Crypto News

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Is Near Fair Value as $1,813 and $1,739 Define the Next BreakoutEthereum futures are consolidating near a dense $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster. Higher lows give buyers a slight advantage, but sustained hourly acceptance above $1,813 is needed to confirm a bullish breakout, while acceptance below $1,739 would put sellers in control.Ethereum prediction score: +2 / +10Ethereum futures were trading near $1,790 when this analysis was prepared, close to an area the market has repeatedly treated as fair value.The short-term structure leans slightly bullish because ETH has formed a series of higher lows and recovered from its recent decline toward $1,750. However, the market has not produced a corresponding series of higher highs.That means Ethereum is still consolidating rather than trending decisively higher. The current location near the center of the range is also less attractive for chasing either direction.What is the current Ethereum futures range?Across the full visible chart, Ethereum futures have traded between approximately $1,715 and $1,850.However, most of the recent volume has been concentrated inside a narrower range:$1,813: July 7 value area high and major bullish breakout boundary $1,739: July 9 value area low and major bearish breakdown boundary ETH is trading above the midpoint of this volume-defined range, which provides some encouragement for bulls. But price remains inside an established area of balance.This distinction matters. A market can have a mild directional lean without offering a high-quality directional entry from its current location.Why is the $1,785-$1,790 area important for ETH?Several session VWAP references have converged around the current Ethereum price:Today’s developing VWAP: Approximately $1,785 Yesterday’s closing VWAP: Approximately $1,785 July 7 VWAP: Approximately $1,788 July 10 VWAP: Approximately $1,790 VWAP is the average traded price of an instrument during a selected period, weighted by volume. It gives greater influence to prices where more trading activity occurred.When several session VWAPs cluster within a narrow area, they can identify a price zone where buyers and sellers have repeatedly found balance. In this case, the $1,785-$1,790 cluster represents recent market fair value, not Ethereum’s fundamental or intrinsic value.Fair-value areas often produce: Two-way trading Overlapping candles Frequent returns toward the average Failed attempts to establish momentum For that reason, initiating an aggressive directional position near $1,785-$1,790 may offer a weaker risk-to-reward profile than trading closer to the range boundaries or after a confirmed breakout.Traders already short from higher prices could consider reducing exposure around this cluster. The same principle applies to traders who entered long substantially lower, as ETH has returned to an area where the market has repeatedly found equilibrium.Do Ethereum’s higher lows favor a bullish breakout?Yesterday’s low near $1,750 was higher than the important lows recorded during the July 8, July 9 and July 10 sessions.This sequence of higher lows suggests sellers are having increasing difficulty forcing ETH back into the lower part of the range. It is an early sign of improving demand, but it is not yet confirmation of a bullish trend.Higher lows become more meaningful when they are followed by higher highs. Until that happens, the structure may simply reflect compression inside the existing range.Buyers have improved their position, but they have not yet established control.What would confirm the next larger Ethereum move?The principal upside boundary is approximately $1,813, near the July 7 value area high.A brief move above $1,813 would not necessarily confirm a breakout. Crypto futures frequently trade beyond obvious resistance levels to access liquidity before returning to the previous range.One practical confirmation filter would be at least two or three consecutive hourly closes above $1,813. This would provide stronger evidence of acceptance above resistance rather than a temporary price excursion.The equivalent bearish confirmation would be two or three consecutive hourly closes below $1,739, the July 9 value area low.These closing requirements are confirmation filters, not guarantees. They reduce some false-breakout risk, but they may also produce a later entry after part of the move has already occurred.The broader directional map is:Bullish breakout: Sustained hourly acceptance above $1,813 Bearish breakdown: Sustained hourly acceptance below $1,739 Continued consolidation: Trade remains between $1,739 and $1,813 What is the tactical bullish Ethereum trade map?Using the tradeCompass framework, ETH becomes tactically bullish above approximately $1,795, with better confirmation if price can establish itself above the psychological $1,800 level.Potential bullish profit-management levels include:$1,794: Initial partial consideration for existing longs entered lower $1,806: Beyond the $1,800 liquidity area and before resistance near $1,807-$1,808 $1,812: Immediately before the major $1,813 range boundary $1,827: Potential objective following confirmed acceptance above $1,813 $1,848-$1,850: Broader range-high objective if a genuine breakout develops The $1,806 level is positioned beyond the obvious $1,800 round number because price may briefly sweep liquidity around $1,800 before testing the next chart reference.This is a conditional map rather than a prediction that ETH must reach every target. If price fails to hold above $1,795 and returns beneath the VWAP cluster, the tactical bullish case weakens.What is the tactical bearish Ethereum trade map?A move back below the $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster would provide the first sign of renewed weakness. A more meaningful tactical bearish signal appears below approximately $1,782.Potential bearish profit-management levels include:$1,778: Nearby first reduction level $1,767: Most important initial downside target $1,755: Recent reaction area $1,741: Positioned just before the major $1,739 range boundary $1,717: Potential objective only after confirmed acceptance below $1,739 The $1,767 area is particularly important because it combines several previous market references: Yesterday’s value area low The July 9 session high The July 6 value area low This convergence may attract buyers or encourage short sellers to take profits. Traders holding shorts from higher prices could therefore consider reducing at least part of the position as ETH approaches $1,767.Why can partial profit-taking help inside a range?Since July 6, Ethereum futures have repeatedly moved between support and resistance without sustaining a larger breakout. This creates range inertia, where the market has a tendency to rotate back toward previously accepted prices.Every range eventually breaks, but several unsuccessful breakout attempts may occur before the decisive move develops.That makes partial profit-taking particularly relevant. One possible approach is to: Reduce part of the position at the first meaningful target. Tighten the stop or move it closer to the entry price. Retain a smaller position in case the larger breakout develops. After the first target is reached, and especially after a second target, traders should consider reducing the remaining risk. A profitable range trade does not need to become a full loss while waiting for a less frequent extended move.Ethereum futures levels to watchRecent fair-value zone: $1,785-$1,790 An area of balance where two-way trading may continue. Tactical bullish threshold: $1,795 Holding above this level would represent an early