Crypto News

Key crypto news for traders and investors todayUS spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs attracted about $2.6 billion combined during the August 17-21 week, their strongest week since October 2025.Ethereum demand came from two directions: nearly $700 million entered spot ETH ETFs, while BitMine disclosed another 32,447 ETH purchase.US regulators are moving toward clearer crypto rules, but the main market-structure legislation sought by the industry remains stalled in the Senate.Solana has started reducing its slot time, while Zcash is drawing attention around Grayscale's proposed ETF conversion and unusually heavy derivatives activity.Some of the recent market acceleration came from short liquidations, which should not be confused with lasting investment demand.Crypto sentiment has improved sharply, but the more useful story is not simply that prices moved higher. Regulated fund demand returned, Ethereum attracted another large corporate buyer, US regulators advanced new proposals, and individual altcoins responded to their own catalysts.For newer crypto traders and investors, this distinction matters. A rally driven by long-term fund inflows is different from one powered mainly by leveraged traders being forced out of losing positions. Both can move prices, but they say different things about the strength and durability of demand.I'm closely tracking the momentum now that Bitcoin jumped above the $80k threshold for the first time in three months, confirming strong buyer absorption across key technical levels. This impulsive surge directly follows the setup I highlighted when price was consolidating, where Bitcoin at $77k showed a potential bull flag breakout targeting $84k–$86k. While I manage these intraday extensions and watch for structural volume confirmation, active market participants should also frame these swings within the macro cycle by reviewing our comprehensive Bitcoin long-term price forecasts through 2028 to map out broader liquidity horizons.Why are Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF inflows important?US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $1.92 billion during the August 17-21 trading week. Spot Ethereum ETFs added about $697 million. Together, the two groups received roughly $2.6 billion, while combined trading volume rose to approximately $29 billion, according to data reported by The Block.That was the strongest week for both categories since October 2025.Bitcoin ETF inflows: About $1.92 billionThis was the larger share of the week's regulated crypto-fund demand.Ethereum ETF inflows: About $697 millionThe strong ETH total shows that investors were not looking only at Bitcoin.Combined ETF trading volume: About $29 billionHigher volume shows that participation increased as money returned to the funds.An exchange-traded fund, or ETF, gives investors access to an asset through a familiar brokerage product. Crypto ETFs can be particularly useful for institutions and investors that do not want to manage wallets, private keys or direct custody.What this means: ETF inflows show that more money entered these regulated funds. They do not guarantee that crypto prices will continue rising, but they are one of the clearest public signals that demand for regulated exposure has improved.Does one strong ETF week reverse the weak 2026 trend?No. The latest week was a major improvement, but it did not erase the year's earlier withdrawals.After the rebound, US spot Bitcoin ETFs were still approximately $2.9 billion negative for 2026, while spot Ethereum ETFs remained roughly $192 million negative, based on the same weekly dataset.This is an important reality check. One strong week can mark a change in behavior, but a durable institutional shift normally requires follow-through. The healthier signal would be continued inflows across several weeks, rather than one burst of demand during a fast market recovery.Why does Ethereum have its own institutional demand story?Ethereum is not only following Bitcoin. Its latest demand came from both ETFs and a corporate treasury buyer.BitMine said it acquired another 32,447 ETH during the latest week. The company reported total holdings of approximately 5.85 million ETH, with total crypto and cash holdings valued at $14.9 billion as of August 23. The figures came from BitMine's company announcement.A corporate crypto treasury is a company that holds digital assets on its balance sheet. If the company intends to hold those assets for a long period, the purchase can reduce the amount readily available for trading. It does not remove the coins from total supply, but it can reduce the liquid supply available in the market.What this means: Ethereum demand is coming through more than one channel. ETF buyers provide regulated investment demand, while treasury companies provide direct corporate demand. Seeing both at the same time suggests broader interest than a rally driven by short-term traders alone.There is still concentration risk. A very large treasury buyer can support demand while it is accumulating, but the market may also become more sensitive to any future change in that company's funding, strategy or holdings.Two important Bitcoin price levels to keep in mind as you watch the BTCUSD daily chartSee my daily Bitcoin chart below. After its sharp recovery toward $80,000, Bitcoin is approaching two levels that may help us judge whether the move is gaining broader acceptance.The first is approximately $82,833, the high reached during Bitcoin’s May recovery. This is the nearest resistance area because buyers previously failed to hold above it. A brief move through the level would not be enough on its own. Traders would normally look for Bitcoin to close above it and then defend the area during a pullback.The larger level sits just above $89,000. This is the 12-month Value Area High, or VAH, which marks the upper boundary of the price region where much of the previous year’s trading activity occurred. When price returns to a major value-area boundary, it can become an important decision zone because many market participants previously traded around it.In simple terms, $82,833 is the first nearby test, while the area just above $89,000 is the more important structural test. Holding above either level would carry more meaning than briefly touching it. Rejection would show that sellers are still active overhead.The chart is a context map, not a prediction. It helps show where the market’s behavior may become more informative as the recovery develops.Why did Strategy raise cash instead of buying more Bitcoin?Strategy, the largest public corporate holder of Bitcoin, did not add to its position in its latest weekly update. Its holdings remained at 840,447 BTC.The company raised about $2 billion by selling MSTR shares and created a separate cash pool of approximately $1.6 billion. According to Reuters, that money could support future treasury operations, including possible Bitcoin purchases, share buybacks or other corporate needs.This does not automatically mean Strategy has turned bearish on Bitcoin. It is better understood as balance-sheet and liquidity management. The update is still useful because it challenges the idea that major crypto treasury companies must buy during every market rally.What is changing in US crypto regulation?US regulators are moving in a more constructive direction, but regulation is advancing on two separate tracks.The first track is agency action. The US Securities and Exchange Commission has proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, which includes two tailored fundraising exemptions for certain crypto-related investment contracts. The proposal would allow qualifying offerings of up to $5 million over four years under one exemption and up to $75 million in a 12-month period under another, subject to disclosure and reporting conditions.The proposal also includes a conditional safe harbor that could allow a qualifying crypto asset to no longer be treated as part of an investment contract under federal securities definitions. The details remain proposals, not final rules, and the SEC opened them for public comment.The Commodity Futures Trading Commission also used its August 20 Innovation Advisory Committee meeting to discuss crypto's regulatory evolution. CFTC Chair Michael Selig described a broader effort to keep US market rules aligned with financial innovation in his opening remarks.The second track is legislation. The broader CLARITY Act, which would create a more lasting federal market-structure framework and divide responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC, remains stalled in the Senate. Reuters reported that agency action can move faster, but it may be easier for a future administration or the courts to change than a law passed by Congress.What this means: The direction of travel is more crypto-friendly, but the legal framework is not complete. Proposed rules can improve clarity, while legislation would offer greater durability.What does Solana's faster slot time change for users?Solana has begun a staged network upgrade that reduced its target slot time from 400 milliseconds to 350 milliseconds. A slot is a short period during which the network can produce a block.Shorter slots can make transactions feel faster because confirmations can reach users sooner. The first reduction is part of a tentative roadmap toward 200-millisecond slots, according to the Solana Foundation's upgrade description.This should not be described as an instant increase in total network capacity. The immediate benefit is lower latency, or less waiting time, rather than an automatic multiplication of the number of transactions Solana can process.Why is Zcash moving for a different reason than the wider market?Zcash has a specific product catalyst. Grayscale filed another amendment seeking to convert its existing Zcash Trust into an exchange-traded product listed on NYSE Arca under the ticker ZCSH.The latest SEC filing, dated August 21, was still a preliminary prospectus and subject to completion. That distinction matters: progress in a filing process is not the same as a completed launch or a guarantee of regulatory approval.At the same time, Zcash futures activity surged far beyond spot-market trading. CoinDesk reported that futures volume reached about $4.55 billion on August 21, compared with roughly $553 million of spot activity.What this means: When futures volume is much larger than spot volume, leveraged speculation may be playing a major role. Leverage can accelerate a rally, but it can also make a reversal faster and more severe.Other altcoins, including XRP, HYPE and AAVE, also attracted renewed interest as traders became more willing to move beyond Bitcoin. That does not prove that every altcoin is entering a lasting uptrend. Leadership remains selective, which makes asset-specific news more important than simply assuming all tokens will move together.What the crypto performance table reveals: a broad rebound, but not yet a broad recoveryThe first impression from this performance snapshot is strongly positive. Every cryptocurrency shown has gained at least 17% over the past month, while several altcoins have risen by more than 40%.However, the longer-term columns tell a more complicated story. Only Zcash, Polygon and Bittensor are positive for 2026, and Zcash is the only asset in the table with a positive one-year return.This suggests that risk appetite has returned quickly, but much of the market is still recovering from earlier losses rather than establishing a completely new long-term growth cycle.Zcash is the clear outlierZcash stands far above the rest of the group:One month: +72.97%Three months: +30.04%Six months: +252.58%2026 year to date: +65.73%One year: +1,885.67%Most tokens in the table show a recent rebound inside a much weaker one-year performance. Zcash is different because its strength appears across every major timeframe.Its proposed Grayscale ETF conversion has provided a clear asset-specific catalyst, while the extraordinary one-year gain helps explain why speculative interest has become so intense. It also means expectations are already elevated, so the size of the past gain should not be mistaken for evidence that the same performance can continue.Altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin over the latest monthBitcoin gained 25.55% over one month, a powerful move on its own. Yet it ranks only fifteenth in this particular table because many altcoins moved even faster.Notable monthly performances include:Polygon: +51.79%Aave: +41.46%Chainlink: +41.12%XRP: +38.53%Cardano: +37.64%Solana: +36.91%Ethereum: +34.39%This is a sign that traders are becoming more willing to move beyond Bitcoin and accept greater risk. Smaller or more volatile tokens often rise faster when market confidence improves.It is still too early to describe this as a complete altcoin recovery. Bitcoin is down only 8.13% in 2026, while Ethereum, Solana, XRP and many other major altcoins remain between approximately 16% and 19% lower for the year.The monthly data show expanding risk appetite. The year-to-date data show that the repair remains incomplete.DeFi and crypto infrastructure are showing meaningful strengthThe rebound is not limited to meme tokens.Aave has gained 51.58% over three months, the strongest quarterly performance in the table. Uniswap is up 30.25% over the same period, while Chainlink has gained 25.38% over three months and 38.61% over six months.That combination suggests renewed interest in decentralized finance and blockchain infrastructure, not only short-term speculation.However, all three remain negative over one year. Aave is down 62.48%, Chainlink is down 54.69%, and Uniswap is down 59.51%. Their recent gains therefore represent an important recovery, but not yet a complete reversal of the longer-term damage.Meme-token rebounds require extra contextThe TRUMP token is the second-strongest monthly performer, with a gain of 56.06%. It is also up 7.99% for the week.Those numbers look impressive until they are compared with its 48.11% year-to-date loss and 71.81% one-year decline.A similar pattern appears in Dogecoin and Shiba Inu:Dogecoin: +32.24% for the month, but -60.14% over one yearShiba Inu: +35.07% for the month, but -56.22% over one yearThese are good examples of why a strong monthly return does not automatically mean an asset has repaired its longer-term trend. A token that has fallen heavily can produce a dramatic percentage rebound while remaining far below its earlier value.Some rebounds still look more like relief than recoveryBitcoin Cash has gained 30.69% over one month, but it remains down 20.16% over three months, 44.94% over six months and 53.71% in 2026.Sonic tells an even more extreme story. It has risen 24.72% over the month, but remains down 60.60% year to date and 91.41% over one year.Avalanche has also gained 22.28% over the month, while remaining negative over three months, six months, the year to date and the full year.These performances may reflect bargain hunting, short covering or returning speculation. They do not yet carry the same multi-timeframe strength shown by Zcash.Which assets show the strongest broader resilience?Only three assets in the snapshot are positive for 2026:Zcash: +65.73%Polygon: +18.15%Bittensor: +10.63%Chainlink is relatively close to recovering its year-to-date decline at -3.18%.Among the larger cryptocurrencies, BNB has shown notable longer-term resilience. It remains down 18.41% over one year, compared with Bitcoin's 28.82% decline and losses of roughly 47% to 52% for Ethereum, XRP and Solana.The overall crypto story from this dataThis is a broad and powerful monthly rebound. Even Uniswap, the weakest monthly performer in the table, has gained 17.82%.But the recovery becomes much narrower as the timeframe expands:All 18 assets are positive over one month.Only three are positive in 2026.Only Zcash is positive over one year.The market appears to be moving from defensive positioning toward greater risk-taking. Bitcoin is participating, major altcoins are accelerating, and interest is spreading into DeFi, infrastructure and speculative tokens.The central