Crypto News

Bitcoin is trading in a narrow range so far today, with a low of $85,131 and a high of $86,375. The current price is near $86,163, toward the upper end of that range.The buyers have a modest technical advantage. However, they still need to clear overhead resistance to give the next move higher more momentum.In the video above, I take a detailed look at the digital currency and explain in detail the compression and what traders should be on the lookout for.  Rising moving averages support the buyersThe price has dipped briefly below its rising 100-hour moving average at $85,373, but those breaks have been modest and have failed to attract sustained selling. That suggests buyers remain willing to step in on dips.Below that, the 200-hour moving average at $84,633 provides another support target, followed by the rising 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart near $84,393.Together, those moving averages give traders a series of levels to measure the buyers’ control. Holding above them keeps the recovery intact. Breaking below them would start to take that control away.The upper swing area remains a hurdleOn the topside, Bitcoin remains within the $85,578–$87,374 swing area that has been in play since late September.That area also has a longer history. It acted as a floor from late December into late January before the price broke lower on January 29. An old floor can become a ceiling when the price returns to it from below, as traders use those familiar levels to sell or reduce exposure.The buyers have worked their way back into that area. Now they need to get through the top.A move above $87,374—and the ability to stay above it—would increase the bullish bias and open the door for further upside momentum.Bitcoin is compressing like a springWith rising support underneath and resistance overhead, Bitcoin’s price action resembles a spring being compressed.At some point, that compression releases. When it does, the move can be quick as traders caught on the wrong side adjust their positions and breakout traders join the move.The challenge is that compression does not tell us which direction the price will break. The technical levels help answer that question.For Bitcoin, $87,374 is the key upside trigger, while a break below the support cluster extending down to $84,393 would give sellers more control. Until then, traders are waiting for the next shove.Key technical levelsAn upside break above $87,374 would have traders targeting:$90,000: Natural round-number resistance.$90,554: Swing high resistance from late January.$92,000: The 50% midpoint of the decline from the October all-time high.On the downside, sellers first need to break the 100-hour moving average at $85,373, followed by the 200-hour moving average at $84,633 and the 4-hour chart’s 100-bar moving average near $84,393.Below that support, the next targets are:$83,916: The previously broken 38.2% retracement.$81,517–$82,833: A lower swing area.$81,404: The rising 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart.Trader education: A break needs follow-throughFor newer traders, the lesson is that a brief move through a technical level is only the first step. The price needs to stay beyond that level and attract follow-through.Today’s modest dips below the 100-hour moving average show why that matters. Sellers had an opportunity, but they could not build momentum.The same test applies at $87,374. Break above and hold, and buyers strengthen their case. Break above and fall back below, and the buyers may have had their shot—and missed.Know the levels before the spring releases. They help you define your risk, limit your risk and judge whether the next shove is gaining traction. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The Solana Foundation launched Solana DvP (Delivery-versus-Payment) today, an open-source settlement infrastructure designed for financial institutions. It allows the asset and cash legs of a transaction to settle atomically in a single transaction, with input from J.P. Morgan. This directly targets the institutional tokenization/settlement use case rather than just speculative crypto activity.On the macro side, the crypto market found some support recently from the dovish repricing in Fed interest rate expectations after Fed’s Williams and Fed’s Jefferson pushed back against an October rate hike. Moreover, the softer than expected US NFP report on Friday reduced the probabilities for a near-term Fed action further, with traders now pricing just a 21% chance of a hike in October. Given a very light calendar this week, the focus will likely remain on US-Iran developments. If we get a breakthrough, we can expect oil prices to drop significantly and give Solana a boost on lower rate hike expectations and positive risk sentiment. Another escalation, on the other hand, will likely send crude oil higher and weigh on the crypto market.A prolonged stalemate could be viewed as neutral to bullish if Treasury yields decline or the US CPI doesn’t surprise to the upside.  SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Solanais consolidating near the recent highs. The major upward trendline will remain a key support, though, in case we get a pullback. The buyers will likely lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to keep targeting the 149.00 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the correction into the 97.00 support next. SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we have a minor support zone around the 117.00 level. If we get a pullback, we can expect the buyers to step in around the support, with a defined risk below it, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the pullback into the major trendline. SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor downward trendline defining the current pullback. The sellers will likely continue to lean on the trendline, with a defined risk above it, to keep pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to pile in for a rally into new highs.