improvement for buyers. Psychological confirmation: $1,800 Establishing above the round number would strengthen the short-term bullish structure. Major bullish boundary: $1,813 The larger breakout case requires sustained hourly acceptance above this level. Tactical bearish threshold: $1,782 A move below this level would indicate deterioration in the short-term structure. Important bearish target: $1,767 A confluence area where short sellers may consider reducing exposure. Major bearish boundary: $1,739 The larger bearish breakdown requires sustained hourly acceptance below this level.Ethereum tradeCompass summaryEthereum futures remain in consolidation with a slight bullish lean. Higher lows suggest improving demand, but the absence of higher highs means buyers have not yet confirmed a new upward trend.The $1,785-$1,790 VWAP cluster represents recent fair value and may continue to attract two-way trade. The clearer directional signals would come from sustained acceptance above $1,813 or below $1,739.This analysis will expire as price and volume develop, but the underlying lessons remain useful. VWAP clusters can help identify balance, range boundaries can define directional confirmation, and partial profit-taking can help manage the repeated reversals that often occur before a range finally breaks.Ethereum futures and spot ETH prices may differ slightly across exchanges and trading venues. Trade only with risk you can afford to take, and conduct your own research. This analysis is for educational purposes only.Crypto traders, after reading the above at investingLive.com, see if you can answer these key questions: What are the key Ethereum support and resistance levels? What would confirm an Ethereum price breakout? Why is the $1,785-$1,790 ETH area important? How can VWAP help traders analyze Ethereum futures? This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Futures Confirm Short-Term Bullish Acceptance Above 64,115Bitcoin futures have shifted from a breakout test to short-term bullish acceptance. The latest move carried price from approximately 63,100 to 64,710, with BTC futures now near 64,620. The key question is whether buyers can defend 64,517-64,615 without forcing a late chase near the upper intraday range.Key takeaways from today’s Bitcoin futures analysisShort-term bias: Constructive, with a prediction score of +4/10. Confirmed development: The prior 64,115 continuation trigger has been reclaimed and confirmed. Immediate pivot: Buyers need to defend 64,517-64,615. Upside test: The first breakout high is 64,710, followed by 64,850-65,000. Main risk: A confirmed 30-minute move below 64,250 would weaken the bullish structure. This analysis is based on Bitcoin futures, not spot BTC. Spot Bitcoin, perpetual contracts and other crypto products may trade at slightly different prices.What changed in the Bitcoin price analysis?The earlier Bitcoin futures structure was based on a breakout test. Price had moved higher, but the market had not yet shown enough evidence that buyers could hold the reclaimed levels.That has now improved.BTC futures moved from roughly 63,100 to 64,710, reclaimed the prior 64,115 continuation level and is holding above two important current profile references near 64,517 and 64,615.In practical terms, the market has moved from asking whether buyers can break higher to asking whether they can defend the new higher-value area.The old 62,450 failed-breakout line remains relevant as a much deeper structural warning, but it is no longer the immediate decision level for this intraday setup.What does the +4/10 Bitcoin futures score mean?The current prediction score is +4/10.This indicates a short-term bullish edge, but not an unlimited upside signal. Price has already made a substantial move and is now trading close to the upper band of the 30-minute structure. That makes the market constructive, but also increases the risk of entering after the most favorable part of the move has already happened.The score is a snapshot of the current market structure. It is not a probability, a guarantee or an instruction to buy Bitcoin futures.Bitcoin futures bullish and bearish thresholdsThis update uses the investingLive tradeCompass framework. It is a decision map built around a bullish threshold, a bearish threshold and the decision zone between them.What this means: Acceptance is more than a brief move through a price. It means buyers can hold above the level, defend a pullback and prevent price from immediately falling back into the previous range.What are the key Bitcoin support and resistance levels?The 64,615 level is particularly important because it separates a successful retest from a possible failed breakout. If price holds above it, buyers retain control of the short-term structure. If price repeatedly rejects it after a move above, the market may be losing momentum.What does the Bitcoin illustrative scenario show?I shared the chart below in some social media groups a few hours ago, and someone asked whether the timing drawn on the chart also has meaning.That is a fair question, because market forecasts involve two separate challenges: estimating price and estimating timing. Forecasting both accurately is extremely difficult.In this case, the chart is primarily a price-path illustration. It shows a potential bullish flag developing inside the broader Bitcoin structure, with a possible upside path toward approximately $95,000. If Bitcoin remains constructive and enough time is allowed for the pattern to develop, I can also see a possible extension toward the $102,000 area.However, the projected path should not be interpreted as a calendar forecast. The arrows show one possible sequence of price behavior, not a claim that Bitcoin will reach each level on a specific date or within a specific number of days.Is this Bitcoin chart a trading plan?No. This is an illustrative scenario, not a work plan or a standalone trading signal.A bull flag is a period of consolidation that can sometimes resolve higher after an earlier decline or recovery attempt. For the pattern to become more credible, Bitcoin would need to continue respecting the structure, break above important resistance and show acceptance rather than only producing a brief spike.The chart is therefore something to watch, not something to follow blindly.My more detailed Bitcoin futures map uses specific support, resistance, entry and invalidation levels. Other maps can also matter, including volume profile, VWAP, liquidity areas and order flow. The chart shown here is a broader visual scenario with less price-level resolution. It is one angle of analysis, not the only map available.The important question is how price reacts: If Bitcoin continues to respect the structure and eventually accepts above the relevant resistance, the bullish scenario becomes more credible. If price cuts lower through the structure and fails to reclaim it, the map needs to be updated. If this scenario stops working, that does not automatically mean Bitcoin must become bearish. It means I would look at other market maps and reassess the evidence. Timing can matter for futures traders because entries, stops and holding periods are important. It matters even more for options traders because options lose time value as expiration approaches. But for this Bitcoin futures illustration, the main purpose is to identify a possible price structure and define what would confirm or weaken it.My above chart is best understood as a possible roadmap, not a promise. Markets can follow the general idea while taking a different route, moving more slowly, moving faster or invalidating the structure entirely. The value comes from monitoring whether price continues to respond well