions of any conflict of interest, with spokeswoman Anna Kelly saying the president and his family act in the best interest of the American people. Trump himself attributed the earnings to broader stock market gains when questioned by reporters this week.The disclosure lands at a sensitive moment for crypto regulation efforts in Congress. Legislation establishing rules for digital assets has passed the House but requires Democratic support to clear the 60 vote threshold in the Senate. Ethics provisions that would bar the president and other officials from profiting off crypto activity they help regulate have become a central sticking point in negotiations, one that Senator Cynthia Lummis, a bill sponsor, said needs to be resolved with strong language. Some Democrats have said their support hinges on that provision being included, with the disclosure likely to sharpen those demands.Beyond crypto, the president's overall financial disclosure also showed rising income from the family's hotel and golf businesses, along with growing stock holdings in companies including Nvidia and Meta. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.