question is whether this monthly strength can survive long enough to improve the quarterly and year-to-date results. Until that happens, the data describe a strong rebound with selective leadership, not a complete recovery across the crypto market.What is a crypto short liquidation?A short position is a bet that an asset's price will fall. If the price rises far enough, an exchange may automatically close the position because the trader no longer has enough collateral to support it.Closing a short requires buying back the asset. When many short positions are closed at the same time, that forced buying can push the market higher and trigger more liquidations. This feedback loop is known as a short squeeze.Reports indicated that more than $3 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated during part of the latest rally. That figure normally refers to the notional value of positions closed, not the exact cash amount traders personally lost.What this means: Short liquidations can make a rally move very quickly, but forced buying is not the same as steady investment demand. Once the forced buying fades, the market needs voluntary buyers to sustain interest.Which crypto news signals matter next?ETF follow-throughSeveral additional weeks of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF inflows would provide stronger evidence that regulated investment demand has changed, while a quick return to outflows would weaken that conclusion.Ethereum treasury activityFurther corporate purchases would support the idea that ETH has a demand story separate from Bitcoin. Funding choices and concentration risks at large treasury companies also deserve attention.Final US rules, not only proposalsThe market should distinguish public proposals and committee discussions from finalized SEC or CFTC rules. Progress on the CLARITY Act would be a separate and potentially more durable development.Real network usage after upgradesSolana's faster slot time is technically meaningful, but the longer-term test is whether users and applications experience better reliability and faster confirmations without new stability problems.Spot demand versus leverage in altcoinsWhen an altcoin's futures activity greatly exceeds spot activity, the move may be more speculative. Spot participation and a concrete catalyst can help separate broader demand from short-lived excitement.The practical crypto readThe crypto news backdrop is stronger than it was earlier in August. Regulated fund flows returned, Ethereum attracted major treasury demand, US agencies proposed clearer rules, Solana delivered the first stage of a speed upgrade, and Zcash gained an asset-specific product catalyst.The evidence is encouraging, but it is not all the same quality. ETF inflows and corporate accumulation represent voluntary demand. Short liquidations represent forced buying. Regulatory proposals show direction, but not final law. Network upgrades improve infrastructure, but do not guarantee adoption.That is the most useful way to read the current market: separate lasting demand from leverage, confirmed policy from proposals, and real product developments from social-media hype.For continuing coverage of these developments, visit the investingLive cryptocurrency section.Crypto market update FAQsWhy do spot crypto ETF inflows matter?They show that money is entering regulated investment products linked to Bitcoin or Ethereum. They can reflect stronger demand from institutions and traditional brokerage investors, but they do not guarantee future returns.Are ETF inflows the same as a short squeeze?No. ETF inflows represent investors choosing to allocate money to funds. A short squeeze involves traders being forced to buy back assets when bearish positions move against them.Does Solana's 350-millisecond slot time mean the network has more capacity?Not automatically. The immediate change is faster block timing and potentially quicker confirmations. Total capacity depends on other technical limits and network performance.Has the CLARITY Act become US law?No. The legislation remains stalled in the Senate as of August 25, 2026. US agencies are advancing separate regulatory proposals while Congress continues to debate a longer-lasting framework. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

BTC continues to benefit from the weak USD and poor sentiment towards bonds. Earlier:Is Bitcoin at $77k preparing for another breakout? This BTCUSD analysis shows a a potential bull flag pointing to $84K-$86KBitcoin Bull Flag Analysis: See this video after the $79,460 surge This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin price analysis: What would activate the potential bull flag toward $84K-$86K?Bitcoin is trading near $77,100 inside a mildly downward-sloping 1-hour regression channel. The structure resembles a bull flag following the surge from below $70,000 to $79,461, but the pattern is not active yet. Bulls still need a decisive breakout above the channel, while $75,700-$75,200 is the main invalidation zone.Key takeaways for Bitcoin tradersCurrent structure: BTC is consolidating inside a downward 1-hour regression channel.Potential pattern: The surge to $79,461 forms the possible flagpole, while the current channel forms the flag.Bullish trigger: A decisive 1-hour close above the upper +2σ channel boundary, ideally supported by stronger volume.Theoretical target: A successful breakout could point toward approximately $84,000-$86,000.Main risk: Acceptance below $75,700-$75,200 would invalidate the immediate bull flag scenario.Bitcoin’s earlier $65K breakout changed the market structureThis latest setup did not appear in isolation.On August 19, we highlighted why a Bitcoin breakout above approximately $65,000-$65,050 would be an important bullish signal in our analysis of the critical Bitcoin chart between $64K and $65K.Bitcoin then broke above that area and continued toward $69,000-$70,000 the following day. Ethereum also joined the move strongly, suggesting that the recovery was beginning to broaden beyond Bitcoin. We explained that shift in Bitcoin nears $70K, but Ethereum’s eight-hour breakout reveals the bigger crypto shift.That sequence offers an important lesson: technical analysis is often about moving from one confirmation level to the next. The $65K breakout improved the broader picture. The current 1-hour channel now provides the next shorter-term test.What is a linear regression channel?Now let's dive into my hourly BTCUSD chart with a regression channel extended to the right.A linear regression channel begins with a straight line that represents the best average path through a selected period of price action.Parallel lines are then placed above and below that average path. In this case, the boundaries are based on approximately two standard deviations, commonly written as 2σ.A simple way to picture it is as a rubber band around price:The middle represents the average direction.The upper and lower bands represent the normal area in which price has recently fluctuated.A sustained move outside the band can indicate that momentum or market behavior is changing.A two-standard-deviation channel will statistically contain much of the price movement used to calculate it, but this should not be interpreted as a guarantee. Bitcoin does not follow a perfect bell curve, particularly during periods of high volatility.How does the current Bitcoin structure resemble a bull flag?A traditional bull flag has two main parts.The flagpoleThe flagpole is the aggressive initial rally. In this case, Bitcoin surged from below $70,000 to a local high of $79,461.This nearly vertical advance demonstrated strong buying momentum.The flagAfter such a large move, markets rarely continue upward in a straight line. Traders take profits, late buyers hesitate and price begins to consolidate.Bitcoin’s current mild downward drift fits the general shape of a possible flag. The regression channel helps define that consolidation more objectively than drawing two arbitrary trendlines.However, the crucial word is possible. While BTC remains inside the downward channel, this is only a potential bull flag. It is not yet an active continuation signal.What do the blue bars on the Bitcoin chart represent?The blue bars are an illustrative scenario, not recorded Bitcoin price action and not a prediction of the exact path BTC will take.They show what a constructive sequence might look like:Bitcoin remains inside the channel while volatility contracts.Buyers push price through the upper regression boundary.BTC holds above the former channel resistance.Momentum expands toward the $79,461 high and potentially beyond it.Real breakouts are rarely this orderly. Price could retest the channel, produce a false breakout or move sideways for longer than the illustration suggests.What would activate the Bitcoin bull flag?The main trigger would be a decisive 1-hour close above the upper +2σ regression boundary, currently passing through the upper-$77,000 to approximately $78,000 area.Because the channel slopes downward and may recalculate as new candles are added, the exact boundary will change over time. Traders should compare each completed hourly candle with the channel level shown on their current chart.A higher-quality breakout would include several of the following:A clear 1-hour close above the upper boundary, not only a brief wick through it.Expanding volume compared with the quieter consolidation period.Price holding above the channel during the next candles.A successful retest of the former upper boundary as support.Renewed pressure on the $79,461 local high.Continued participation from Ethereum and the wider crypto market.The channel breakout would activate the bull flag scenario. A subsequent move above $79,461 would provide stronger evidence that the continuation is succeeding.How is the theoretical $84K-$86K target calculated?Bull flag targets are commonly estimated by measuring the original flagpole and projecting part or all of that distance upward from the breakout area.Depending on where the beginning of the impulse is defined, the relevant move measures approximately $8,000-$9,000. Applying that measurement to a breakout from the upper channel creates a theoretical target zone around $84,000-$86,000.The measured move is a chart projection, not a promise. Bitcoin can stop before the target, overshoot it or invalidate the pattern entirely.What happens if the Bitcoin bull flag fails?Patterns fail regularly, especially in crypto.The immediate bullish thesis would be weakened if Bitcoin begins closing and holding below the lower channel boundary and the nearby $75,700-$75,200 support area.A single quick wick below support may be a temporary liquidity sweep. Repeated closes or sustained trading below the zone would be more meaningful.Such acceptance would suggest that Bitcoin is no longer experiencing only a mild consolidation after the rally. The market could instead be entering a deeper corrective retracement or a longer trading range.What this means: Acceptance occurs when price spends time beyond a level and continues closing there, rather than briefly touching it before reversing.How does this short-term target compare with the $148K Bitcoin forecast?The possible $84,000-$86,000 bull flag target and a longer-term Bitcoin forecast should not be treated as the same analysis.One highly speculative long-range scenario currently places Bitcoin near $148,000 around summer 2027, within a broader $145,000-$150,000 area. That is one scenario among several that may eventually be included on investingLive’s evolving Bitcoin price forecasts for 2027 page.The regression-channel setup is a short-term market structure based on the 1-hour chart. The $148K scenario uses a much longer timeframe and is subject to far greater uncertainty.A trader can therefore consider the current flag without assuming that the long-range forecast must happen. Different timeframes answer different questions.What should Bitcoin traders watch next?The important point is not to label the chart bullish simply because it resembles a familiar pattern.While Bitcoin remains inside the channel, the market is still consolidating. A decisive 1-hour close above the upper regression boundary would activate the bullish scenario, while a break above $79,461 would strengthen the continuation case.Acceptance below $75,700-$75,200 would invalidate the immediate bull flag thesis.This is a probability map, not financial advice or a guaranteed forecast. Traders should confirm the latest channel boundaries on their own charts, define risk before entering and avoid chasing a breakout that has already become extended. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin forecasts for 2027: One speculative fractal scenario maps a $148,000 peakBitcoin could approach $145,000-$150,000 around summer 2027 under one long-range chart scenario. The projection combines a repeated historical price pattern with an extended resistance line drawn across three major Bitcoin tops. However, this is a low-confidence scenario, not a trade plan or a claim that Bitcoin must follow the projected path.Key takeaways from this Bitcoin forecastProjected peak: Approximately $148,000, potentially during summer 2027.Bitcoin price when the chart was created: Around $73,400 on August 21, 2026.Distance to the projected peak: Bitcoin was trading at roughly half the forecasted high, meaning the scenario implies approximately 102% upside.Previous record area: Around $126,300, so the projection would represent a new all-time high approximately 17% above that level.Confidence: Low. The forecast is based on a relatively thin combination of visual fractal similarity and extended resistance.Important distinction: This is a long-term scenario to monitor, not an actionable short-term market map.Why does this Bitcoin scenario point toward $148,000?The forecast begins with a form of fractal analysis.In this context, a fractal does not refer to the standard five-candle fractal indicator. It refers more broadly to self-similarity in market behavior: the idea that a previous sequence of consolidation, breakout, advance and correction might appear again in a different period.Using TradingView's Bar Pattern drawing tool, I copied an earlier Bitcoin price sequence and positioned it over the current market structure. The projected blue path repeats the broad rhythm of that earlier move rather than calculating a forecast from earnings, cash flows or a statistical model. Here is how this looks like, in blue, on the daily chart, on 21 August 2026:The second part of the scenario is an extended resistance line connecting three important Bitcoin tops. When that line is projected forward, it approaches the copied price pattern near $148,000 during summer 2027.The overlap between the two creates the forecasted peak area.What does the fractal path suggest before 2027?The projection does not show Bitcoin rising directly from $73,400 to $148,000.Instead, it maps a volatile path containing several advances and corrections. Under this scenario, Bitcoin would first need to break out of its current structure, produce a major advance and eventually challenge its existing record area near $126,300.The projected path then reaches the upper resistance line around $145,000-$150,000, before suffering another substantial correction. The blue pattern appears to end closer to approximately $105,000-$115,000 later in 2027.That distinction matters. This is not necessarily a forecast that Bitcoin will trade at $150,000 during 2027. It is a scenario in which Bitcoin could establish a new high before 2027 and then enter another large correction.Why is confidence in this Bitcoin forecast low?This forecast is deliberately being presented as speculative.A visual pattern can help generate a hypothesis, but it cannot tell us the probability that the hypothesis will occur. The Bar Pattern tool copies historical price action. It does not know anything about future liquidity, ETF demand, regulation, monetary policy, adoption or investor positioning.There are several important limitations:Historical patterns rarely repeat with identical timing or magnitude.The starting point of a copied pattern can