to the map and updating the view when the evidence changes.What is the preferred bullish Bitcoin futures setup?I would avoid chasing BTC futures near 64,620 after the sharp move from the lower 63,000 area.The preferred bullish scenario is a controlled pullback into 64,520-64,615, followed by evidence that buyers are still defending the reclaimed structure.Potential long scenarioEntry area:64,520-64,615Condition: Price holds above 64,517 and reclaims or continues to defend 64,615Invalidation: Below approximately 64,390First target:64,710Second target:64,850-65,000A deeper bullish setup could develop around 64,250-64,350 if price pulls back further but remains supported. That scenario would be weakened materially below 64,000.The important distinction is between buying a controlled retest and buying after a vertical extension. A retest gives traders a defined level to monitor and a clearer point at which the idea is no longer working.When could a Bitcoin futures short become attractive?A short is not attractive simply because BTC futures are trading near 64,600. Strong markets can remain elevated longer than expected, and resistance alone does not prove that sellers are taking control.The bearish setup would require a more specific sequence: BTC futures reject the 64,700-64,800 area. Price closes back below 64,615 on the 30-minute chart. A failed retest of 64,615 follows from below. Potential short scenarioPossible entry area:64,580-64,620, only after the rejection and failed retest sequence Invalidation: Above approximately 64,830First target:64,517Second target:64,250Third target:64,000-63,935This is a conditional short setup. Without the rejection and failed retest, selling into the current bullish structure would carry a higher risk of being caught in continued upside momentum.Why is chasing the Bitcoin breakout risky here?BTC futures have already moved substantially from approximately 63,100 to 64,710. When price is extended near the upper part of an intraday range, a new entry may have less favorable risk-reward even if the larger direction remains bullish.This is why the current map favors patience: A pullback toward 64,517-64,615 could offer a cleaner test of acceptance. A deeper pullback toward 64,250-64,350 could provide a more favorable risk-defined area. A rejection from 64,700-64,800 could create a conditional short, but only after the market loses 64,615. The goal is not to predict every candle. It is to identify where the bullish thesis remains valid, where it weakens and where a new setup may become available.How should traders manage the scenarios?If a position is taken, traders can consider scaling out at logical reaction levels rather than waiting for one final target.A disciplined approach would include: Use only one long scenario and one short scenario for this market map. Consider partial profit-taking at the first target. After the second partial target, consider whether moving the stop toward entry fits the trade and timeframe. Do not widen a stop after the original invalidation level has been reached. Avoid opening a new position simply because the first move has already occurred. What should Bitcoin traders watch next?The bullish structure remains constructive while BTC futures hold above 64,517-64,615.A move through 64,710 could open the way toward 64,850-65,000, with 65,000-65,200 acting as a potential extension zone. However, price reaching those levels would not automatically create a fresh long entry.The bullish view would weaken if price closes below 64,250 and fails to reclaim it. A move below 64,000-63,935 would damage the repair structure more seriously.This analysis remains valid as a framework while price is interacting with the listed zones. If BTC futures move far beyond the targets, traders should not treat the article as a late entry signal. The levels are better used to judge acceptance, rejection and invalidation.This is market analysis for educational and decision-support purposes, not financial advice. Bitcoin futures trading carries substantial risk, and losses can exceed expectations when leverage is used. Use your own timeframe, risk limits and execution plan, and trade at your own risk only. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The "Trump Accounts" are opening today, and Pres. Trump when asked if they would include Bitcoin, responded by saying "I am a big fan of crypto" and that the Trump Accounts could include the digital currency.It was reported over last week or so that President Trump's 2025 financial disclosure shows that cryptocurrency became the largest driver of his personal income, with more than $1.4 billion in reported income tied to crypto-related ventures. The filing marks a dramatic shift from his traditional reliance on real estate, golf clubs, and branding businesses. More specifically, looking at bitcoin the breakdown showed:World Liberty Financial: Nearly $800 million in income came from this crypto venture, which Trump co-founded with his sons. The reported income included: More than $520 million from token sales. More than $250 million from the sale of ownership interests in the business. $TRUMP memecoin: Trump reported approximately $635 million in royalties or proceeds tied to the Trump-branded meme coin, which launched shortly before his second inauguration.HMMMM. I know why he is a big fan.Regardless of the ethics surrounding President Trump's involvement in crypto, it is the price action that matters most to traders. At least for now, Bitcoin is not following the President's lead and is instead trading lower.From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has fallen back below its 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart above), currently near $62,410, after dropping to a session low of $61,246. Importantly, that decline has so far found support above the rising 200-hour moving average near $61,002 (call it $61,000).That leaves the short-term technical bias neutral. The 100-hour moving average around $62,400 is the key resistance level, while the 200-hour moving average near $61,000 serves as critical support.The next directional clue will likely come from a break of one of those moving averages. A move back above the 100-hour moving average would shift the near-term bias back in favor of the buyers and open the door for a run toward the next swing area between $64,600 and $65,500.Conversely, a break below the 200-hour moving average would hand control back to the sellers, with the next downside target coming in between $58,000 and $59,100. That area sits just above the recent cycle low of $57,735, reached on July 1, before Bitcoin staged a corrective rebound to $63,858.For now, traders should focus less on the headlines and more on the battle between the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages. A break of either level should provide the next meaningful directional signal. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Michael Saylor’s company, Strategy Inc. (formerly known as MicroStrategy), is the world's first and largest Bitcoin Treasury Company. Strategy has disclosed the sale of 3,588 Bitcoin (BTC) for approximately $216 million between June 29 and July 5, 2026. According to a regulatory filing, the liquidations were executed to fund distribution payments for the company’s perpetual preferred stock.Following the transactions, Strategy’s Bitcoin reserve sits at 843,775 BTC. The corporate treasury firm notably refrained from using its at-the-market (ATM) stock program or initiating any share buybacks during this window. Despite the $216 million divestment, Strategy maintains a substantial cash reserve of $2.55 billion.Bitcoin dropped on the news due to a couple of factors. For years, Michael Saylor's Strategy acted as the market backstop, projecting an image of absolute diamond hands. Selling Bitcoin to fund standard corporate obligations, even a fraction of a percent of their total stack, signals to the market that Bitcoin is no longer an untouchable reserve asset. Strategy previously built a massive capital structure by issuing perpetual preferred stock to fund aggressive Bitcoin acquisitions. However, those shares require regular dividend distributions. By using Bitcoin sales to cover these yields, Strategy has established a precedent. Traders now expect the company to routinely dump chunks of Bitcoin onto the market at regular intervals to service its equity vehicle, creating predictable structural headwind.The "Never Sell" Era ended on June 29, 2026 when the company formally announced a new Digital Credit Capital Framework that authorizes the sale of up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin's ability to rise on Monday despite fresh doubts over the reserve's legal footing suggests the market is treating the plan as a longer-term structural question rather than an immediate price driver. With the federal government's holdings worth more than $20 billion, any eventual resolution, whether housed at Treasury or Commerce, could still matter for supply dynamics given Washington's status as one of the world's largest Bitcoin holders. For now, traders appear more focused on broader momentum than on the bureaucratic wrangling in Washington, even with the token still down nearly half from its October peak.--- A dispute between the US Treasury and Commerce departments over legal authority to run Trump's planned Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is holding up the policy, even as Bitcoin itself rose on Monday despite the uncertainty.Adding to the impressiveness of the Bitcoin rally is it was in the face of a high profile puke:Bitcoin falls as Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin between June 29 and July 5By the fact!Summary:Treasury and Commerce departments are both vying to run the planned Strategic Bitcoin Reserve amid questions over legal authorityHousing the reserve at the Commerce Department is being considered as an alternative to TreasuryA central issue is whether Bitcoin can legally be held indefinitely given its price volatilityThe Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel is working with both departments to find a legally viable structureThe US government holds more than $20 billion in Bitcoin across various agencies, among the largest holdings globallyBitcoin is down nearly 50% from its October all-time high, though it rose on Monday A plan to create a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, one of the centrepieces of President Donald Trump's pro-crypto agenda, has run into an unexpected obstacle: rival government departments and unresolved questions over who has the legal authority to manage it. Trump ordered the reserve's creation last year, intending for it to sit within the Treasury Department and be stocked with Bitcoin from federal asset seizures along with possible future purchases. But according to people familiar with the matter, says Bloomberg (gated) concerns emerged over whether Treasury could legally manage such a holding, prompting officials to explore alternatives including housing the reserve at the Commerce Department instead.The Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel is now working with both departments to identify options that would let the policy proceed on solid legal footing. A further complication is whether Bitcoin can be held indefinitely, as Trump's original executive order envisioned, given how sharply its price can swing. The White House said the administration continues to evaluate the best structure for the reserve and a related digital asset stockpile, while Treasury and Commerce did not respond to requests for comment.The stakes are considerable. Counting holdings across different parts of the federal government, the United States is already among the largest Bitcoin owners in the world, with a stash worth more than $20 billion at current prices. Officials have argued that premature sales over the years cost taxpayers roughly $17 billion, and that consolidating the holdings into a single, permanently held reserve would give the country a strategic edge. Bitcoin itself remains volatile, trading nearly 50% below the all time high it reached in October, though it still managed to post a gain on Monday even as the reserve's legal troubles became public. The delays underscore the gap between the administration's ambitions to position the US as the leading hub for cryptocurrency and the practical difficulty of building durable government infrastructure around an asset whose value can swing so widely. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC remains in a lower-value reset as $60,750-$61,000 becomes the key repair gateAnswer Capsule: Bitcoin spot is still in a bearish lower-value reset after the June 24-25 liquidation. Buyers are showing real absorption near $58,000-$59,750, but BTC has not yet reclaimed $60,750-$61,000 or the stronger $61,750-$62,250 repair zone. My active spot-adjusted score is -3 / +10.Key takeawaysActive BTC score:-3 / +10, replacing the prior futures-only blended 0 / +10.Market state: Bearish lower-value reset with early absorption, not confirmed accumulation.Main tactical resistance:$60,750-$61,000 is the first escape gate from the lower balance.Stronger repair zone:$61,750-$62,250 needs to be reclaimed before the bullish case becomes more credible.Key support and absorption zone:$58,000-$58,400 remains the main defended low area.What is the current Bitcoin market state?The macro picture is shifting rapidly, and it’s hitting both risk assets and crypto hard. I’ve been tracking this closely, especially as Bitcoin threatens to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time since October 2023. This critical line in the sand comes on the heels of hawkish macro pressure, highlighted by Fed's Kashkari signaling potential rate hikes if sticky inflation forces the central bank's hand. The selling pressure has been relentless over the past week; we just watched as Bitcoin broke through the psychological $60,000 floor to lock in a fresh 20-month low. This accelerating downside momentum really gained traction early in the week when a broad tech sell-off and diving semiconductor stocks dragged the broader crypto market down with them, shifting my near-term outlook to a much more aggressive bearish bias. I am monitoring the order flow at these extreme structural lows to see if institutional absorption or a cascading liquidation event takes over next.I am treating Bitcoin spot as being in a post-liquidation lower balance. That means BTC has not simply bounced back into its prior bullish repair structure. Instead, the market accepted lower value after the June 24-25 liquidation, then stabilized at lower levels.That stabilization matters. Sellers did not get clean continuation below the defended $58,000-$58,400 area, which suggests real buyer absorption. But absorption near the lows is only the first step. For accumulation to be confirmed, Bitcoin needs higher value migration, stronger acceptance above resistance, and ideally better volume participation.Right now, that has not happened yet.My current practical read on Bitcoin over the weekend (now) is:Bearish lower-value reset with early absorption.More specifically:Post-liquidation lower balance, weak repair, no confirmed accumulation yet.Why did the BTC score change from 0 to -3?The previous futures-only read was more neutral because BTC futures stopped trading at the end of