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTomorrowwe have the FOMC meeting minutes. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Ethereum's Glamsterdam upgrade activates on the Sepolia testnet today. The upgrade is focused on scaling Ethereum's L1. The market will be watching the testnet for successful activation, bugs or implementation problems and progress toward the mainnet deployment. Ethereum is targeting mainnet for Q4 2026, so a mainnet date could itself become a catalyst. Glamsterdam is important for Ethereum because it is designed to increase the network’s capacity and scalability. The increased capacity could ultimately lead to additional network usage and demand for Ethereum blockspace that translates into greater economic value. On the macro side, we’ve got a dovish repricing recently in Fed interest rate expectations after Fed’s Williams and Fed’s Jefferson pushed back against an October rate hike. Moreover, the softer than expected US NFP report on Friday reduced the probabilities for a near-term Fed action further, with traders now pricing just a 21% chance of a hike in October.  Given a very light calendar this week, the focus will likely remain on US-Iran developments. If we get a breakthrough, we can expect oil prices to drop significantly and give Ethereum a boost on lower rate hike expectations and positive risk sentiment. Another escalation, on the other hand, will likely send crude oil higher and weigh on the crypto market. ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Ethereum is finally testing the major upward trendline. This is where we can expect the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below the trendline, to position for a rally into the 3,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to pile in for a drop into the 2,360 support next.ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see the price briefly probed above the 2,740 resistance last week but eventually gave back all the gains. We still have a range between the 2,740 resistance and the 2,630 support. Even if we get a break of the trendline, the price might still bounce around the support as the buyers might try to defend the last line before a potential selloff to 2,360. In the meantime, we can expect the buyers to continue to lean on the trendline to position for a rally into new highs and increase the bullish bets on the break of the resistance. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break below the trendline to pile in for a correction into the 2,360 level and increase the bearish bets on a break below the 2,630 level. ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor downward trendline defining the recent pullback into the major trendline. The sellers will likely continue to lean on the downward trendline, with a defined risk above it, to keep pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into new highs.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTomorrowwe have the FOMC meeting minutes. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Solana launches open settlement standard for institutions: what JPMorgan's role actually meansThe Solana Foundation has launched Solana DvP, an open-source program designed to let banks and other financial institutions settle trades of tokenised assets on the Solana blockchain in a single step. The foundation announced it in New York on Monday, 5 October, and said JPMorgan provided input on institutional settlement practices during development.The headline link to JPMorgan is the part readers should look at most carefully. The program is new and potentially useful, but it is not yet evidence that big banks are moving trades onto Solana.What happenedSolana DvP is an escrow program released under the MIT licence, which means anyone can use, adapt and build on it without paying licensing fees. It gives institutions a standard way to carry out delivery-versus-payment, or DvP, settlement on Solana.DvP is the basic safeguard of securities markets: the asset and the cash change hands at the same time, or the trade does not happen at all. That removes the risk of one side paying and the other failing to deliver. In traditional markets this runs through clearing houses, depositories and custodians, and typically takes one to two days. The foundation says its program does it in one atomic transaction, with finality in seconds.The program supports Solana's standard token formats, including Token-2022 features that regulated issuers rely on, such as the ability to pause a token or restrict transfers. Any two counterparties can use it with any settlement agent, such as a bank, custodian or exchange. The foundation says it has passed external security audits and plans to add privacy features so settlement details can stay confidential. It is inviting design partners and early participants ahead of a full production release.Why it mattersUntil now, institutions settling on-chain have typically relied on custom smart contracts built for each deal. A shared open standard could lower that cost and make tokenised securities easier to trade between firms that have not built their own tooling.There is a precedent. In December 2025, JPMorgan arranged a US$50 million tokenised commercial paper issuance for Galaxy Digital on Solana, bought by Coinbase and Franklin Templeton, and handled the DvP settlement itself. Solana DvP effectively turns that kind of bespoke settlement into reusable public infrastructure.The headline versus the commitmentRhodel D'souza, Head of Markets Digital Assets at JPMorgan, said a shared open standard for atomic settlement is the kind of foundational infrastructure institutional participants need, and that the bank was pleased to contribute its expertise.However, the press release includes a JPMorgan disclaimer stating that the bank's involvement was limited to advice on settlement practices. It says this should not be read as JPMorgan designing, operating, approving