materially change the result.Extending a trendline far into the future introduces increasing uncertainty.The approach does not yet include independent confirmation from volume, liquidity or on-chain data.A major macroeconomic or regulatory change could completely alter Bitcoin's path.The projected target is broad, despite the chart displaying a visually precise price.For that reason, I would treat $148,000 as the center of a possible resistance region, not as an exact price Bitcoin is destined to reach.What would make the $148,000 scenario more credible?Confidence could improve if future price action begins validating the sequence rather than merely resembling it on paper.Evidence supporting the scenario would include:Bitcoin breaking higher from its current consolidation.Pullbacks producing higher lows rather than repeatedly damaging the broader structure.Price eventually reclaiming and holding above the previous record area near $126,300.The projected resistance line continuing to align with important future highs.Independent confirmation from stronger demand, liquidity, volume and on-chain evidence.A major deviation from the projected sequence would weaken the scenario. Traders should not keep repositioning or rescaling the fractal simply to make it fit new price action. If the market stops following the broad structure, the honest response is to downgrade or retire the forecast.How is this different from a tradeCompass market map?This distinction is important.The fractal forecast is a long-range thought experiment built from relatively limited evidence. A tradeCompass map is designed for shorter-term decision support using multiple structurally meaningful market references, defined activation thresholds and practical partial-profit areas.Readers who want to understand the more actionable framework can review how investingLive tradeCompass maps are designed and used.How should investors interpret this early Bitcoin forecast?I am showing this chart because a speculative scenario can still be useful when its limitations are made clear.It gives us a hypothesis to monitor:Could Bitcoin repeat part of an earlier price sequence, break to a new record and meet its extended resistance line near $148,000 before 2027?The answer today is that it is possible, but the available evidence is far too thin to call it a high-confidence prediction.This will form the first scenario in a broader collection of Bitcoin forecasts for 2027. Other perspectives can later include macro liquidity, institutional demand, on-chain valuation, cycle analysis and bearish alternatives. Comparing independent approaches should produce a more balanced forecast range than relying on one attractive chart pattern.Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. Long-range projections should be treated as scenarios to test against incoming evidence, not promises or instructions to buy.Stay tuned for other bitcoin price forecasts for year 2027 that may be added in the future at investingLive.com and always invest and trade at your own risk only. These are perspectives and opinions, not crystal balls or promises. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Crypto market update: Bitcoin nears $70K as Ethereum and altcoins broaden the reboundCrypto has shifted from fragile stabilization to a broad market rebound. Bitcoin has pushed toward $69,000-$70,000, Ethereum is outperforming, ETF demand has improved, and major altcoins are participating. The move is increasingly credible, but holding above the former $66,900 range ceiling is now more important than briefly trading through it.Key takeaways for crypto investors and tradersBitcoin breakout attempt: BTC advanced from above $65,000 to approximately $69,258 in the supplied market snapshot.Institutional demand improved: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $297.5 million of inflows on August 17 and another $189.3 million on August 18.Ethereum confirms better risk appetite: ETH gained approximately 18% on the day, while spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $71.4 million on August 18.The rally is broadening: SOL, XRP, UNI, AAVE, LINK and NEAR all posted strong daily gains.Confirmation is still needed: Many major cryptocurrencies remain deeply negative year-to-date and over the past year.As Eamonn Sheridan at investingLive.com highlighted, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's aggressive expansion of long-dated bond buybacks triggered an immediate drop in 30-year yields and sent the US dollar index tumbling to fresh multi-month lows. Eamonn explained that gold’s unusually large 3% rally after the Treasury buyback announcement suggests traders are increasingly worried that the US dollar will lose purchasing power, making assets such as gold and Bitcoin more attractive places to protect their money.Why Bitcoin approaching $70K mattersBitcoin initially improved by reclaiming $65,000, its strongest level in around three weeks. It then accelerated toward $69,000-$70,000, taking price above the previous $61,500-$66,900 trading range.That is an important technical improvement. Earlier rebounds remained trapped inside the range, where sellers could continue treating rallies as opportunities to reduce exposure. Trading above $66,900 suggests that buyers are attempting something more meaningful.The next question is whether Bitcoin can hold the breakout.A short move above resistance can attract momentum buyers and force bearish traders to cover positions. However, if BTC quickly falls back below $66,900, the breakout could become another failed rally. Sustained trade above the former range ceiling would offer stronger evidence that the market is moving from short-term repair into a more durable recovery.This builds on our earlier Bitcoin analysis of what bulls needed to do to end the bearish 2026 structure.Ethereum’s massive 26% surge in only 8 hours, explained on the chartThis daily ETHUSD chart includes a six-month volume profile, showing where the greatest amount of trading activity occurred during the period. Ethereum travelled approximately 26% in only eight hours, moving from the lower boundary of the six-month value area near $1,844 to its upper boundary around $2,309.$1,844 Value Area Low: ETH had spent several sessions holding around this lower boundary before buyers took control.$2,062 Point of Control: This is the price with the highest trading activity during the six-month period. ETH crossed it rapidly, showing unusually strong momentum.$2,309 Value Area High: This is the upper boundary of the main trading range and a natural area for resistance or profit-taking.The speed of the move shows how aggressively sentiment changed. However, reaching the Value Area High does not automatically confirm another rally. The next clue is whether ETH can hold above $2,309, or whether sellers push it back toward the high-volume area around $2,062.ETF inflows provide institutional supportThe improvement in ETF flows may be the most important development behind the price move.US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted:$297.5 million on August 17$189.3 million on August 18Spot Ethereum ETFs added another $71.4 million on August 18, led by BlackRock’s ETHA.ETF inflows matter because they show that the rally is being supported by fresh capital rather than only short covering or leveraged speculation. Two consecutive positive days for Bitcoin ETFs represent a clear improvement from the outflows seen during the previous week.However, two strong days do not establish a lasting trend. Traders will want to see whether inflows remain positive after the initial breakout excitement fades. Continued demand would make it easier for Bitcoin and Ethereum to defend their newly recovered levels.Why Ethereum’s outperformance is an important signalEthereum was the standout large-cap cryptocurrency in the supplied screener, gaining approximately 18.1% on the day, nearly 20% over the week, and about 20% over the month.Bitcoin often acts as the more defensive crypto asset. When Ethereum begins outperforming BTC, it can indicate that investors are becoming more willing to take risk beyond Bitcoin.That makes ETH an important confirmation signal for the wider market. Its strength, combined with positive Ethereum ETF flows, suggests that the rebound is developing both institutional and speculative support.The caution is that Ethereum remained down approximately 24% year-to-date and 45.5% over one year in the screener. Its recent surge is repairing substantial damage, not yet erasing it.Altcoin breadth makes this healthier than a Bitcoin-only bounceMarket breadth describes how many assets are participating in a move. A rally led only by Bitcoin is narrower and potentially more fragile. A move that includes Ethereum, major smart-contract networks, DeFi tokens and infrastructure projects is generally more convincing.The screener showed:Solana: approximately +10.3% on the dayXRP: approximately +10.3%, reclaiming the psychologically important $1 areaUniswap: approximately +9.9%Aave: approximately +9.8%NEAR: approximately +9.2%Chainlink: approximately +8.5%This participation suggests that risk appetite is spreading beyond Bitcoin. Solana reflects stronger interest in higher-beta smart-contract exposure, while gains in Uniswap, Aave and Chainlink show that DeFi and crypto-infrastructure assets are also receiving attention.Still, the Altcoin Season Index near 44 out of 100 does not support calling this a full altseason. Leadership remains selective, and several major altcoins are still down heavily over longer periods.Zcash stands out from the recovery crowdZcash was one of the more interesting names in the screener because its strength was not limited to one session.ZEC gained approximately 10.7% on the day and 14.8% over the week. More importantly, it was shown up around 111.7% over six months, 9.7% year-to-date, and more than 1,400% over one year.That separates ZEC from coins that are merely bouncing after deep declines. It is displaying genuine relative strength across several timeframes.This does not automatically make it attractive at any price. It does, however, make ZEC a useful asset to watch when assessing where sustained crypto momentum is developing.Speculative tokens provide both confirmation and a warningTRUMP was the strongest daily performer in the supplied table, rising approximately 21.4% on the day and 22.7% over the week.Such a move can confirm that traders are becoming more comfortable with speculative risk. At the same time, TRUMP remained down approximately 63.7% year-to-date and 80.3% over one year.This is a good example of why daily performance should never be examined in isolation. A token can surge more than 20% in one session while remaining inside a severely damaged longer-term trend.When highly speculative tokens begin leading the performance board, sentiment is improving, but short-term excess may also be building quickly.Macro conditions and regulation helped the recoveryThe crypto rebound also received support from outside the digital-asset market.Treasury yields declined and the US dollar weakened after the Treasury announced larger buybacks of long-dated government bonds. Lower yields and a softer dollar can improve the environment for risk assets because they reduce some of the pressure created by tighter financial conditions.Bitcoin is not driven only by crypto-specific news. It remains sensitive to global liquidity, interest-rate expectations and the dollar.Regulatory sentiment also improved after the SEC proposed a framework that could make it easier for some crypto businesses to issue tokens and raise capital. The proposal includes possible exemptions for certain token offerings and enters a 60-day comment period.This is a constructive development after repeated policy delays, but it is not a complete regulatory solution. Broader US crypto legislation, including the Clarity Act, remains unresolved in Congress.What makes a crypto rally more convincing?A healthier recovery normally combines three forms of evidence:August 19 showed progress across all three areas. That makes this rebound more convincing than earlier Bitcoin-only bounces.Nevertheless, short-term momentum and the longer-term trend are still sending different messages. Bitcoin was approximately 20.8% lower year-to-date and around 39% lower over one year in the screener. Solana and XRP also remained deeply negative over those periods.A market can rally sharply inside a damaged broader trend. Traders should therefore separate a powerful recovery from a confirmed new bull cycle.What should crypto traders watch next?The most important test is whether Bitcoin can hold above the former $66,900 range ceiling and build acceptance closer to $70,000.A sustained hold, combined with continued ETF inflows and persistent Ethereum strength, would make the recovery case more credible. A quick reversal below the breakout area, especially alongside renewed ETF outflows or fading altcoin breadth, would increase the probability that this was another relief rally.Crypto momentum has clearly improved. Bitcoin is approaching $70K, Ethereum is outperforming, and major altcoins are participating. That is a healthier setup than a Bitcoin-only bounce. Confirmation now depends on whether the market can defend these gains, continue attracting capital and turn short-term strength into sustained trend repair. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The critical chart for crypto as Bitcoin ranges between $64K and $65KBitcoin spot is trading inside a narrow but important daily decision range between roughly $64,085 and $65,050. These levels are the previous month's point of control and value area high. A daily close outside this band could provide the next meaningful directional clue, while two consecutive closes would offer stronger confirmation.Key takeaways for Bitcoin and crypto tradersImmediate range: Bitcoin is caught between $64,085 and $65,050.Bullish clue: A daily close above $65,050 would strengthen the recovery and the possible bull-flag interpretation.Bearish clue: A daily close below $64,085 would weaken the recovery and bring lower support back into focus.Confirmation matters: One close is an early signal. Two consecutive daily closes outside the range would reduce, but not remove, the risk of a false breakout.Wider crypto impact: Bitcoin often guides crypto risk appetite, but Ethereum and altcoins still need to confirm the same direction on their own charts.As shown above on my daily BTCUSDT chart, Bitcoin spot trades between the previous month's point of control near $64,085 and value area high near $65,050, with the upper boundary of a descending pitchfork also nearby.In addition to the above chart, I was previously tracking Bitcoin's attempt to build accepted value above the crucial $64,000 to $64,095 Point of Control, where buyers must prove genuine value repair rather than just temporary stabilization off the $62,380 monthly Value Area Low. This digital asset consolidation unfolds against a volatile macro backdrop now, as Eamonn at investingLive.com reported on the broad risk-off selloff across Asian equities that triggered a KOSPI circuit breaker amid Middle East geopolitical escalations and rising crude prices. At the same time, semiconductor market structure remains in focus after Eamonn also highlighted that Beijing is easing restrictions on Nvidia H200 chip shipments for top tech firms, setting up key order-flow catalysts across the broader tech and AI hardware space. The previous report is a bearish sentiment for crypto while the news from Bejing is slightly bullish for 'risk-on' assets. But as most of you know, I am mainly watcing what price does. So let's dive into it.Why is the $64K-$65K Bitcoin range so important?The wider grey range on the chart still matters, but it is too broad to provide the most useful short-term signal. The smaller yellow zone between approximately $64,000 and $65,000 is where the more immediate battle is taking place.The lower boundary, near $64,085, is the previous month's point of control. This is the price at which the greatest amount of trading activity took place within that monthly profile. It can act