June 26 and did not include the full weekend spot sequence. The futures chart showed local repair, but spot added an important extra clue: the weekend bounce did not generate enough upside acceptance.The daily POC only improved to around $60,250, volume dropped sharply, and BTC still failed to reclaim $60,750, $61,750, or $62,250. That keeps the structure below the old value zone.On my -10 to +10 scale, -3 means BTC still has a bearish structural edge, but it is not a full downside continuation signal because buyers are defending the lower zone.What does the Bitcoin value migration show?The main story is the daily POC migration:$64,750 -> $62,250 -> $59,750 -> $59,250 -> $59,750 -> $60,250That sequence shows that sellers successfully pushed accepted value lower. The later lift from $59,250 to $60,250 is a repair attempt, but it is still inside the new lower balance.What this means: POC, or point of control, is the price area where the most volume traded in a given profile. When POC migrates lower, it often shows that the market is accepting lower prices as fair value.The bullish nuance is that price did not continue collapsing after the June 24-25 liquidation. The $58,000-$58,400 zone appears to have attracted responsive buying or inventory absorption. But the bearish nuance is just as important: BTC has not yet turned that defense into a convincing move back toward the old value area.What are the key Bitcoin resistance levels to watch?The first real test is $60,750-$61,000. Below that area, I would still prioritize failed-repair logic. Above that area, the BTC score can start improving toward neutral.The more important repair test is $61,750-$62,250. If BTC can reclaim and hold that zone, the market would be doing more than bouncing. It would begin to show accepted value migration back toward the prior structure.Where could Bitcoin find support if the repair fails?A clean loss of $59,250 would damage the repair attempt. But I would be careful about treating the first break as automatic downside continuation, because the $58,000-$58,400 area has already shown buyer defense.A higher-quality bearish confirmation would require:Acceptance below $59,250POC remaining below $59,750Failed reclaim of $59,900-$60,250Expanding negative deltaA clean test or break of $58,400-$58,000That combination would shift the score back toward roughly -5 / +10.Is Bitcoin showing accumulation or only absorption?My answer is:Absorption: yes. Confirmed accumulation: no.The best evidence for absorption is the reaction after the liquidation:June 26 flipped to positive deltaPOC lifted from $59,250 to $59,750Price did not extend lower after the June 24-25 sell pressureThe defended zone around $58,000-$58,400 heldWhat this means: Absorption happens when buyers appear to take supply without allowing price to continue falling. It can be an early bullish clue, but it is not the same as confirmed accumulation.For accumulation to become more credible, I would want to see at least one of these conditions:Until then, the more precise read is:Lower-zone absorption after liquidation, with unconfirmed inventory transfer.What is the best Bitcoin trade scenario from here?The cleaner tactical idea remains the failed-repair short, not a blind short at the lower POC.Bearish scenario: failed-repair shortThis setup is cleaner because it waits for BTC to rally into resistance and then fail, rather than shorting after price is already stretched inside a lower-value area.Bearish scenario: breakdown shortThe breakdown short is lower quality unless confirmed.The trap risk is important. When a market already showed buyer defense near the lows, the first break below support can flush late sellers before reversing.Bullish scenario: conditional repair longThe long side is possible, but it needs confirmation.I would not treat the current structure as a clean bullish accumulation setup yet. The market needs to prove that the lower-zone defense can become higher-value migration.What would upgrade the BTC score?The key distinction is simple: holding the lows is not enough. BTC needs to move value higher.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validBecause Bitcoin trades around the clock, this analysis should be treated as a live decision map, not a permanent forecast.This article is still relevant if BTC is still reacting around the core map:Below $60,750-$61,000, failed-repair shorts still have priority.Above $60,750-$61,000, the score can improve toward neutral.Above $61,750-$62,250, the repair becomes more credible.Below $59,250, the repair attempt weakens.Below $58,000-$58,400, the absorption zone is no longer holding.If price has already moved far beyond these levels by the time you read this, do not treat the article as a fresh entry signal. Use the levels to judge whether Bitcoin accepted higher, failed the repair, or became too extended to chase.What should Bitcoin traders watch next?The next real decision area is $60,750-$61,000.Below that zone, BTC remains trapped inside the lower balance, and failed-repair shorts remain the cleaner tactical idea. Above $61,750-$62,250, the repair becomes much more credible because buyers would finally be reclaiming a more important part of the prior structure.For now, I would treat Bitcoin spot as -3 / +10, not neutral.The market is not in clean bearish continuation at the lows, because $58,000-$59,750 absorption is real. But it is also not bullish repair yet, because BTC has not escaped the new lower-value area.Remember: Trading bitcoin is risky. Treat the above bitcoin analysis as opinion for educational purposes only. You must do your own research and always trade and/or invest in crypto at your own risk only.FAQIs Bitcoin bullish or bearish today?Bitcoin is still bearish on the spot-adjusted structure, with an active score of -3 / +10. Buyers are absorbing supply near $58,000-$59,750, but BTC has not yet reclaimed the levels needed to confirm bullish repair.What level would make Bitcoin look more bullish?The first improvement comes above $60,750-$61,000. A stronger bullish repair requires BTC to reclaim and hold $61,750-$62,250.What is the main Bitcoin support level now?The main defended support zone is $58,000-$58,400. However, $59,250 is the nearer breakdown trigger to watch.Is Bitcoin accumulation confirmed?No. Bitcoin is showing absorption near the lows, but not confirmed accumulation. Confirmed accumulation would require higher value migration, especially above $60,750 and then $61,750-$62,250.What would make the Bitcoin bearish case stronger?A sustained move below $59,250, followed by a failed reclaim of $59,750-$60,250 and a clean test of $58,000-$58,400, would strengthen the bearish case. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Keep an eye on the bitcoin chart as it breaks $60,000. It's gone through that level and touched below the June 5 bottom of $59,125.This is a fresh low since September 2024.At current levels, the entire Trump 2.0 rally is already wiped out despite a host of crypto-friendly US policies. That's a poor fundamental sign and a problem for the bulls. There are few reasonable levers left to pull aside from a bitcoin strategic reserve and that doesn't sound like something Congress is at-all interested in.Today, crypto is caught in something of a sell-everything deleveraging in markets. Bitcoin is down 5% but silver is down 7.4% and gold is down 3%. WTI crude oil is down 4%, hot chip names are slumping and the US dollar is bid across the board. The winner today is the bond market with yields down 6-9% on a flight to safety.Bitcoin was s last down $3019 to $59,369 and about $200 from the June intraday low after briefly touching below it.I think the bigger problem for bitcoin, as I wrote earlier this month, is that it's lost its cool. The young men that dominate risk taking in markets are increasingly shifting to AI trades, meme stocks and options trading. Crypto has benefited from some of that but for 20-year olds, it almost seems institutional.Moreover, the use cases continue to be limited and the same talking heads parroting "bitcoin to $1 million" have lost credibility. The overall bandwidth for crypto is getting to be smaller outside of stablecoins, which are proving to be incredible businesses, but hardly investments at all. Technically, a breakdown here will squarely target $50,000 and that could come quickly if we get a poor earnings reaction from Micron later today and a 'risk off' wave hits the Nasdaq. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The disclosure adds a political risk dimension to pending US crypto legislation, with ethics provisions barring officials from profiting off regulation they oversee now a harder sticking point for Senate negotiators needing 60 votes to advance the bill. Broader sentiment toward Trump-linked tokens could stay weak given roughly two-thirds of memecoin holders and 85% of World Liberty Financial's WLFI buyers are currently underwater, according to Nansen data. The episode lands against a backdrop of an already volatile crypto market, with Trump's flagship memecoin down 97% from its peak. Any delay to regulatory clarity from a stalled bill could weigh further on sentiment across the sector.--- Trump earned $1.4bn from crypto ventures last year even as most retail holders of his memecoins remain underwater, a disclosure shows, complicating regulation talks in Congress. Summary:President Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto ventures last year, including $800 million from World Liberty Financial, according to a financial disclosureRoughly two-thirds of investors in Trump's memecoin are currently underwater, based on Nansen data covering 1.48 million wallets since its January 2025 launchAround 85% of World Liberty Financial's WLFI token buyers in the secondary market are also sitting at a lossTrump's memecoin peaked near a $15 billion market cap before falling 97% to about $400 millionWorld Liberty Financial launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin shortly before Trump signed the Genius Act, which established a regulatory framework for such tokensThe disclosure could complicate Senate negotiations over crypto legislation, with ethics provisions barring official profit from crypto activity a key sticking pointThe bill has passed the House but needs Democratic support to reach 60 votes in the SenatePresident Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto ventures last year, according to a financial disclosure reported by the Wall Street Journal (gated), even as most retail investors who bought into his family's digital tokens are sitting on losses. The single largest contributor was World Liberty Financial, the family's flagship crypto venture, which alone generated $800 million for the president. The scale of the earnings underscores a gap between Trump's financial position and that of many investors who followed him into crypto. Data provider Nansen, which tracked 1.48 million wallets that bought Trump's memecoin since its January 2025 launch, found roughly two-thirds of those holders are currently underwater. A separate Nansen analysis of secondary market buyers found 85% of World Liberty's WLFI token holders are also in the red.Trump's memecoin, launched just before his inauguration, reached a peak market capitalisation near $15 billion before collapsing 97% to around $400 million today. World Liberty Financial, launched by Trump and his sons in September 2024, later released a dollar-pegged stablecoin shortly before Trump signed the Genius Act into law, which established a regulatory framework for such tokens.The White House has rejected suggestions of any conflict of interest, with spokeswoman Anna Kelly saying the president and his family act in the best interest of the American people. Trump himself attributed the earnings to broader stock market gains when questioned by reporters this week.The disclosure lands at a sensitive moment for crypto regulation efforts in Congress. Legislation establishing rules for digital assets has passed the House but requires Democratic support to clear the 60 vote threshold in the Senate. Ethics provisions that would bar the president and other officials from profiting off crypto activity they help regulate have become a central sticking point in negotiations, one that Senator Cynthia Lummis, a bill sponsor, said needs to be resolved with strong language. Some Democrats have said their support hinges on that provision being included, with the disclosure likely to sharpen those demands.Beyond crypto, the president's overall financial disclosure also showed rising income from the family's hotel and golf businesses, along with growing stock holdings in companies including Nvidia and Meta. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

The price bitcoin is trading lower on the day back below the $60,000 level in reaching a low level of $58,076. That got within $41 of its low price from June 25 at $58,035. The low from June 25 was a lowest level going all way back to September 2024.So far, the buyers are leaning and have push the price back up to $58,346 currently. Coming off of a low is a natural reaction. However, if the buyers are to take more control, they need to get above some key technical levels.The first would come at the 100 hour moving average at $59,849. That would not to be followed by a break back above its falling 200 hour moving average (green line) at $60,814. If the price cannot get and stay above those MA levels, the buyers are not winning,'and the sellers are more in control.On a break of the $58,035 level, the next downside target would be the swing low from September 17, 2024. That level comes in at $57,627. Moving below that level, and the door opens with the September 2024 low price coming in at $52,546 as a next major target. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

The scale of the disclosed crypto income, more than a billion dollars combined across the meme coin and World Liberty Financial, will keep political risk firmly attached to Trump-linked tokens, with renewed scrutiny likely from Democrats and ethics watchdogs over conflicts of interest tied to a sitting president's personal stake in crypto policy. For traders in WLFI and TRUMP specifically, the filing itself is unlikely to move prices much, since the underlying figures have been reported in pieces for months, but it does crystallise just how lopsided the outcome has been between insiders and retail holders. The broader signal for the meme coin sector is one of caution: a project backed by maximum name recognition and a sitting president still left the majority of buyers underwater, a reminder that distribution and vesting structures matter more than headlines once the hype fades.