or endorsing the program. JPMorgan has not said it will settle trades through Solana DvP. What has changed is that a standard now exists. Adoption has not yet been demonstrated.What to watch nextThe clearest signal will be the first named bank, asset manager or custodian to settle a live trade using Solana DvP, and whether repeat users follow. The promised privacy features also matter, since institutions are often reluctant to expose trade details on a public chain.What would weaken the story is a long gap with no named adopters, or institutions continuing to favour private networks or rival chains for tokenised settlement. Readers watching SOL should treat this as a long-term infrastructure development rather than a near-term price catalyst. Infrastructure announcements show where a network is heading, but usage is what confirms it.Key termsAtomic settlement A transaction where every part either completes together or none of it does. In a trade, the buyer can't end up paying without receiving the asset, or the reverse.Finality The point at which a transaction can no longer be reversed or changed. On Solana this takes seconds. Traditional securities settlement usually takes one to two days.Counterparty risk The risk that the other side of a trade fails to deliver what it promised, whether that is the asset or the payment.Tokenised assets Traditional financial assets, such as bonds or commercial paper, represented as digital tokens on a blockchain so they can be held and transferred there.Commercial paper Short-term debt that companies issue to raise cash, usually repaid within months rather than years.Escrow program Code on the blockchain that holds both sides of a trade and releases them only when agreed conditions are met, such as both parties delivering before a deadline.Open source (MIT licence) The code is publicly available, and anyone can use, change or build on it for free, including for commercial purposes.Settlement agent The firm that oversees the exchange of asset and payment in a trade, such as a bank, custodian or exchange.Token-2022 Solana's upgraded token standard. It lets issuers build controls directly into a token, such as pausing transfers or restricting who can hold it, which regulated issuers need. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Citi's upgrade adds tier-one support to the recovery in crypto, which may encourage institutional buyers who have held back since bitcoin's slide from its record high. The forecast's reliance on steady ETF inflows makes weekly flow data a key signal, especially after last week's sharp slowdown. The differing upside targets favour bitcoin over ether, which could shift relative positioning between the two after ether's outperformance. Macro remains the swing factor, with dollar strength or a further rise in Treasury yields the main threats to the bank's outlook.---Earlier:A year after its $126,000 peak, bitcoin trades like a rates bet, not an inflation hedge---Citi has turned more bullish on crypto, but its bet is on bitcoin rather than ether, the token that has done most of the running lately.Summary:Citi raised its 12-month bitcoin target to $113,000 from $82,000 and ether to $3,028 from $2,240, Reuters reported.The bank cites stronger crypto activity, a supportive macro backdrop and resuming ETF inflows, with about $5 billion of inflows expected over 12 months.Citi said the Clarity Act's failure in the Senate narrowed the path to legislation, but SEC rule announcements eased sentiment.Bitcoin has gained nearly 40% and ether about 68% over three months, trimming their year-to-date losses to about 4% and 9%.The targets imply about 31% upside for bitcoin against about 11% for ether.Citigroup has raised its 12-month price forecasts for bitcoin and ether, pointing to stronger activity in crypto markets, a supportive macro backdrop and a return of inflows into exchange-traded funds.In a note late last week, the bank lifted its bitcoin target to $113,000 from $82,000 and its ether forecast to $3,028 from $2,240, Reuters reported. Citi expects inflows into crypto to resume at a slower but steadier pace as financial advisers and brokerages gradually build allocations to bitcoin, and it forecasts around $5 billion of inflows over the next year.The upgrade comes despite a regulatory setback. The US Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act, legislation intended to create a framework for digital asset markets. Citi said the bill's failure narrowed the path to market-structure legislation but prompted rule announcements from the Securities and Exchange Commission that helped ease negative sentiment.Crypto prices have rebounded strongly in recent months. Bitcoin has risen nearly 40% over the past three months and ether about 68%, cutting their losses for the year to roughly 4% and 9% respectively. Bitcoin's recovery from its July lows has been helped by a softer dollar following the US Treasury's move to buy back longer-dated bonds, according to Reuters.The forecasts imply a notable gap between the two largest tokens. With bitcoin trading around $86,000 and ether near $2,700 when the targets were published, Citi's numbers point to upside of about 31% for bitcoin but only about 11% for ether, despite ether's stronger performance in recent months. One analysis of the note suggested that ether's sharp rally has already captured much of its near-term upside, while bitcoin is better placed to benefit first from new institutional inflows.The outlook still depends heavily on the broader macro picture. Citi cited a supportive backdrop, but some other banks see the dollar strengthening from here, which could weigh on crypto. With US Treasury yields near multi-decade highs, investors are also demanding more from assets that pay no income, raising the bar for the steady ETF flows that underpin Citi's forecast. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin's direction now looks tied more to US rates and the dollar than to crypto-specific news, which makes Wednesday's Fed minutes and this week's US data key catalysts. Slowing ETF inflows point to cooling institutional demand, leaving the rally reliant on macro relief rather than fresh buying. Light leverage and normal funding rates reduce the risk of a forced-selling cascade, but they also suggest limited conviction behind the move. Oil is a swing factor too: another leg higher in crude would revive inflation and rate-hike fears, historically a headwind for the token.--- A year after its peak, bitcoin has learned the hard way that it answers to the bond market, and the Fed still holds the key to its recovery.Summary:Bitcoin hit a record of about $126,000 on 6 October 2025 and now trades around $86,000, roughly 32% lower.Rate hikes, an oil shock and 10-year Treasury yields near their highest since 2007 have weighed on the token.A weak September payrolls report cut October Fed hike odds and lifted bitcoin about 3% last week.Spot bitcoin ETF inflows slowed sharply to around $80 million from about $2.4 billion the week before.Futures leverage is near this year's lows, and Citigroup has raised its 12-month target to $113,000.Bitcoin marks one year since its record high on Tuesday, trading around $86,000, roughly a third below the peak of about $126,000 it reached on 6 October 2025.The decline leaves the world's largest cryptocurrency needing a gain of almost 50% just to return to its high. The path from the peak has been a long slide followed by an extended sideways phase rather than a collapse, and bitcoin has recovered about 8% over the past month.The backdrop explains much of the underperformance. The past year has brought an energy shock from the war in Iran, a renewed cycle of rate hikes and a sharp rise in borrowing costs. US 10-year Treasury yields climbed to around 5.3% last week, their highest since 2007. Higher risk-free returns raise the opportunity cost of holding an asset that pays no income, and bitcoin has tended to trade as a high-risk asset sensitive to liquidity rather than as a hedge against inflation.That sensitivity was on display last week. US payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, well short of expectations for 84,000, and markets cut the odds of an October Federal Reserve rate hike from around 70% to below 20%. Bitcoin rose about 3% on the week and briefly touched $87,000.The quality of the rally is mixed. Inflows into US spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds slowed to around $80 million last week from roughly $2.4 billion the week before, suggesting institutional demand has cooled. At the same time, bitcoin futures open interest sits near its lowest level of the year and funding rates in perpetual futures have normalised, meaning the latest gains have not been driven by heavy leverage.Some analysts see room for recovery. Citigroup last week raised its 12-month bitcoin price target to $113,000, still below the record but well above current levels. Technical analysts have also noted that bitcoin's 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages are moving towards their first fully bullish alignment since 2025.Whether that recovery materialises is likely to depend less on crypto-specific news than on the macro picture, particularly the path of US rates, the dollar and oil prices. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, due on Wednesday, are the next test.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin is trading above and below the unchanged level in trading today.   From a fundamental perspective, institutional demand has come back. Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.7 billion in September, and total US spot ETF assets under management now top $111 billion. Wall Street is turning more positive too. Citigroup raised its 12-month Bitcoin target to $113,000 from $82,000, citing stronger crypto activity, a more supportive macro backdrop, and renewed ETF inflows. Helping as well is that the price is back above JPMorgan's estimated production cost of $85,000. That cost estimate is often watched as a rough floor, since miners are reluctant to sell below it. In contrast to that bias, the macro conditions remain the biggest headwind. High government bond yields raise the discount rate on assets like Bitcoin that pay no yield. Liquidity is thin. Stablecoin supply is around $270 billion, down $14 billion since May, which suggests less fresh capital waiting to buy crypto. Geopolitics is adding volatility. On October 2, Bitcoin rallied toward $87,000 before a tanker strike in the Strait of Hormuz, tied to the Iran war, wiped out the gain. There's also supply overhang. In the US, the regulatory picture is unsettled. BitGo's CEO argued that the failure of the Clarity Act left capital markets exposed to risk he compared to Lehman.Technically speaking...The fundamentals tell a story about what people think.  Technicals tell the story about what they are doing. You see that from the price action and applying tools to the price action. IN the video above, I speak to the technicals from the price action of Bitcoin and what it means to you as a trader.  Technically, Bitcoin buyers had another shot at the topside swing area, but the rally fell short of $87,334. The high price on Friday reached $87,144 just short of that target and rotated lower.  The price moved lower on Friday but stalled near the rising 100 and 200 hour MAs and stalled.  Since then, the price rebuilt and moved higher through the weekend. That rally peaked on late Sunday at $86771 and rotated back lower. The low price today reached $85408 which was just below the low of the swing area between $85578 to $87334.  On the downside, in addition to the $85578, the rising 100 hour MA at $85177, the 200 hour MA comes in at $84469 and the 38.2% of the move down from the October 2025 all-time high.  