like a magnet because the market previously found substantial agreement there.The upper boundary, near $65,050, is the previous month's value area high. This marks the upper edge of the zone where most of the previous month's volume was transacted.These are not magical prices. They matter because they represent areas where many traders and trading systems may reassess whether Bitcoin is still trading inside accepted value or is beginning to establish value somewhere new.What would make the Bitcoin chart more bullish?The first bullish tell would be a daily candle closing above $65,050. That would matter for two reasons.First, Bitcoin would be closing above the previous month's value area high, suggesting that buyers are trying to establish acceptance above an area that previously contained most trading activity.Second, the same move could push price beyond the upper boundary of the descending pitchfork shown on the chart. This is why I am watching the formation as a possible bull flag. However, it should not be treated as a confirmed bull flag before price actually breaks out and holds above it.If Bitcoin closes above $65,050, the next question is whether the following daily candle can remain above the range. Two consecutive closes would make the breakout more credible and bring the wider resistance area around $66,600-$67,300 back into focus.What this means: A breakout is more convincing when price does not merely spike above resistance, but closes above it and continues to defend the level afterward.What would make the Bitcoin chart more bearish?A daily close below $64,085 would be the first warning that the latest recovery is failing to hold the previous month's main high-volume price.That would not guarantee an immediate drop. Bitcoin could still reclaim the level quickly. But if the market records two consecutive daily closes below $64,085, the bearish case becomes more credible and attention may shift back toward lower parts of the broader range.The previous month's value area low near $62,380 would then become a more relevant downside reference. It should be treated as an area to monitor, not as a promised target, because Bitcoin can still react at intermediate support before reaching it.Why daily closes matter more than intraday moves hereBitcoin trades around the clock, and visible levels often attract brief stop-runs in both directions. Price can move above $65,050 or below $64,085 during the day and still finish the session back inside the range.That is why I am more interested in the daily close than in the first intraday break. One close outside the yellow zone would be the first directional tell. Two consecutive closes would provide significantly higher confidence that the market is accepting the breakout rather than producing another trap.This is a confirmation filter, not a certainty filter. A strong move can still reverse after two closes, while waiting for confirmation can also mean entering or reacting later. The advantage is that it asks the market to provide evidence before a trader forms a stronger directional view.Why this Bitcoin chart matters for the wider crypto marketBitcoin remains the main liquidity and sentiment reference for the crypto market. If it establishes value above $65,050, that could improve risk appetite across Ethereum and higher-beta altcoins. If it loses $64,085 and begins rotating lower, weaker crypto assets may come under greater pressure.Still, Bitcoin's breakout should not be treated as automatic confirmation for every token. Traders and investors should check whether the asset they follow is also breaking its own resistance, holding support and showing improving participation.This tighter range also builds on our earlier Bitcoin analysis explaining why reclaiming $64,000 was so important. Bitcoin has now returned to that area, but the daily chart shows that reclaiming a round number and establishing acceptance above the full $64,085-$65,050 band are not the same thing.What should crypto traders watch next?The critical question is simple: does Bitcoin produce a daily close above or below the yellow range?Above $65,050: The recovery strengthens, and the possible bull flag becomes more credible.Inside $64,085-$65,050: Bitcoin remains in a decision zone where chasing short-term moves carries a higher risk of whipsaw.Below $64,085: The recovery weakens, and lower support becomes more relevant.The wider grey range can wait. For the next directional clue in crypto, I am watching the smaller yellow range and, most importantly, where Bitcoin closes. This is a scenario map rather than a guarantee, so traders should use position sizes and risk limits appropriate to their own strategy.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validThis analysis remains relevant while Bitcoin is trading near or reacting to the $64,085-$65,050 range. If price has already moved far beyond either boundary, the levels should be used to judge whether the breakout is holding or failing, not as a fresh reason to chase the move. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin stabilizes near $63,000, but reclaiming $64,000 is the real testBitcoin is stabilizing near $63,100 after buyers defended the lower part of its recent range. That is constructive, but it is not yet a confirmed recovery. BTC must first overcome resistance near $63,175-$63,270, while reclaiming and holding $64,000-$64,095 remains the more important test.Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders and investorsCurrent position: BTC is holding above the previous month’s lower value boundary near $62,380.Immediate resistance: Buyers need to clear $63,130-$63,175, followed by $63,247-$63,270.Main recovery test: A sustained reclaim of $64,000-$64,095 would carry much more weight than a temporary bounce near $63,000.Major support: The broader $62,380-$62,535 region remains the most important defended zone.Bullish confirmation: Repeated closes, consolidation or a successful retest above $64,095 would show that Bitcoin is beginning to establish higher accepted value.Data note: The latest daily, four-hour and one-hour candles were incomplete when this analysis was prepared. Exchange-specific Bitcoin prices may also differ slightly.I'm also closely monitoring the digital asset space after Bitcoin lost the critical $64,000 support level, putting immediate pressure on lower order-flow shelves as bulls fight to defend structural trendlines. Regulatory headwinds also resurfaced as the SEC abruptly canceled its scheduled crypto rules meeting, injecting fresh institutional hesitation into active trading books. Meanwhile, broader risk sentiment showed divergence across asset classes as US stocks finished the week mixed while the Russell 2000 notched a new record high, underscoring rotational breadth away from mega-cap tech into small-cap momentum. Macro headwinds and geopolitical posturing remain front and center following headline chatter that Trump suggested declaring the Strait of Hormuz US territory, all while monetary policy uncertainty lingers after Fed's Barkin highlighted the difficulty in gauging restrictive policy limits amidst baseline model variances.Why Bitcoin’s stabilization is constructive but incompleteBitcoin recently fell to approximately $62,535, where the decline attracted meaningful buying. Price subsequently recovered toward $63,100, strengthening the case that buyers are willing to defend the lower part of the previous month’s trading range.What stands out to me, however, is how little upward progress followed that buying.Several periods showed positive buying pressure, but BTC remained concentrated around $63,050 and repeatedly struggled to extend beyond $63,150-$63,175. In simple terms, buyers have shown that they can slow the decline, but they have not yet shown that they can move Bitcoin into a clearly higher trading range.This is the difference between stabilization and recovery:Stabilization means sellers are no longer pushing price lower with the same ease.Recovery means buyers are lifting price, holding above resistance and shifting the market’s most active trading area higher.Bitcoin has shown the first condition. The second still needs confirmation.Why $62,380 and $64,095 matterThe previous month’s value area provides a useful map of where most Bitcoin trading took place:Value Area Low near $62,380: The lower boundary of the previous month’s heavily traded range.Point of Control near $64,095: The price that attracted the most trading activity during the month.Value Area High near $65,050: The upper boundary of the previous month’s accepted range.BTC is currently about $720 above the monthly Value Area Low, but almost $1,000 below the monthly Point of Control.Holding above $62,380 tells us that demand inside the previous month’s range has not completely failed. Remaining below $64,095 tells us that buyers have not regained control of the broader value structure.This is also why $64,095 may be more important than $64,000 itself. The round number attracts attention, but $64,095 represents the previous month’s busiest price area. A brief move above $64,000 could still become another failed breakout. Holding above $64,095 would provide stronger evidence that the market is accepting higher prices again.As discussed in our previous analysis, Bitcoin’s loss of the key $64,000 level created technical repair work for buyers. That repair is not complete simply because BTC has bounced from $62,535.Bitcoin support and resistance levels to watchWhat would strengthen the bullish Bitcoin scenario?Swing traders should have 3 key price levels: The Value Area Low (VAL), Point of Control (POC) and Value Area High (VAH) of the previous month. Together, these levels map the previous month’s main area of accepted trading: the VAL marks its lower boundary, the VAH its upper boundary, and the POC the price where the most volume traded. Traders watch them because holding inside the area suggests continued acceptance, while a sustained break outside it may signal that the market is searching for a new value zone.The first constructive step would be sustained trade above $63,175. Buyers would then need to clear and hold above $63,247-$63,270.That would improve the probability of a move toward $63,350 and, eventually, the much larger $64,000-$64,095 test.A more convincing recovery would include:Bitcoin reclaiming $64,000.Price moving above the monthly point of control near $64,095.A pullback successfully defending the reclaimed area.Trading activity beginning to concentrate above $64,095 rather than immediately slipping back below it.If that sequence develops, approximately $65,050 becomes the next major value-area objective.What this means: Acceptance is more than touching a level. It means price spends time above it, survives pullbacks and begins treating the higher area as support.What would weaken the stabilization attempt?Failure to hold $62,920-$62,800 would weaken the current short-term base and increase the probability of another test of $62,535.The more serious bearish development would be sustained trade below $62,380. That would place BTC outside the previous month’s accepted value area and suggest that the market may need to search for demand at lower prices.Traders should still distinguish between a brief move below $62,380 and genuine acceptance beneath it. Crypto markets can produce fast stop-runs through visible support before reversing. Repeated closes or continued trading below the level would carry more bearish significance than a momentary sweep.What Bitcoin traders may consider watchingDifferent traders may use these levels in different ways, at their own discretion:Short-term breakout confirmation: Watch whether BTC can break above $63,175 and successfully retest it, with $63,247-$63,270 providing the next validation area.Support-zone reaction: If BTC returns to $62,380-$62,535, watch whether buyers defend it again or whether selling begins to hold below the zone.Broader recovery confirmation: Treat $64,000-$64,095 as the decisive recovery test instead of assuming that every bounce from $63,000 marks a durable bottom.Because Bitcoin trades continuously, weekend conditions can sometimes involve thinner liquidity and less reliable breakouts. Confirmation through time, repeated closes or a successful retest may therefore be more useful than reacting to the first price spike.What should Bitcoin traders watch next?Bitcoin has defended the lower part of the previous month’s value area, but the rebound still needs to prove itself. The immediate challenge is to move beyond $63,175 and $63,270.The much larger test remains $64,000-$64,095. A successful reclaim would indicate that Bitcoin is returning toward the center of the previous month’s accepted value rather than merely bouncing from support.Until that happens, Bitcoin may be stabilizing, but it is not yet showing a fully confirmed bullish recovery.This analysis presents conditional market scenarios and opinions (not promises) at investingLive.com, not a guarantee of future performance. Traders should consider volatility, position size and their own risk limits before acting. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

In my previous Bitcoin analysis, I showed that the assigned score of -4 (which means moderately bearish), and the bears are indeed still proving to be stronger than the bulls as Bitcoin continues struggling to reclaim ground below $64,000. Looking at the broader macro backdrop, we could see an increase in risk-off sentiment soon following news that Trump ordered new tariffs up to 100% on drone imports citing national security. However, the AI trade remains a persistent tailwind for equity markets, driven by ongoing optimism as OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate surpassed $40 billion according to recent reports (gotta admit, that's impressive, and the AI trade may still have some fuel).Now let's jump into the crypto king who seems a lttile tired at this stage of the tired summer. Still, as always, the important point is to know the key price levels on the trading map, and be ready if price activates an opinion to buy or sell. So check out the fillowing key price levels both in the Bitcoin futures and the spot chart.Bitcoin Price Analysis Today: BTC Breaks Below Value as Sellers Regain ControlBitcoin is trading around $63,350-$63,400, with the short-term structure turning more bearish. Bitcoin futures have broken below their developing value area, while the daily BTCUSD spot chart is slipping beneath its rising pitchfork channel and remains below the important $64,000 value pivot. Buyers now have some technical repair work to do.Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders todayShort-term bias: Bearish while BTC remains below the broken value area.Futures bearish threshold: Below $63,300 strengthens the downside continuation scenario.Futures bullish threshold: Buyers need to reclaim approximately $63,725 for a more credible recovery.Spot Bitcoin: The daily chart is losing the lower boundary of its rising pitchfork and remains below the important $64,000 area.Major downside test:$62,865-$62,900, where buyers previously reacted aggressively.What does the Bitcoin spot chart show today?My daily BTCUSD chart below adds an important bigger-picture warning to the shorter-term futures analysis.Bitcoin's rebound from the early-August low created a rising pitchfork channel. Think of the pitchfork as a way of mapping the path that an orderly trend might follow. Its parallel lines can act as dynamic support and resistance as price travels through time.For several sessions, Bitcoin stayed inside that rising structure. Now price is starting to cross beneath its lower boundary. Bulls still need a $64k reclaim (they may or may not get it).That matters because a bullish channel only remains useful while buyers continue defending it. Once price starts trading below the lower rail, the market is effectively saying that the previous rate of ascent may no longer be sustainable.What this means: Breaking a rising pitchfork does not automatically mean Bitcoin must collapse. It means the short-term bullish trajectory has weakened, and buyers need to prove themselves again.That is why I am watching $64,000 closely.The spot chart also contains a volume profile covering the broader trading range. The important nuance is that Bitcoin is now below the range's central high-volume reference, or point of control, near the $64,000 region.It has not yet broken beneath the entire broader value area, with deeper value support still considerably lower. But trading below the main value pivot tells us that the market is spending time on the weaker side of the range.Combine that with the pitchfork break, and the burden of proof has shifted back toward the buyers.What is a Bitcoin value area, and why does losing it matter?A value area shows where a large proportion of trading activity took place during a selected period.Instead of looking only at whether Bitcoin moved up or down, volume profile asks another useful question:At what prices did the market actually do the most business?Those areas can become important because buyers and sellers have previously demonstrated that they were comfortable transacting there.The point of control, or POC, is the individual price area where the greatest amount of volume traded.When Bitcoin is above an important value area and holding there, buyers may have greater control. When price moves beneath it and cannot recover, the market can start searching for lower prices where buyers are willing to become active again.That is essentially what is happening on the shorter-term Bitcoin futures chart now.Why are Bitcoin futures looking weaker?Bitcoin futures attempted another recovery following the August 13 selloff.Price initially recovered toward $64,100, then dropped sharply toward $62,865. Buyers responded from that low and pushed BTC back above $63,500, but the recovery failed to rebuild a stronger bullish structure.During the new session, futures reached approximately $63,715 and then spent several hours rotating around a narrow developing value area.The key references were approximately:The latest downside move pushed futures beneath developing value and below the session's main high-volume area.That is a meaningful change.Instead of buyers accepting progressively higher prices, the market is now moving away from value on the downside.What would make Bitcoin more bullish again?The investingLive tradeCompass bullish threshold is $63,725 on the futures map.That level sits just beyond the recent overnight high and the upper developing value area.A move above it would therefore mean more than Bitcoin simply bouncing $100 or $200. Buyers would be reclaiming the area where the latest balance developed and breaking through the recent sequence of weaker intraday highs.If Bitcoin accepts above $63,725, the upside areas to watch are:$63,875$63,955-$64,040around $64,200The most important zone is approximately $63,950-$64,050.That region matters on both charts.On futures, it contains previous value and resistance. On the daily spot chart, it also brings Bitcoin back toward the key $64,000 value pivot and toward the broken rising-channel structure.In other words, reclaiming $64,000 would begin to repair several pieces of technical damage at the same time.A brief touch is not enough, however.What this means: Acceptance means price gets above an important level, spends time there, and shows that buyers can defend it. A five-minute spike above resistance followed by an immediate reversal is very different from genuine acceptance.What would strengthen the bearish Bitcoin scenario?The bearish tradeCompass threshold remains approximately $63,300.A sustained move below this area would confirm that Bitcoin is not simply probing beneath developing value but is actually accepting lower prices.The bearish reaction zones are:$63,195$63,105-$63,120$62,865-$62,900around $62,650 if the recent low fails decisivelyThe $62,865-$62,900 area deserves special attention.Bitcoin already produced a strong reaction from this region. Traders should therefore not assume that revisiting the level guarantees another immediate breakdown.Previous lows can attract both profit-taking from shorts and fresh buying interest.For that reason, chasing bearish moves directly into established support can offer much less attractive risk-reward than waiting for either a clearer breakdown or a failed rebound into previously broken value.The Bitcoin tradeCompass mapHow can traders combine the spot and futures charts?This is where looking at more than one timeframe becomes useful.The futures chart is giving the faster tactical message: BTC has broken below developing value.The daily spot chart is giving the broader structural warning: Bitcoin is below the main $64,000 value pivot and is slipping beneath its rising pitchfork.When two different views point in the same direction, the message deserves more attention.That does not guarantee lower prices. It simply raises the standard buyers must meet before the market can reasonably be described as repaired.For me, the picture becomes considerably more constructive if Bitcoin futures reclaim $63,725 and spot BTC subsequently recovers and holds approximately $64,000.Until then, rallies deserve some skepticism.This analysis uses Bitcoin futures for the detailed tradeCompass thresholds and BTCUSD spot for the broader daily-chart structure. Futures, perpetual contracts, and spot Bitcoin can trade at slightly different prices, so traders should map the analysis to the instrument they actually trade.How traders can manage the Bitcoin mapThe tradeCompass is designed as a decision map, rather than a prediction that traders must follow.If a bearish scenario activates, traders can consider taking partial profits as major support areas are approached rather than assuming every target must be reached.Likewise, if Bitcoin reverses and activates the bullish map, resistance around $64,000 should be treated as an important test rather than assuming that one breakout candle means the entire bearish structure has disappeared.After a first target is reached, and certainly after a second target, traders may consider reducing risk, tightening the stop, or moving it closer to entry depending on their own execution approach.The objective is to avoid allowing a trade that has already moved favorably to return all the way to its original risk unnecessarily.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validBecause Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day, this map can become stale quickly.A simple way to check whether the analysis still matters is to compare current price with its main thresholds:If BTC remains below $63,300, the bearish continuation scenario is active.If price is between roughly $63,300 and $63,725, Bitcoin is back inside the decision zone.If futures have accepted above $63,725, the immediate bearish structure is repairing.If spot Bitcoin has also reclaimed and held $64,000, the larger chart becomes meaningfully less bearish.If price has already travelled through several published targets, do not treat the original map as a fresh entry signal.The levels can still help explain where the market has travelled and where traders may reassess an existing position, but the article should not be treated as permanently current.For more context on bullish and bearish thresholds, confirmation, partial-profit targets, and decision zones, read the investingLive guide to using a tradeCompass market map.Trade at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The abrupt pull raises the obvious question of timing, given the meeting had been on the calendar since Monday and was widely framed as the SEC stepping in to fill the gap left by the Senate's failure to advance the CLARITY Act before recess. A genuine scheduling conflict is plausible given the short four day notice period the agency used to announce the meeting in the first place, but crypto markets that had been pricing in a pro industry regulatory signal this week will likely read any delay as a source of fresh uncertainty until a new date is confirmed. Watch for reaction in token prices tied to fundraising exemptions and for commentary from Chair Atkins or fellow commissioners clarifying whether this is a short administrative delay or a sign of internal disagreement over the rule text.--- Washington's first formal attempt at crypto specific rulemaking hits a delay before it even reaches a vote.Summary:Reuters reported at 5.13pm on August 13 that the SEC abruptly cancelled its anticipated Friday meeting to propose crypto regulationsThe SEC said in a statement the meeting will be moved, citing an unforeseen scheduling issueNo new date was given in the reported statementThe meeting in question was set for Friday August 14 at 10am ET to consider proposing Regulation Crypto, the SEC's first formal crypto specific rulemakingThe session had been announced on unusually short notice on August 10, four days ahead rather than the standard weekIt followed the Senate's failure to advance the CLARITY Act before its August recess, with that bill's procedural vote now not expected until September 15 The US Securities and Exchange Commission has abruptly cancelled a meeting scheduled for Friday at which commissioners were expected to vote on proposing the agency's first formal crypto specific rulemaking, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing an SEC statement.The statement, issued at 5.13pm on August 13, said the meeting would be moved, citing an unforeseen scheduling issue. No new date was included in the reported statement.The now delayed session had been set for 10am on Friday August 14 at the SEC's Washington headquarters, where the three member commission was due to consider whether to formally propose Regulation Crypto, a framework built around tailored fundraising exemptions for token projects. The agency had announced the meeting on unusually short notice on August 10, giving only four days warning rather than the standard week required for public sessions, a compressed timeline that at the time signalled urgency around the rulemaking.That urgency was tied directly to events in Congress. The Senate failed to advance a procedural cloture vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before departing for its August recess, pushing the broader legislative framework for crypto market structure into limbo, with the next opportunity for Senate action not expected until September 15. In that vacuum, Friday's meeting had been widely characterised as the SEC moving to fill the regulatory gap through rulemaking rather than waiting on Congress, a project Chair Paul Atkins has been building toward publicly since March.The cancellation leaves that plan on hold for now. A scheduling conflict of the kind cited is not unusual given how compressed the original notice period was, and it does not necessarily point to disagreement within the commission over the substance of the proposal. Even so, the timing, hours before a vote that had been positioned as a marquee moment for US crypto policy, is likely to draw scrutiny from an industry that has been watching Washington closely for any sign of regulatory clarity. Markets and commentators will now be watching for confirmation of a rescheduled date and for any statement from Atkins or his fellow commissioners on what caused the delay.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Why BTC Is Struggling Below $64,000 as Sellers Re-Take ControlBitcoin futures are navigating a shaky short-term setup today. After a quick bounce from $63,260 stalled right around the $64,000 mark, sellers stepped right back into the driver's seat. While the immediate outlook leans bearish, BTC is hovering near crucial support levels that could dictate its next big swing.Before diving into the chart technicals, it is worth looking at the broader macro backdrop driving global markets today:Federal Reserve Signals:Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently signaled she would support a September rate hike if incoming economic data demands tighter policy, putting extra eyes on the upcoming US CPI inflation report.Global Market Divergence:Asian stock markets showed mixed performance overnight. A semiconductor surge lifted South Korea's Kospi, while Japan's Nikkei paused to wait for US inflation cues.Crypto Ecosystem Shifts:Tether announced it is giving users until September 17 to exit its gold-backed Alloy lending platform as the company redirects focus toward deepening liquidity for its flagship XAUT token and core crypto offerings.Key Takeaways for Bitcoin Traders TodayIf you are actively trading or holding BTC, here is the quick snapshot of where things stand right now:Current Bias: Bearish repair phase (not a confirmed bullish reversal yet).Prediction Score: -4 / +10 (indicates a moderate bearish advantage with medium confidence).Bullish Trigger: Sustained acceptance above $64,100.Bearish Trigger: Sustained trading below $63,580.Immediate Support Zone:$63,260 – $63,300 (where buyers previously stepped in).Execution Risk: Shorting straight into major support carries a poor risk-to-reward ratio. Waiting for a failed rebound or confirmed breakdown is generally a safer play.Note: This analysis is based on Bitcoin futures. Spot prices, perpetual swaps, and CFDs may trade at slight variances, so be sure to calibrate these zones to your specific trading platform.What Is Happening to Bitcoin Right Now?Bitcoin has been under noticeable pressure following two heavy selling waves that knocked futures down from roughly $65,545 to a low of $63,260.The initial recovery effort off that bottom looked promising, bringing prices up to $63,995 while briefly rebuilding volume at higher levels. However, buyers simply couldn't hold ground above the psychological $64,000 mark.This rejection is a classic example of buyer absorption. Aggressive buyers were actively picking up available sell orders, but because larger sellers were dumping heavy supply into that demand, price couldn't move higher and eventually closed near the bottom of the move. Buying activity alone isn't bullish—it has to actually hold the price up to count.Because it failed to hold, BTC slipped below its developing value area, pulling back toward the $63,695 level and making the overnight rally look more like a failed attempt at a fix than a true trend reversal.On the BTCUSD 1 hour chart, I'm also watching this potential channel, and especially if price decides to cross over its (red) mid lineWhy the Failed $64,000 Breakout MattersThe $63,935 to $64,100 zone has now transformed into the most critical resistance level on the chart.Because Bitcoin already tagged $63,995, a quick pop back above $64,000 won't necessarily mean buyers are back in charge. Major round numbers frequently attract liquidity sweeps and stop runs before price falls back into its old range.That is why the true bullish confirmation threshold is set slightly higher at $64,100—just above the previous value-area high.To confirm genuine price "acceptance" above this level, traders typically look for:Price holding above $64,100 for an extended periodFull 30-minute or 1-hour candles closing above the zoneA clean breakout followed by a successful retest of supportStronger buying volume following the breakoutWhat Would Turn the Bitcoin Outlook Bullish?The first sign of structural improvement would be a move back above the fair-value cluster between $63,765 and $63,825. This would pull BTC back over its value-area low and high-volume node.However, clearing that hurdle alone isn't enough to kill the bearish trend. Buyers still need to clear $64,100. If they succeed, the primary upside targets for resistance or profit-taking include:$64,240$64,430 – $64,480$64,580$64,930 – $64,980The final target zone sits just under the critical $65,000 resistance block where the recent breakdown first gained momentum.What Would Make the Outlook More Bearish?Trading below $63,765 serves as an early warning sign that the recovery is losing steam, but the official bearish activation level sits at $63,580.How you approach this depends on your trading style:Aggressive Traders: May look at weakness below $63,765 as an early clue to position short.Conservative Traders: Will likely wait for a confirmed breakdown below $63,580 (under both the overnight low and point of control). This sacrifices entry price in exchange for a higher probability trade.If sellers manage to push and hold price below $63,580, the primary downside target levels are:$63,420 – $63,380$63,260 – $63,300 (Major Support)$63,050$62,820 (if panic selling accelerates)Bitcoin Support & Resistance Reference TableTrading Scenarios: Bullish vs. BearishThe space between $63,580 and $64,100 is effectively a "decision zone." Price can chop around aggressively within this range, but neither buyers nor sellers have fully established control until a boundary breaks.Understanding the -4 Bitcoin ScoreThe -4 score out of +10 reflects a modest advantage for sellers, not an absolute guarantee that Bitcoin is going to crash immediately.The failed attempt at $64,000 and the loss of short-term value support this soft bearish bias. However, the score isn't more negative because the bounce off $63,260 showed real buying interest, and sellers haven't managed to crack that support floor yet.Final Takeaway for TradersThe main takeaway from today's price action is simple: never trust high buying volume in isolation. Aggressive buying only matters if it actually pushes price higher. When buyers are active but the market continues closing near its lows, it usually signals that heavy institutional supply is soaking up that demand.Avoid chasing shorts directly into the major $63,260 support floor. Waiting for a failed bounce into resistance or a clean, confirmed break below $63,580 offers a much better risk-to-reward setup.Disclaimer: Crypto trading carries significant risk. Always use proper risk management, set stop losses, and trade according to your personal strategy     This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin holds $65,000 after weak US jobs report and crypto bill delay: Is the breakout still alive?Bitcoin futures remain marginally constructive above the 64,990-65,005 support zone, but Friday's breakout is not confirmed while price remains below 65,450-65,550. Ethereum futures are weaker, holding 1,915-1,918 but struggling to regain higher value. The result is a cautiously bullish crypto retest, not yet a clean continuation signal.Key takeaways for Bitcoin and Ethereum tradersBitcoin bias: Cautiously bullish while BTC futures hold 64,990-65,005, but buyers still need acceptance above 65,450-65,550.Ethereum bias: Constructive above 1,915-1,918, although ETH needs to recover 1,934-1,941 to repair the deeper rejection.Supportive macro catalyst: July US payrolls fell by 23,000, reducing expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate increase.Crypto-specific headwind: The Senate delayed consideration of the CLARITY Act until after its August recess, extending regulatory uncertainty.The important signal: Bitcoin did not surge decisively on the supportive macro news, but it also resisted breaking down on the policy setback. That mixed price response makes $65,000 the key decision area.This analysis is based on the 30-minute CME Bitcoin and Ethereum futures charts. Spot crypto, CFDs, ETFs and futures contracts can trade at different prices, so readers should adjust the levels to the instrument they use.Why the weak US jobs report helped crypto sentimentThe July employment report was weak enough to change the wider market's interest-rate expectations.US nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000, compared with an expected increase of 80,000 in a Reuters poll. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised May and June payroll growth down by a combined 103,000. The unemployment rate was little changed at 4.1%, while labor-force participation remained at 61.4%. The full US jobs report is available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.Markets interpreted the report as reducing the risk of an immediate Federal Reserve rate increase. Reuters reported that the implied probability of a September hike fell to about 40% from roughly 55% before the release. US stocks and bonds rose, Treasury yields fell and the dollar weakened. Reuters covered the broader market response to the employment data.That combination can be supportive for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Lower yields reduce the relative attraction of cash and short-dated government debt, while a weaker dollar can ease financial conditions.However, weak employment is not automatically bullish for crypto. If investors begin treating labor-market weakness as evidence of a more serious economic slowdown, the same data can eventually hurt risk appetite. The first reaction therefore matters, but so does the market's ability to hold the move.Why the CLARITY Act delay matters for Bitcoin and cryptoThe macro catalyst was supportive, but the crypto-specific news was less helpful.The US Senate postponed consideration of the CLARITY Act until after its August recess, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune indicating that the legislation would be taken up in September. The proposed law is intended to clarify regulatory jurisdiction over digital-asset markets, making its progress important to exchanges, token issuers and institutional investors. Barron's reported the Senate delay and its implications for the crypto industry.The delay does not mean the bill has failed, but it extends uncertainty and compresses the legislative timetable. Negotiations have also included an ethics provision addressing political figures' ability to profit from crypto interests. Reuters reported that the provision remained under negotiation between lawmakers and the White House.This creates a useful two-sided test for Bitcoin. The jobs report gave risk assets a macro reason to rise, while the policy delay gave crypto investors a reason to remain cautious.What stands out to me is that Bitcoin showed neither an explosive upside response nor a decisive bearish failure. That is why I would focus less on the headlines themselves and more on whether buyers can continue defending the breakout area.What Bitcoin's response to the news may be telling tradersA favorable headline is not enough by itself. If an asset barely rises on supportive news, the muted response can reveal limited demand. Conversely, if price refuses to fall on negative news, it can reveal that sellers are being absorbed.Bitcoin is currently showing both signals.The relatively restrained upside follow-through after the jobs report is a warning against assuming that a larger rally is automatic. At the same time, BTC's ability to stay near $65,000 despite the policy setback suggests that supply has not yet overwhelmed demand.This does not prove accumulation. It tells us that the next price acceptance test carries more information than either headline in isolation.What this means: Acceptance occurs when price does more than briefly touch a level. It spends time beyond it, closes there and successfully defends the area on a retest.Bitcoin price analysis: The $65,000 breakout faces its first real testBitcoin futures rallied from an overnight low of 64,290 to an intraday high of 66,020, a move of approximately 2.7%.The rally accelerated after BTC cleared 64,990-65,005. That zone combines the lower boundary of Friday's developing value area with the upper edge of the previous session's accepted value. In practical terms, Bitcoin attempted to move from one established trading range into a higher one.The first warning appeared near 66,000. Price reached 66,020, failed to remain near the upper VWAP deviation area and rotated back toward 65,000, giving up slightly more than half of the advance from the overnight low.The pullback has not yet confirmed a failed breakout.The 11:30 candle briefly traded down to 64,955, just below the visible support cluster, before recovering to close at 65,385. I consider that rejection constructive because buyers responded after price swept below the obvious level. The limitation is that the recovery did not generate sustained upside follow-through. At the time of analysis, Bitcoin had returned toward 65,100 and remained below the developing session point of control near 65,450.The importance of this area is also consistent with our earlier Bitcoin price analysis around the 64,940 value-area reference. The current test is therefore not occurring at a random round number. It sits close to a price area that has repeatedly separated higher and lower accepted value.What would confirm a stronger Bitcoin breakout?Above 64,990-65,005: The move can still be treated as a breakout retest rather than a confirmed failure.Above 65,450: BTC would recover the session's highest-volume price.Acceptance above 65,550: The bullish structure would improve and 66,020 would return as the first major upside test.Sustained trade above 66,020: Bitcoin would begin a new attempt at upward price discovery.What would weaken the Bitcoin price outlook?A sustained 30-minute break below 64,990 would weaken the breakout and suggest that Bitcoin is returning to its previous value area.The next supports would be:64,585-64,615: Previous value cluster.64,290: Friday's overnight low.Around 63,980: A larger downside market-structure reference.The practical distinction is between a temporary sweep and genuine acceptance below support. A quick move under 65,000 followed by recovery can reveal demand. Repeated closes below the area would indicate that the market is accepting lower prices.Ethereum price analysis: A stronger rally followed by a heavier rejectionEthereum futures produced the larger percentage move, rallying from 1,896 to 1,959, or approximately 3.3%.ETH cleared 1,916-1,918 and the previous value-area high around 1,923-1,924, then pushed through 1,934 and approached 1,960. However, Ethereum also suffered the deeper rejection.Price fell from 1,959 to 1,915, returning almost completely to the breakout base. The decline occurred with substantial volume, making the rejection more meaningful than a quiet, low-volume pullback.Buyers still responded where they needed to. The 1,915 low swept the developing value-area low and the previous session's point of control before ETH recovered to close that 30-minute candle at 1,929.5.The later return toward 1,922-1,923 leaves Ethereum above the current session point of control near 1,918, but still struggling to regain the previous value-area high. This is a repair attempt, not yet renewed leadership.What would repair the Ethereum breakout?Hold 1,915-1,918: Keeps the breakout-retest argument alive.Reclaim 1,923-1,924: Improves the immediate structure.Move above 1,934: Opens a test of the developing value-area high near 1,941.Acceptance above 1,941: Reopens the intraday high at 1,959.Above 1,959: The next larger resistance reference is near 1,978-1,979.What would invalidate Ethereum's short-term repair?A sustained loss of 1,915 would expose 1,911-1,912 and the psychologically important 1,900 area. Below 1,900, the rally would increasingly resemble a failed upside auction, with 1,880 becoming the next major reference.Is Bitcoin stronger than Ethereum right now?Bitcoin has the slight structural advantage.Both markets built overnight bases, broke above previous value, expanded toward their upper VWAP areas, rejected the highs and returned to test the breakout zones. Both also swept marginally below support before recovering.That sequence is still more consistent with a breakout retest than a confirmed bearish reversal. However, neither asset has fully re-established control in the upper part of its new distribution.Bitcoin has preserved slightly more of its advance and remains above the critical 64,990-65,005 threshold. Ethereum generated the stronger initial rally but surrendered more of it and still needs additional repair above 1,923-1,924.For that reason, BTC is the relative leader for now, while ETH is the more important confirmation market.What would confirm or reject the wider crypto breakout?The strongest bullish evidence would be simultaneous acceptance above:Bitcoin futures: 65,450-65,550Ethereum futures: 1,934-1,941That would show that both markets had absorbed their pullbacks and returned to the upper portions of their new value distributions. Bitcoin could then retest 66,020, while Ethereum could challenge 1,959.The wider crypto picture remains constructive but unresolved while:Bitcoin holds 64,990-65,005.Ethereum holds 1,915-1,918.Inside those conditions, traders should be prepared for rotation, repeated tests and temporary liquidity sweeps rather than assume immediate continuation.The crypto-wide picture would turn materially weaker if both assets lose support. That would expose 64,585-64,615 and 64,290 in Bitcoin, alongside 1,911, 1,900 and eventually 1,880 in Ethereum.A breakdown in only one asset would create divergence, not a clean market-wide signal. Confirmation from both Bitcoin and Ethereum would provide the higher-confidence directional message.How traders can use this Bitcoin and Ethereum level mapThis analysis follows the investingLive tradeCompass principle of mapping both directions and allowing price to activate the stronger scenario.Traders using the map can consider waiting for a hold, a 30-minute close or a successful retest rather than reacting to the first tick through a threshold. If a scenario activates and begins reaching its targets, partial profit-taking can reduce risk. The one-trade-per-direction principle can also help prevent repeated entries if the same level becomes choppy.For more context on threshold activation, confirmation and failed breakouts, see how traders can use the investingLive tradeCompass market map.How to know if this crypto analysis is still validThis analysis remains useful while Bitcoin and Ethereum are still interacting with the stated decision zones.If BTC has already accepted well above 66,020, the initial bullish target has been reached and the article should not be treated as a fresh long-entry signal. If Bitcoin is trading persistently below 64,585, the breakout-retest thesis has materially weakened.For Ethereum, sustained trade above 1,959 would move the market beyond the current confirmation map, while persistent trade below 1,900 would indicate that the repair has failed.The levels are intended to help readers judge confirmation, failure and market structure. They are not guarantees of direction. Crypto and futures can move rapidly, so position size and maximum acceptable loss should be defined before any trade is considered.Frequently asked questions about the Bitcoin and Ethereum breakoutWhy can weak jobs data support Bitcoin?Weak employment data can reduce expectations for tighter monetary policy, pushing yields and the dollar lower. That can support risk assets, including Bitcoin. The effect is not automatic because a sufficiently weak economy can also damage broader risk appetite.What confirms the Bitcoin breakout above $65,000?Holding 64,990-65,005 keeps the retest alive, but stronger confirmation requires Bitcoin futures to recover 65,450 and accept above 65,550. A sustained move above 66,020 would indicate a new upward price-discovery attempt.What would indicate that the crypto breakout failed?A sustained Bitcoin break below 64,990, especially alongside an Ethereum loss of 1,915-1,918, would weaken the wider breakout. Repeated closes below those zones matter more than a brief liquidity sweep. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The postponement removes near term regulatory clarity for digital asset markets, extending the uncertainty firms have cited as a constraint on custody and product planning since the bill cleared committee in May. A September vote pushes the decision into a session already crowded with appropriations fights ahead of the November midterms, reducing the available floor time and adding execution risk to the bill's prospects for 2026 passage. Crypto-linked equities and token prices tied to regulatory outcomes may see continued volatility on headlines around the ethics provision and Democratic support, while the delay reinforces reliance on existing SEC and CFTC guidance as the only near term regulatory guardrail. Sentiment is likely to stay sensitive to any signal from Senate leadership on how much September floor time the bill will actually receive.