So buyers have not cleared the ceiling. However, sellers still need to break the support underneath to take more control.What buyers need to doBuyers need to get above and stay above $87,334. That would strengthen the bullish bias and open the door toward:$90,554: Higher resistance.$92,003: The 50% retracement.A break above resistance those levels quickly reverses would weaken the bullish signal. Staying above matters.What sellers need to doThe first task is to move below and stay below $85,878. The price is currently trading just above that level at $86098. A move below that, the next tests are:$85,153: The 100-hour moving average.$84,461: The 200-hour moving average.$82,833–$81,517: The lower swing support area if the decline extends.Holding the moving averages would keep buyers in play. Breaking both and staying below would give sellers more control.Trading educationA rally that stalls at resistance does not automatically turn the market bearish. It identifies where buyers ran into trouble. Sellers then need to break support to confirm that control is shifting.That is the lesson here. Watch the levels, watch the reaction, and look for breaks that can stick. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Grayscale's ZCSH ETF recorded approximately $93.6 million of net outflows in the week ending October 2, its first negative week since late August. The increasingly negative geopolitical developments in the past weeks and Fed rate hike expectations might have been behind the outflows since most of the Zcash-specific good news have been already priced in. Moreover, Zcash activated NU7 on public testnet on October 4, slightly ahead of the previously expected October 6 date. The upgrade reduced target block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, while also introducing a Network Sustainability Mechanism and new limits for shielded transactions. Developers will assess the results and make the final mainnet activation decision on October 20, with November 5 currently targeted for mainnet activation. Looking ahead, US-Iran developments will likely remain the main focus this week give the light calendar. A breakthrough in negotiations would be positive for Zcash, as it would trigger a further unwinding of aggressive Fed rate hike expectations. Conversely, a prolonged stalemate or a deterioration in the situation could continue to weigh on risk sentiment and keep a lid on the broader crypto market. ZCASH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Zcashbroke below the major upward trendline and extended the losses as the sellers piled in to target a drop into the 1,031 level next. If the price gets there, we can expect the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below the level, to position for a rally into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the drop into the 800.00 level next.ZCASH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we have a minor upward counter-trendline defining the recent pullback. The buyers will likely lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally into the 1,500 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into the 1,031 level next.ZCASH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor downward trendline defining the current bearish move into the 4-hour trendline. If we get a bounce on the 4-hour trendline, we can expect the sellers to lean on the downward trendline, with a defined risk above it, to keep targeting new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into the 1,500 level next.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTodaywe get the US ISM Services PMI. On Wednesday, we have the FOMC meeting minutes. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Bitcoin couldn’t extend the gains on Friday despite a soft NFP reportand the cryptocurrency eventually ended the day negative. There wasn’t any bearish catalyst for the downside move, it’s just that the NFP report didn’t matter much in the bigger picture since the totality of the US data continues to be strong and the US-Iran negotiations remain at a stalemate. Over the weekend, Bitcoin recovered Friday’s losses and it’s now trading at pre-NFP levels. Given a very light calendar this week, the focus will likely remain on US-Iran developments.If we get a breakthrough, we can expect oil prices to drop significantly and give Bitcoin a boost on lower rate hike expectations and positive risk sentiment. Another escalation, on the other hand, will likely send crude oil higher and weigh on the crypto market. BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Bitcoinis trading near the monthly highs. If the price pulls back into the trendline, we can expect the buyers to lean on it, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally into the 98,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking below the trendline and the 82,500 support to pile in for a correction into the 76,000 level next. BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see the recent rangebound price action. The price broke above the minor 85,000 resistance on Friday but eventually move back below it before recovering the losses. This noise suggests for more caution, so the buyers might want to wait for the price to break above the monthly high or a pullback into the upward trendline to start positioning for a move into the 98,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will need a break below the trendline and the 82,500 support to open the door for new lows.BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor upward trendline defining the current bulling momentum. The buyers will likely continue to lean on it, with a defined risk below it, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to start positioning for a pullback into the major upward trendline. The red lines define the average daily range for today.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTodaywe get the US ISM Services PMI. On Wednesday, we have the FOMC meeting minutes. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