--- Crypto's biggest legislative priority has been bumped into a September session with barely any spare floor time, leaving the industry's regulatory clarity on hold for at least another month.Summary:The Senate has postponed a floor vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act until September, missing its self-imposed deadline before the August recessThe bill passed the House in July 2025 by a 294-134 vote and was advanced by the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 in May 2026It has sat on the Senate Legislative Calendar since June 1 as Calendar No. 423, eligible for a floor vote whenever leadership chose to schedule oneSenate Majority Leader John Thune had said the bill would get a floor vote before recess, but competing priorities, including federal nominations and a Russia sanctions bill, took precedenceOutstanding disputes include an ethics provision addressing senior government officials' ties to the crypto industry, an area where the White House reached a partial agreement with lawmakers in recent weeksThe House and Senate both return for a few weeks in September, but face limited floor time before Congress breaks again for the midterm election campaignIn the absence of the bill, the industry's main regulatory guardrails remain existing SEC and CFTC guidance issued outside of Congress The US Senate has postponed a vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act until September, pushing back the crypto industry's central legislative priority as lawmakers run out of floor time before the August recess. The bill, which would establish a system for regulating digital commodities through the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, has already cleared the House and a Senate committee but has not reached a floor vote despite months on the Senate's legislative calendar.The House passed the bill in July 2025 by a 294-134 margin, with more than 70 Democrats joining nearly all Republicans in support. The Senate Banking Committee advanced its own negotiated version on May 14 this year by a 15-9 vote, with two Democrats crossing over, and the bill was formally placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar as Calendar No. 423 on June 1, making it eligible for consideration whenever Senate leadership chose to schedule floor time. Senate Majority Leader John Thune had indicated the bill would get a vote before the chamber's recess, but competing legislative priorities, including federal nominations and a Russia sanctions bill, ultimately crowded it off the agenda.A key sticking point has been an ethics provision aimed at limiting senior government officials' ability to profit from the crypto industry, a measure that has drawn scrutiny given the involvement of high profile political figures in digital asset ventures. Negotiations over that language continued into early August, with the White House engaging on a compromise proposal from lawmakers, though Democrats have signalled the current terms may not go far enough to satisfy their concerns. Other unresolved details, including provisions addressing illicit finance and agricultural commodity issues, remain under discussion as well.With the vote now pushed to September, the bill faces a narrower window than before. Both chambers return for only a few weeks that month, and floor time will compete with appropriations bills and the approach of November's midterm elections, conditions that policy analysts have said could cause the bill's prospects to deteriorate further the longer it drags on. In the meantime, the digital asset industry continues to operate under existing regulatory guidance issued directly by the SEC and CFTC, rather than the clearer statutory framework the CLARITY Act is intended to provide, a gap that firms have cited as a constraint on custody arrangements and product planning throughout 2026. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

The removal is likely to be felt most acutely among crypto traders who rely on Telegram as a primary communication and trading channel, given the app's central role in many token communities and trading groups. GRAM, the digital asset linked to the Telegram ecosystem, has already registered a modest decline on the news, reflecting some near-term uncertainty even though existing installations remain fully functional. Since new downloads and updates are frozen rather than existing access being cut off, the immediate disruption looks more operational than systemic, though a prolonged removal could pressure sentiment further if it starts to affect user growth or platform reliability on iOS. The lack of any statement from either Apple or Telegram leaves the market guessing as to whether this echoes the brief 2018 removal or reflects a more serious or lasting issue.--- Telegram has vanished from Apple's App Store worldwide without explanation, leaving existing users unaffected for now but blocking new downloads and updates.Summary:Apple has removed Telegram Messenger from the iOS App Store worldwide, preventing new installs or updates, while existing installations on iPhones continue to function normally for now.Neither Apple nor Telegram founder Pavel Durov has issued an official statement explaining the removal.Users who delete the app from their iPhone will not be able to re-download it from the App Store, and new iPhones or iPads cannot access the official Telegram client through Apple's marketplace.Updates, including bug fixes, performance improvements and security patches on iOS, are frozen until Apple restores the listing.The outage is isolated to Apple's iOS distribution; Telegram's web interface, desktop apps for macOS and Windows, and Android versions remain fully accessible.Digital assets linked to the Telegram ecosystem saw short-term price dips as news of the delisting spread across social channels.The removal poses an immediate operational risk for traders, particularly in crypto, who use Telegram as their primary hub for communication and trading updates. Apple has removed Telegram Messenger from the iOS App Store worldwide, cutting off new downloads and updates for the messaging app without offering any public explanation for the move.The removal appears to have happened quietly, with no prior warning from either company. As of early Tuesday, searches for Telegram were returning no results across Apple's App Store in multiple regions, with official app store pages showing errors rather than the usual listing. Existing installations on users' iPhones continue to function normally for now, meaning current users are not immediately locked out of the platform or their accounts.The practical restrictions, however, are significant for anyone without the app already installed, or who might delete it. Users are being warned not to uninstall Telegram from their iPhones, since doing so would leave them unable to re-download it through the App Store. Anyone setting up a new iPhone or iPad is similarly unable to fetch the official Telegram client directly from Apple's marketplace. Updates are also frozen, meaning bug fixes, performance improvements and critical security patches on iOS will not be delivered until Apple restores the listing.Notably, the disruption is confined strictly to Apple's iOS distribution channel. Telegram's web interface, its standalone desktop applications for macOS and Windows, and its Android version all remain fully accessible, meaning users on other platforms are unaffected by the removal.Neither Apple nor Telegram founder Pavel Durov has issued an official statement addressing the cause of the removal, leaving open questions about whether it reflects a policy dispute, a technical issue, or something more significant. The episode is not without precedent. Apple previously removed Telegram, along with its experimental Telegram X app, from the App Store in 2018 over concerns about inappropriate content circulating on the platform, before restoring both apps once additional safeguards were introduced. Separately, in April 2024, Apple removed Telegram alongside WhatsApp, Signal and Threads from the App Store in China specifically, at the request of Chinese internet regulators citing national security concerns, a move Apple said at the time it was legally obligated to comply with.For now, the current removal is global in scope and has come without any accompanying statement, a departure from the more targeted, explained actions Apple has taken in the past. The uncertainty has already had some market impact, with digital assets tied to the Telegram ecosystem, including the GRAM token formerly known as TON, registering short-term price declines as news of the delisting spread across social media. The disruption carries particular significance for crypto traders and community managers who rely heavily on Telegram as their primary channel for communication and trading updates, a group for whom even a temporary inability to install or update the app on iOS represents a meaningful operational risk. With the situation still developing and no official word from either company, the extent and duration of the removal remain unclear.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Ethereum price analysis today: ETH bears press $1,852, but support has not broken yetEthereum futures outlook score: -4 / +10Bias: Moderately bearish while below $1,881.50, but sellers still need confirmed acceptance beneath $1,848.50 to activate the next downside leg.Ethereum futures are trading near $1,860.50 after retreating from Sunday’s high at $1,903.50. Short-term market structure remains bearish, with failed rebounds, declining resistance and accepted value moving closer to the bottom of the recent range.However, Ethereum is now pressing a heavily defended support cluster between approximately $1,848.50 and $1,857.50. This makes the outlook more balanced than the bearish score alone may suggest.The market is weak, but it is also compressed against support. That combination can produce either a confirmed breakdown or a sharp rebound if sellers fail to extend the decline.Key takeaway: Ethereum remains bearish below $1,881.50, but selling directly into $1,852 carries poor location unless price confirms that support has failed. Bulls need to repair the structure above resistance, while bears need sustained acceptance below $1,848.50.Why the Ethereum outlook remains bearishAfter my previous analysis whereby Bitcoin's slip below the $64,940 key level following a rejection at $65,800 as active traders evaluate whether buyers can reclaim structural order flow, I am looking at geopolitics which continues to drive macro sentiment: headline risks remain elevated after renewed US-Iran conflict headlines rattled broad market sentiment, which spilled directly into Asian trading sessions where crude oil slumped following Trump's latest statements regarding Iran. Looking ahead to today's trading calendar, keeping a close eye on the key economic calendar events and scheduled risk catalysts will be critical for managing exposure across both traditional asset classes and digital assets.Back to crypto, Ethereum futures initially balanced between approximately $1,905 and $1,935 before attempting to establish higher value near $1,930-$1,943. That attempt failed.Several developments reinforce the bearish interpretation:On July 30, Ethereum futures reached $1,946 but closed near $1,921, even though buying activity was strongly positive. Buyers were aggressive, but they could not establish higher prices.Ethereum subsequently fell through the psychologically important $1,900 area and continued toward $1,852.Friday’s rebound from approximately $1,849-$1,852 reached $1,881.50, but buyers could not sustain the repair.Sunday’s reopening rally reached $1,903.50, briefly moving above the previous value-area high near $1,889, before being rejected.The current session’s accepted trading activity has migrated lower.The last point is especially important. The previous session’s value-area high was near $1,889, while the current value-area high is developing near $1,878.50. The point of control, where the most volume traded, has shifted from approximately $1,872 toward $1,860.50.This means the market is not merely dipping briefly. Traders are increasingly conducting business at lower prices.Why chasing Ethereum lower may still be dangerousThe bearish evidence is meaningful, but Ethereum has not yet established accepted value below $1,852.That area has repeatedly attracted support, and several technical references are concentrated nearby:Developing activity around $1,857.50-$1,860.50Developing and previous value-area support near $1,852-$1,854.50The July 31 structural low near $1,849Higher-timeframe support around $1,848.50The psychological $1,850 levelThe latest completed hourly sequence also showed shrinking volume and narrower price ranges after the test of $1,852. One of the heavier selling bars reached $1,852 but recovered to close at $1,858.50. The following bars did not immediately produce a fresh low.That can indicate that sellers are beginning to lose momentum or that passive buyers are absorbing market sell orders. It does not prove that a lasting bottom has formed, but it warns against assuming that every move beneath $1,860 will automatically continue lower.Repeated tests of support can have two very different outcomes. They can weaken the level until it breaks, or they can exhaust sellers and produce a reversal. Price still needs to reveal which outcome is developing.The higher-timeframe Ethereum structureThe daily chart provides an important counterweight to the short-term bearish evidence.Ethereum broke out of a broader bull-flag structure in mid-July and subsequently retested the breakout area. The current decline may still be a correction or consolidation within that larger recovery rather than the beginning of a complete structural breakdown.Daily support near $1,848.50-$1,850 is therefore highly relevant. It aligns with several earlier highs, lows and opening-price references.If this area holds, Ethereum could be completing another downward leg inside its broader July range. If it fails, the immediate intraday downside targets may be followed by a deeper higher-timeframe test near $1,788-$1,780. That region includes the previous monthly value-area low and the approximate location of the earlier bull-flag breakout.A still deeper extension could eventually bring approximately $1,766 into view, although that is not the immediate TradeCompass scenario.Ethereum bullish above $1,881.50The bullish TradeCompass threshold is $1,881.50.The current value-area high is developing near $1,878.50, but a brief move above that price may only represent a liquidity probe. The published bullish threshold includes a buffer above the resistance cluster.Acceptance above $1,881.50 would indicate that buyers are beginning to reverse the downward migration of value and repair the latest breakdown.Bullish partial-profit targets are:$1,888, just before the previous value-area high near $1,889$1,898-$1,900, ahead of Sunday’s high and the $1,900 round number$1,909-$1,911, around previous balance and resistance$1,919.50, just before the earlier $1,920.50 referenceThe bullish outlook would improve further if Ethereum sustains trade above $1,900-$1,903.50, rather than merely touching that area.Beyond the immediate TradeCompass targets, a stronger recovery through approximately $1,933-$1,935 would reopen the path toward:The previous monthly value-area high near $1,968The July 27 high at $1,981.50The psychologically important $2,000 levelThis larger bullish path remains possible, but Ethereum must first repair the local structure above $1,881.50.Ethereum bearish below $1,848.50The bearish TradeCompass threshold is $1,848.50.A small move beneath $1,852 would not necessarily be sufficient. It could become a liquidity sweep below an obvious support level, followed by a fast recovery.The cleaner bearish confirmation would involve:Sustained trade beneath $1,848.50Failure to reclaim $1,849-$1,852New high-volume activity developing beneath the broken support shelfContinued migration of accepted value to lower pricesIf the bearish scenario activates, downside areas to consider