A widely shared post over the weekend claimed BlackRock had bought around $1.6 billion of Bitcoin "this month," citing on-chain data from Arkham. The figure actually covers the past month, so mostly September. It reflects investors buying BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), not BlackRock buying for its own account. The stronger story is how closely those flows tracked Bitcoin's recovery, and what the late-month slowdown might mean.What the BlackRock number really measuresIBIT is a spot Bitcoin ETF. When investors buy more of its shares than they sell, new shares are created and the fund buys Bitcoin to back them, which is held by a custodian. When investors sell more than they buy, shares are redeemed and Bitcoin leaves the fund. Arkham tracks the custody wallets where that Bitcoin is held.That makes the figure a measure of client demand through one product. It shows money arrived. It does not show who the buyers were, how long they intend to hold, or whether some are hedged elsewhere.September's flows came in wavesThe month was far from a steady climb. On September 1, US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $236.5 million, and IBIT accounted for $201 million of that. Two days later the picture flipped: IBIT took in about $454 million on September 3, roughly 62% of all US spot Bitcoin ETF inflows that day.The middle of the month was weak. The week of September 14 to 18 netted only about $6 million, after heavy withdrawals on September 15, when the Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act by 49 votes to 50 and Bitcoin fell below $75,000 intraday.Then came the surge. US spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed $2.39 billion over the five sessions from September 21 to 25, their strongest week since October 2025. IBIT's $381.4 million on September 21 was the largest single-fund daily inflow of the year.Flows and price moved together, until late in the monthAfter the September 15 low near $75,000, ETF flows turned positive on September 17 and stayed positive for the rest of the run. Bitcoin climbed to around $87,000 during the recovery, a gain of roughly 16%. That is the relationship bulls want to see: new money coming into the products while the price rises.The late-month picture is less convincing. Daily net inflows shrank every session of the record week, from $998.95 million on September 21 to $134.47 million on September 25, and September 28 brought just $31.07 million. Bitcoin still ended the September 21 to 25 week 2.3% lower. That suggests the easy part of the recovery may be done: fewer new dollars are arriving each day, and they may no longer be enough to push the price higher on their own.IBIT also cuts both ways. Its size means it can amplify outflows as quickly as inflows, as the September 1 session showed.What could change the interpretationThe recovery case strengthens if inflows pick back up and Bitcoin makes new highs above the $87,000 area. That would suggest ETF demand is still absorbing the available selling. The case weakens if inflows keep shrinking while the price drifts lower, which would point to heavier selling elsewhere in the market.Breadth matters too. Demand spread across several funds is a stronger signal than demand concentrated in one. During the record week, Fidelity's FBTC took $701.7 million, its largest weekly total since September 2025, so the late-September buying was not just a BlackRock story.What to watch nextDaily flows: Watch Farside's Bitcoin ETF flow data to see whether inflows recover or keep fading. Check that each session is complete before drawing conclusions.Price response: Watch whether Bitcoin rises on inflow days, as it did in mid-September, or stalls despite them.Regulation: Watch for the next step on the CLARITY Act. The September 15 vote clearly moved both flows and price. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Earlier today, Bitcoin buyers had their shot near the top of a key swing area at $87,334, but sellers leaned against that level and pushed the price back to the downside. Now, as the weekend approaches, the focus shifts to support. Can buyers defend the levels that helped build the rally, or will sellers unravel more of the move higher?The supplied four-hour chart shows Bitcoin near $84,241, below the upper swing area between $85,578 and $87,334, but still above the 38.2% retracement at $83,916. Sellers earlier today successfully defended resistance and pushed lower, but buyers still have levels below where they can make a stand.Sellers defended a familiar ceilingThe $85,578–$87,334 area has mattered on several tests going back to late 2025 and early 2026 (see red numbered circles on the chart above). The latest rally returned to that familiar area, but buyers could not get above and stay above its upper boundary.That remains the hurdle on the topside. Buyers would first need to move back above $85,578, then break and hold above $87,334 to take more control. A break that quickly fails would give sellers another opportunity to lean against the area.If buyers can clear that ceiling and build on the move, the next upside targets are:$90,554: The next marked resistance level.$92,003: The 50% midpoint of the decline from the October 2025 high to the June 2026 low.Until the upper swing area is reclaimed, the rebound has more to prove.Where buyers need to make a standThe first downside reference is the 38.2% retracement at $83,916. Holding above that level would help keep the pullback contained. Move below and stay below, and attention shifts to the lower swing area between $81,517 and $82,833.That lower area previously acted as resistance. After the break higher, buyers want to see it act as support. The rising 100-bar moving average on the four-hour chart, near $82,773, also sits inside that zone, close to its upper boundary.Buyers holding that zone would keep the recovery in play. However, a move below $81,517 that cannot be quickly reversed would weaken the breakout and give sellers more control. The next downside targets would then be:$80,546: The 200-bar moving average on the four-hour chart.