for partial profit-taking are:$1,844.50-$1,840$1,837.50-$1,833$1,822-$1,820, if selling acceleratesA rapid recovery back above $1,852 after a breakdown would warn that the move may have been a failed breakdown rather than genuine bearish acceptance.The Ethereum decision zoneWhile price remains between the two activation thresholds, Ethereum is inside a broad decision zone:Above $1,881.50: Bullish repair activates$1,872-$1,881.50: Main resistance and decision area$1,860.50-$1,872: Internal repair zone$1,852-$1,857.50: Concentrated supportBelow $1,848.50: Bearish continuation activatesInside this range, both sides remain vulnerable to false starts.Holding $1,852 does not automatically make Ethereum bullish. It initially means only that sellers have failed to extend the decline.Likewise, briefly trading beneath $1,852 does not automatically validate a short. Sellers must clear the full support cluster and establish trade beneath it.What volume delta reveals, and what it does notVolume delta compares aggressive buying with aggressive selling.Positive delta means more contracts traded at the offer, normally associated with buyers crossing the spread. Negative delta means more contracts traded at the bid, normally associated with aggressive selling.However, delta should not be interpreted in isolation.When Ethereum reached $1,946 with strongly positive delta but failed to hold the advance, it suggested that sellers were absorbing aggressive buyers. Similarly, Friday’s rebound produced strong buying activity but failed to establish a lasting recovery above $1,881.50.The latest order-flow readings remain seller-aligned, but price has not yet accepted below $1,852. This disagreement between bearish activity and defended price is precisely why confirmation matters.A personal note on scores and key price gatewaysAlthough an outlook or score may begin bullish or bearish, I place greater importance on how price later reacts at the key gateways in the trading map. These levels are not random prices. They reflect accepted value, concentrated volume, previous highs and lows, liquidity behavior, psychological prices and relationships across multiple timeframes.A bearish score should not become a permanent opinion. If Ethereum reclaims an important gateway and holds above it, the evidence can shift from bearish toward neutral or bullish. If support breaks and fails on a retest, the bearish case becomes stronger. The map helps traders update their decision support as price supplies new information.This is consistent with the investingLive TradeCompass methodology: trade the map rather than becoming attached to the initial prediction.A gateway can activate through a sustained hold, a candle close beyond the level or a breakout followed by a successful retest. A single tick above or below a threshold may not provide sufficient confirmation.How traders can approach the current Ethereum mapThe cleaner approach may be patience.Bulls can wait for acceptance above $1,881.50.Bears can wait for sustained trade below $1,848.50, ideally followed by a failed reclaim.A tactical countertrend long may become more attractive if Ethereum sweeps beneath $1,852 or $1,849, quickly recovers and then reclaims $1,860.50.A rebound that fails between $1,860.50 and $1,872 may provide bears with better location than selling directly into support.If a scenario activates and reaches its first target, traders can consider taking a partial profit and reducing risk. After the second target, protecting the remaining position becomes increasingly important. A smaller runner can then pursue a larger move without allowing the full original risk to remain open.The suggested TradeCompass discipline is a maximum of one completed trade per direction for each published map. This helps reduce repeated entries, overtrading and emotionally driven attempts after a failed setup.Ethereum outlook conclusionEthereum futures remain under bearish pressure, but the market has reached a support area that sellers have not yet broken convincingly.The lower migration of accepted value, failed rallies and rejection from $1,903.50 support the -4 / +10 score. The repeated defense of $1,849-$1,852, signs of declining hourly selling momentum and the still-relevant higher-timeframe bull-flag structure prevent a more aggressively bearish conclusion.The map is therefore conditional:Above $1,881.50, Ethereum begins a bullish repair.Below $1,848.50, bearish continuation becomes more credible.Between those gateways, price remains compressed and vulnerable to two-sided rotation.The current session profile is still developing, so its value-area and volume references may shift as more trading occurs.All prices refer to Ethereum futures and may differ from spot ETH or CFD quotations. Futures are leveraged instruments. Position size, stops, slippage and contract selection should be considered before any trade.Trade at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

In terms of 'risk on' sentiment, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing new life after testing key moving averages and getting a boost from Amazon earnings, up over 10% overnight, contrary to Apple's negative earnings reaction of apx -7% in after-hours after it reported its quarterly earnings. Crypto has been a lot less volatile. Not to mention the KOSPI, or Korea Composite Stock Price Index, the benchmark stock market index of South Korea,moving a mind blowing 14% yesterday (!) as Adam Button at investingLive notes that it is not a huge surprise given the rebounds in chip stocks yesterday but it's still unbelievable to see a national index swing like the Kospi has this week.I also found the following quite interesting in the stock market, whereby a hedge fund named Situational Awareness LP borrowed heavily (using 4x leverage) to bet big on AI infrastructure stocks, but when those stock prices fell in July, the fund ran out of money and was forced by banks to sell off all its shares. Giant investment firm Citadel stepped in to buy the fund's entire stock portfolio at once, which stopped the panic, cleared out the forced sell-off, and sparked a quick rebound in AI tech stocks. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency markets (like Bitcoin and Ethereum) remained steady and largely unbothered, demonstrating that eliminating a single forced seller in traditional stock markets doesn't automatically spill over into 24/7 crypto trading.  Now lt's dive into some bitcoin futures key price levels for today's trading map, shall we?Bitcoin price analysis today: BTC slips below $64,940 after $65,800 rejectionBitcoin futures have shifted into a moderate bearish correction after a rally to $65,800 failed and price slipped below the important $64,940-$65,000 area. Sellers retain the near-term advantage, but BTC is already testing support. A cleaner downside signal requires acceptance below $64,350, while buyers need to reclaim $64,910 and then $65,400.Bitcoin prediction score: -4 / +10Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders and investors todayShort-term bias: Moderately bearish following the rejection from $65,800.Immediate pivot:$64,940-$65,000 separates defended higher value from a deeper corrective rotation.Bullish tradeCompass threshold: Above $64,910, with stronger confirmation if buyers hold above $65,000.Bearish tradeCompass threshold: Below $64,350, opening the next downside targets.Higher-timeframe test: A daily close above $65,400 would begin repairing the correction, while acceptance above $66,075 would offer much stronger bullish evidence.Important data warning: The July 31 daily and weekly candles are still developing. The latest confirmed daily close is July 30 at $65,080.What is happening to Bitcoin today?August Bitcoin futures were trading near $64,565 at the time of this analysis after a sharp overnight reversal.Bitcoin initially rallied from approximately $65,020 to $65,800, but buyers could not sustain the move. Price quickly returned below $65,000 and fell toward the $64,375-$64,540 support area.The failure matters because it was not Bitcoin's first unsuccessful attempt to establish a stronger breakout. BTC previously reached approximately $67,095 on July 21, but the move did not produce lasting acceptance above the upper part of the July range.The daily structure subsequently shifted into a correction. The July 30 rebound was constructive, but the $65,080 close remained below the main recovery zone near $65,400. The developing July 31 candle then traded as high as $65,800 before fading sharply.I am therefore treating the latest move as another failed recovery attempt, not yet the beginning of a new bullish leg.However, this is also not a confirmed larger bear trend. Bitcoin remains close to important central support, while the broader weekly market is still trading inside a balance between approximately $63,600 and $66,075.My 4-hour Bitcoin CME Futures chart uses a Fixed Range Volume Profile to identify key price acceptance levels. The market is consolidating inside a highlighted yellow zone between two critical levels: the Point of Control (PoC) at $64,000, which represents the price level with the highest traded volume, and the Value Area High (VAH) at $65,850, marking the upper limit where 70% of volume was transacted. Trading within this range indicates market balance, with $64,000 providing solid support and $65,850 acting as overhead resistance until a directional breakout occurs.Why $64,940-$65,000 is the key Bitcoin pivotThe $64,940-$65,000 area combines two important market references:The previous month's upper value boundary near $64,940.A high-volume price area near $65,000 that has repeatedly attracted Bitcoin over the past three weeks.This makes the area more important than an ordinary round number.Above $64,940-$65,000: Buyers are defending the market's recent migration into higher value. Bitcoin could then attempt another recovery toward $65,400-$65,800.Below $64,940-$65,000: The market begins rejecting that higher-value area. This increases the probability of rotation toward $64,260 and the previous month's main high-volume price near $63,925.What this means: A high-volume price area represents a level where buyers and sellers previously conducted substantial business. Price often returns to these areas because the market has already demonstrated acceptance there.The repeated attraction toward $65,000 also carries a warning. Buyers have shown aggression, but that activity has not produced sustained price progress. This suggests that supply remains active between approximately $65,000 and $66,100.Bitcoin bullish above $64,910The bullish tradeCompass scenario becomes active above $64,910.This threshold is positioned beyond the immediate intraday resistance cluster. A 30-minute close above it, followed by continued acceptance or a successful retest, would suggest that the overnight breakdown is beginning to fail.A move above $64,910 would activate a tactical bullish scenario, but it would not fully repair the daily correction. Bitcoin would still need to overcome the more important $65,400-$65,800 resistance zone.Bullish Bitcoin partial-profit areasThe first target is close to the bullish threshold because Bitcoin would immediately encounter substantial resistance near $65,000. Reclaiming $64,910 should therefore not be interpreted as a guaranteed return to the overnight high.A failed reclaim followed by sustained trade back below approximately $64,810 would weaken the tactical bullish setup.Bitcoin bearish below $64,350The bearish tradeCompass scenario becomes active below $64,350.This level is placed below the developing support area and the overnight low near $64,375. It is intended to distinguish a genuine breakdown from a brief test or stop-run beneath visible support.A 30-minute close below $64,350, or a breakdown followed by a failed attempt to reclaim it, would provide stronger evidence that sellers are establishing acceptance at lower prices.Bearish Bitcoin partial-profit areasIf price recovers and sustains trade back above approximately $64,540 after triggering the bearish scenario, that would weaken the immediate breakdown thesis.The $63,840-$63,925 area is particularly important. It could attract price if Bitcoin remains below $64,940, but it may also produce a meaningful rebound because it represents the previous month's main area of accepted value.The practical Bitcoin tradeCompass for July 31The -4 / +10 score reflects a moderate bearish edge, not an extreme bearish condition. The failed recovery and loss of the $64,940-$65,000 pivot favor sellers, but nearby support makes chasing the decline less attractive without confirmation.What should Bitcoin investors watch beyond today's session?For investors and swing traders, the larger decision area is wider than the intraday tradeCompass.Bitcoin remains inside a higher-value weekly balance as long as it holds approximately $63,600-$63,925. That area combines an important weekly support boundary with the previous month's high-volume price.A daily close below $63,535-$63,600 would make the correction structurally more serious and raise the probability of a retest of $62,680.Acceptance below $62,680 would represent a more meaningful bearish range expansion. The next support areas would then sit around $61,865-$61,430. The previous month's lower value boundary near $59,545 would become relevant only if the correction develops considerably further.On the bullish side, a daily close above $65,400 would represent early repair. Sustained acceptance above $66,075 would provide the stronger signal because it would show that buyers are finally moving Bitcoin beyond the recent balance.The next upside tests would then be $67,095 and approximately $67,360.What many Bitcoin traders may get wrongThe rejection from $65,800 is bearish information, but it does not mean every price below $65,000 offers an equally attractive short.Bitcoin has already fallen more than $1,400 from the overnight high and is testing the lower part of today's developing value. Selling directly into support can leave traders exposed to a sharp rebound toward $64,940-$65,080.The same warning applies to buyers. A bounce from $64,375-$64,540 would not, by itself, reverse the correction. Buyers still need to reclaim the resistance overhead and prove that price can remain there.This is why the area between $64,350 and $64,910 is best treated as a decision zone. Inside it, price may rotate in both directions without producing reliable follow-through.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validThis map remains most useful while Bitcoin futures are reacting around the published thresholds.If price is still between $64,350 and $64,910, the market remains in the decision zone.If Bitcoin has accepted above $64,910, use the upside areas to judge progress rather than chasing after several targets have already traded.If price has accepted below $64,350, the bearish targets become relevant.If Bitcoin has moved substantially beyond the final intraday target, a new market map is needed.Because the daily and weekly candles are unfinished, their closes may materially change the higher-timeframe interpretation.Managing risk around the Bitcoin decision zoneThe tradeCompass is a scenario map, not a requirement to trade. Traders can wait for acceptance, a candle close or a successful retest before treating either threshold as activated.Consider taking partial profits at the published reaction areas and reducing remaining risk after the first or second target. Under the suggested tradeCompass discipline, traders should take no more than one completed trade in each direction from the same published map.For more context on threshold confirmation, decision zones and partial-profit management, read how traders can use the investingLive tradeCompass market map.This analysis refers primarily to the August 2026 Bitcoin futures contract. Bitcoin spot, perpetual contracts, CFDs and other futures contracts may trade at different prices. Traders should transfer the market logic to their own chart rather than copying the futures levels mechanically.Trade at your own risk. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.