$78,425: The next marked support level below that moving average.Sellers still need to break the support above those levels before the lower targets become the next focus.Trading education: A ceiling becomes a floor only if buyers defend itA break above resistance gives buyers an opening. What happens on the next pullback tells traders whether that opening is being defended.Here, the $81,517–$82,833 swing area provides that test. Buyers holding the zone would support the argument that former resistance has become support. A sustained break below it would weaken that argument and shift attention toward the four-hour 200-bar moving average.That gives traders an area where risk can be defined and limited. The zone does not guarantee a bounce. Its value is that price action around it tells traders whether the bullish idea is holding up or needs to be reassessed.As the weekend approaches, sellers have defended the ceiling. Buyers now need to defend the floor. In the video above, I outline the levels that would give either side more control. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW We haven’t got new major Solana’s specific catalysts in the past couple of days as macro and geopolitical developments continued to dominate the price action. The latest rally was driven by dovish comments from Fed’s Williams and Fed’s Jefferson this week, which provided a boost to the crypto market despite the ongoing US-Iran stalemate.Williams, the President of the New York Fed, and Jefferson, the Fed Vice Chair, are two of the three members of the so-called Fed “troika”, alongside the Fed Chair. Their comments tend to carry significant weight with markets, and this time they triggered a dovish repricing that pushed the probability of an October rate hike down from around 70% to roughly 25%.Looking ahead, the focus will remain on developments in the Middle East and the Fed. A breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations could provide further support for Solana as expectations for aggressive Fed tightening would likely be pared back further. On the other hand, a prolonged stalemate or renewed escalation could limit the upside unless the Fed continues to sound more dovish than markets expect.Today, we have also the US NFP report on the agenda. Given the recent comments from Williams and Jefferson, we would likely need a blockbuster report, with the data beating expectations across the board, to revive expectations for an October hike. Such an outcome could trigger another hawkish repricing and weigh on Solana in the short term.In-line or weaker-than-expected data, on the other hand, would likely reinforce the dovish repricing and give Solana room to extend its recent rally. SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Solanafound support from the dovish Fed comments. The major upward trendline will remain a key support, though, in case we get a pullback. The buyers will likely lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to keep targeting the 149.00 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the correction into the 97.00 support next. SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we have a minor support zone around the 117.00 level. If we get a pullback into it, we can expect the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below the support, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the pullback into the major trendline. SOLANA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor upward trendline defining the recent bullish move. If we get a pullback, we can expect the buyers to lean on it, with a defined risk below it, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to extend the pullback into the 117.00 support.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTodaywe conclude the week with the US NFP report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Tokenised stocks have long been heralded as one of the more obvious bridges between traditional finance and crypto. And now, the US is finally starting to open that door.The SEC had recently introduced an Innovation Exemption, which gives certain platforms a five-year window to experiment with trading US stocks using blockchain technology. But what exactly does that mean?In simple terms, think of it like this. Instead of buying a share of Apple through the traditional stock market infrastructure, investors could eventually hold a digital token representing that very same share on a blockchain instead.The idea here is mainly to bring some of crypto's technology into traditional markets, potentially allowing for faster settlement and more flexible trading. That sounds straightforward enough, no?Well, not quite. The SEC is also putting some fairly strict guardrails around the experiment.The new framework comes with limits on how many stocks that platforms can offer and how much trading activity can take place. For example, platforms can initially offer up to 75 of the largest US stocks with trading capped at just 0.25% of each stock's average daily volume. Meanwhile, smaller stocks may get slightly more room but there are still restrictions regardless.And for Robinhood, they think that these limits could become a problem rather quickly.The firm's crypto chief, Johann Kerbrat, spoke to The Block and said that the company's existing stock token business outside the US is already seeing enough activity that it could bump against some of the SEC's thresholds. That is an important caveat to take note of.Now, we also have to put things into context here. Robinhood's current stock tokens are offered outside of the US and are structured differently from what the SEC is proposing. So, it isn't exactly an apples-to-apples comparison.Having said that, I would argue that the bigger point still stands.The SEC is clearly willing to let tokenised stocks develop in the US. However, it wants to do so in its own terms - which for now means slowly and under controlled conditions.That doesn't mean that things might not change moving forward though. SEC chair, Paul Atkins, has also described the exemption as a bridge towards more permanent rules rather than the final destination. So while they may be putting on the brakes for now, it doesn't mean that they won't take their foot off the pedal at some point in the future.But as we're starting to see here, the conversation is no longer centering on whether stocks can move onto blockchain technology. It is starting to shift towards the idea of whether regulators can keep up if investors actually start using them. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Bitcoin has been consolidating since last Wednesday, but the dovish Fed’s Williams and Fed’s Jefferson comments this week provided support for the cryptocurrency despite the ongoing US-Iran stalemate. Williams is the President of the New York Fed, while Jefferson is the Fed Vice Chair. These two are part of the so-called troika which also included the Fed Chair. Their comments are generally the most influential ones, and they triggered a dovish repricing that took October rate hike probabilities from 70% to roughly 25% now. Bitcoin has also extended the gains this morning following a key technical breakout. Looking ahead, the focus will remain on US-Iran developments and the Fed. A breakthrough in negotiations could provide further support for Bitcoin as expectations for aggressive Fed tightening will likely get pared back further. Conversely, a prolonged stalemate or renewed escalation would likely limit the upside unless the Fed keeps being more dovish than market’s expectations.Today, we also have the US NFP report. Given Fed’s Williams and Fed’s Jefferson comments, we will likely need a blockbuster report, with data beating expectations across the board, to raise the probabilities for an October hike again. Such an outcome could weigh on Bitcoin in the short-term on another hawkish repricing.In-line or weaker than expected data, on the other hand, will likely provide support to extend the recent rally. BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Bitcoinbounced from the broken resistance-turned-support zone around the 82,500 level. If we get another pullback into the support and the upward trendline, we can expect the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below the trendline, to position for a rally into the 98,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking below the trendline to pile in for a drop into the 76,000 support next.BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see the price broke out of the 82,500 and 85,000 range this morning. If we get a pullback, we can expect the buyers to step in around the 85,000 support, with a defined risk below it, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price falling back below the support to extend the pullback into the major upward trendline next.BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, there’s not much we can add here as the buyers will have a better risk to reward setup around the 85,000 support or the major trendline to keep targeting new highs, while the sellers will need downside breaks to position for new lows. The red lines define the average daily range for today.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTodaywe conclude the week with the US NFP report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has proposed a framework that would allow investment advisers and regulated funds to hold Bitcoin and other crypto assets themselves, under certain conditions, and to use state trust companies as custodians.The proposal, announced on 1 October and reported by The Block, aims to close gaps in the infrastructure institutions need to hold digital assets directly rather than through exchange-traded funds or other intermediaries. It would apply to investment advisers and regulated funds, a group that includes asset managers and hedge funds. The plan now enters a 60-day public comment period and is not yet a final rule.SEC Chair Paul Atkins said the agency's rules had not kept pace with a crypto market now worth trillions of dollars. Commissioner Hester Peirce said regulators should protect investors' right to self-custody rather than force them to hold assets with a third party.Why it mattersCustody has long been one of the practical obstacles for professional money managers considering direct crypto holdings. Current rules generally require advisers to keep client assets with a qualified custodian, which has pushed many toward ETFs as the simplest route into Bitcoin. A clearer framework could make direct ownership more workable. Bullish, at the margin. The proposal removes a barrier but does not by itself create demand. It does not require any adviser or fund to buy crypto, and any effect on allocations is likely to be gradual. If adopted, it could also shift some institutional holdings from ETFs into direct ownership. That would make ETF flow data a less complete measure of institutional demand over time.The move is part of a wider push by the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to update crypto regulation after the Senate failed to pass the Clarity Act. More proposals are expected.What to watch nextComment period. Responses over the next 60 days will show whether major asset managers, custodians and banks support the framework or push for changes.Final rule. The final rule could differ from the proposal, particularly on the conditions attached to self-custody and the role of state trust companies.Follow-on proposals. Further SEC and CFTC proposals could shape how far institutional crypto access is expanded.Flows. For market participants, the key test is whether easier custody eventually shows up in allocations, rather than in the headline itself.ps. Earlier ETH news:Lubin-linked wallet moves $356M in ETH: Beware, any sell hype doesn't add up yet. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.