--- Trump's 2025 disclosure shows over $1.1bn in combined crypto income from his meme coin and World Liberty Financial, even as most retail token holders remain at a loss. Summary:Trump's 2025 annual financial disclosure reported hundreds of millions of dollars in crypto earnings, according to the filingHe reported $635 million in royalties tied to meme coin (eg. TRUMP launched days before his January 2025 inauguration)Trump reported over $500 million in proceeds from crypto token sales by World Liberty Financial, the family-linked DeFi ventureHe also reported more than $80 million in income from settlements with media companies including ABC, Paramount and MetaIndependent data has shown the large majority of meme coin buyers lost money, with roughly 80% of TRUMP's token supply still held by Trump-aligned entities under a vesting scheduleWorld Liberty's own token sale to Alt5 Sigma generated roughly $500 million for the Trump family, while Alt5 shares have since fallen more than 90% Donald Trump's newly filed 2025 annual financial disclosure confirms what crypto watchers have long suspected: the president's foray into digital assets has been spectacularly lucrative for him personally, even as a large share of the retail investors who bought into his ventures have been left nursing losses.The filing shows $635 million in royalties tied to TRUMP, the meme coin launched on the Solana blockchain just days before his second inauguration. A separate $500 million plus came from proceeds tied to token sales by World Liberty Financial, the family-linked decentralised finance venture co-founded by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. Much of that World Liberty figure traces back to a 2025 deal in which the firm sold tokens to the company then known as Alt5 Sigma, a transaction that entitled the Trump family to roughly $500 million even as Alt5's own share price has since collapsed by more than 90%. The disclosure also lists over $80 million in income from settlements with media companies, the cumulative result of defamation and related suits Trump brought against outlets including ABC, Paramount and Meta.It is, by any measure, a striking return on a venture that barely existed before Trump's second term began. But the upside has not been shared evenly. Independent blockchain data has shown that the vast majority of wallets that bought into the TRUMP coin are sitting on losses, with roughly 80% of the total token supply still held by Trump-aligned entities under a multi-year vesting schedule, insulating insiders from the worst of the volatility that has hit everyone else. Melania Trump's companion coin has followed a similar pattern, falling sharply from its launch-week highs. Trump spotted a genuinely profitable opportunity in meme coins and crypto infrastructure, and the disclosure shows just how well it has paid off for him and his family. The investors who piled in behind him, drawn by the association with a sitting president, largely have not fared as well. They knew, in a sense, exactly what they were signing up for. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin has spent today's session chopping around the $60,000 level, trading between a low of $58,241 and a high of $60,656. Yesterday's low of $58,035 was the weakest level since September 17, 2024.From a technical perspective, the recent slide has pushed the price below its 200-week moving average, currently at $62,446. Over the previous four weeks, Bitcoin repeatedly dipped below that key long-term average but managed to close each week back above it. This week is different. Unless buyers can reclaim that level before the weekly close, the break would represent a more meaningful bearish shift in the longer-term trend.There is, however, one modest positive for the bulls. This week's low stalled just ahead of the 61.8% retracement of the rally from the November 2022 low to the October 2025 peak. That retracement level comes in at $57,802, and yesterday's low of $58,035 held just above it. For now, that Fibonacci level is acting as an important line of defense.To improve the technical outlook, buyers first need to push the price back above the 200-week moving average at $62,446. If they can accomplish that, the next upside targets come into view: Falling 100-day moving average: $71,714 50% midpoint of the 2022-2025 rally: $70,876Until then, the path of least resistance remains lower and the sellers retain firm control.Strategy (MSTR) feeling the pain as Bitcoin slidesA major proxy for Bitcoin's performance is Strategy, the company led by Michael Saylor. The firm has built its business model around issuing shares and debt to accumulate Bitcoin and is widely regarded as the largest private holder of the cryptocurrency, with holdings reportedly valued at roughly $50 billion.With an estimated average purchase price near $75,000 per Bitcoin, the company's position is currently underwater, and its stock price is reflecting that pressure.On the weekly chart, Strategy shares are trading at $85.65, after falling to a low of $82.33 this week. Technically, the picture is deteriorating: Price is well below the 100-day moving average at $141.58 Price is also below the 200-day moving average at $157.91 Shares have fallen back into the massive trading range that defined price action from February 2021 through February 2024. That long-term range spans $14.59 to $89.14, and with the stock now trading near the top of that former range, the next battle for buyers will be determining whether this area can once again provide support or whether an even deeper correction lies ahead.Getting back above the $89 and 14% level and then working back toward the 100 day moving average at $141.58 would give the buyers more confidence, but right now, there is nothing positive from the longer-term chart perspective.Fundamentally, bitcoin tends to be a risk on asset. With global uncertainty and threats of interest rates moving higher, some of the risk on sentiment has faded. Also, IPO issues and debt issuance for AI have been a major influence that potentially has taken funds from Bitcoin:Major Debt Issuances (H1 2026)Tech / AI Hyperscalers dominated the bond markets:SpaceX – Went public in June but also tapped capital markets heavilyOracle – Oracle was the first large tech company to test the debt market in 2026, with a $25 billion bond offering. Oracle announced a full 2026 plan to raise $45–$50 billion total, with Goldman Sachs leading the bond offering. Alphabet (Google) – Alphabet priced a $20 billion seven-part dollar offering in February, upsized from $15 billion after drawing over $100 billion in orders — among the largest order books ever for a corporate bond. Alphabet's total raise ultimately exceeded $30 billion, and it also issued a rare 100-year sterling bond as part of a multi-tranche, multi-currency deal spanning dollars, euros, and sterling. Nvidia – Nvidia sold $25 billion of high-grade bonds, attracting as much as $85 billion in orders (over 3x oversubscribed). The deal was boosted from an initial target of ~$20 billion. Sovereign Bonds:Governments worldwide issued a record $504 billion in syndicated bonds through banks in H1 2026, surpassing the previous record set during COVID in H1 2020. Italy led with roughly $81 billion, making it the top sovereign borrower for the eighth time in the past decade. Germany tapped the market with €14 billion across three syndicated deals.Broader Market:Q1 2026 produced the largest quarterly U.S. corporate bond issuance total since Q2 2020, at $775.2 billion — a 70.3% quarter-over-quarter increase and 15.6% year-over-year increase.Year-to-date through May 2026, U.S. corporate bond issuance reached $1.226 trillion, up 21.1% year-over-year.Major Equity Issuances / IPOs (H1 2026)SpaceX (SPCX) – SpaceX went public on June 12, 2026, becoming the biggest IPO in history. The company was valued at $1.77 trillion based on its $135 per share listing price and raised roughly $75 billion. Cerebras Systems (CBRS) – Cerebras priced its IPO at $185 per share in an upsized raise of $5.6 billion, with investors hungry for AI equities propelling the stock 68% higher on its first day.Fervo Energy (FRVO) – Texas-based geothermal company Fervo Energy scored the title of biggest renewable energy IPO ever, bringing in $1.89 billion in proceeds. Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (BXDC) – Blackstone raised $1.75 billion via this REIT focused on acquiring AI data center assets. Quantinuum (QNT) – The quantum computing firm's IPO valued it at roughly $15.6 billion, a significant jump from its $10 billion private valuation in 2025. Overall IPO Market:According to Renaissance Capital, $34.2 billion was raised through May 31, 2026, up 163.9% from the same period a year ago, with 113 total IPOs — a 10.5% increase from a year prior. rtKey theme: The AI infrastructure buildout is the dominant force behind H1 2026 capital markets activity, with tech hyperscalers flooding bond markets to fund data center spending, while the equity markets are being energized by a long-awaited wave of high-profile IPOs.A potential bright spotA potential positive is there is rumblings that OpenAI and Anthropic IPO may be off as a result of the dip in AI sentiment. That may free up some dough for buying Bitcoin. However, watch the price action and technicals for clues that the theme might be playing out. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Futures Analysis Today: BTC Repair Holds, But Bulls Still Need $62.7K ConfirmationBitcoin futures have repaired from the late June lower-value zone, but the move is now stalling below the first major daily confirmation area. The short-term structure is no longer bearish while BTC holds above $61,100-$61,300, but a clean bullish takeover still needs acceptance above $62,100-$62,700.Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders and crypto investors todayCurrent Bitcoin futures score:+2 / +10, meaning mild bullish repair, not a strong bullish breakout.Market state: Higher-value repair after a failed breakdown from the $58,500-$59,700 zone.Main bullish confirmation: BTC needs acceptance above $62,100-$62,700.Main support zone: The repair remains healthier while BTC holds above $61,100-$61,300.Main risk: A move back below $60,500-$60,900 would suggest the bullish repair is failing.What does the Bitcoin futures chart show today?Bitcoin futures are still in the failed-breakdown repair that started after the market defended the lower-value zone near $58,500-$59,700.The important upgrade is that BTC did not only bounce in price. It also moved accepted value higher. The daily point of control moved from roughly $58,500 to $60,300, then toward $61,500. On the 4-hour and 1-hour views, value also improved into the $61,500-$61,900 area.What this means: The point of control is the price area where the most trading activity took place during a given period. When it migrates higher, it often means the market is beginning to accept higher value, not just printing a quick upside wick.That is the bullish side of the story.The caution is that Bitcoin is now stalling below the larger daily repair gate at $62,100-$62,700. Buyers have improved the structure, but they have not yet proven full control above the main overhead resistance zone.So the cleanest read is:Bullish repair holding, but momentum stalled under daily resistance.What the Bitcoin futures score means todayThe markets delivered a starkly split personality to close out the holiday-shortened week, forcing traders to navigate everything from record equity highs to sharp tech liquidations and critical crypto structural repairs. On the equity front, Greg at investingLive.com pointed out that US stocks finished mixed as defensive heavyweights pushed the Dow to a record high of 52,905.28, even as Meta's plans to sell excess AI capacity triggered a swift semiconductor rout. As Greg noted in his technical breakdown, there were no 4th of July fireworks for the Nasdaq index as it plunged 0.80% to 25,832.67, breaking decisively back below its 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages and handing near-term control straight to the bears.In contrast to tech's late-week exhaust, digital assets are showing much healthier microstructure as my Bitcoin analysis at investingLive.com turns interesting with bulls raising their heads. After a late June liquidity sweep down to $57,850 met aggressive institutional absorption, I watched the market systematically reclaim $60,000 and migrate value higher on the 4-hour chart, prompting me to upgrade my blended futures bias score to a constructive +1/10. The short-term bull case stays alive as long as buyers can maintain a foothold above the critical Bitcoin support flip at the $60,300 to $60,500 zone, though I won't call this a full-scale regime shift until we get clean price acceptance above the major Bitcoin daily repair gate between $62,100 and $62,700, which aligns directly with the Anchored VWAP equilibrium line.My active blended score is now +2 / +10.That is an upgrade from the prior bearish lower-value reset, because BTC has repaired above $60,000, built higher value around $61,500-$61,900, and avoided a hard rejection back into the lower balance.But I would not move the score much higher yet. A +2 score means the market has a mild bullish edge, not a confirmed bullish regime shift.The difference matters. A trader can respect the bullish repair without chasing Bitcoin directly into resistance.Bitcoin support and resistance levels to watch todayWhy Bitcoin bulls still need $62,100-$62,700The bullish case has improved, but the market is still below the main daily repair gate.The first upside test is $61,900-$62,150. If BTC can accept above that area, it can pressure the next zone near $62,700. A move above $62,700 would be more meaningful because it would suggest Bitcoin is doing more than repairing from a breakdown. It would start to show broader acceptance above the current resistance shelf.What this means: Acceptance means price is not only touching a level, but spending time above it, defending pullbacks, and treating that higher area as valid.Until that happens, the risk is that the move above $61,500 becomes a repair into supply rather than the start of a stronger bullish continuation.Preferred bullish Bitcoin trade scenarioThe better bullish scenario is not to chase the middle of the current shelf. The better setup is either a pullback hold or a clean breakout.Pullback-hold long scenarioThe preferred long area is $61,100-$61,300.That zone matters because it gives buyers a chance to defend the repaired structure without forcing traders to buy directly into the $61,900-$62,150 resistance area.This is the best risk-adjusted long scenario because it buys the higher-value repair shelf rather than chasing Bitcoin into the daily gate.Breakout long scenarioA breakout long is also possible, but it is more chase-sensitive.For that setup, bulls need a clean push above $62,150, followed by acceptance rather than an immediate rejection. The first target would be $62,700, with $63,300-$63,900 only becoming relevant if momentum expands and value continues to migrate higher.If price pokes above $62,150 but quickly falls back below it, I would not treat that as a clean bullish signal.Preferred bearish Bitcoin trade scenarioThe best bearish idea is not a blind short. It is a failed-acceptance short near resistance.The cleaner tactical short zone is $61,900-$62,150, especially if BTC pushes above the area, fails to hold it, and rotates back below the breakout level. A stronger version of the same idea would be a failed push into $62,250-$62,700.This is a tactical fade, not a major bearish thesis. The daily repair remains alive unless BTC loses $60,500-$60,900.What would weaken or invalidate the Bitcoin bullish repair?The first warning is a loss of $61,450-$61,500. That would show the current balance shelf is starting to weaken.The bigger warning is a move below $61,100-$61,300, because that would mean the best pullback-hold area is not being defended.The more serious invalidation is below $60,500-$60,900. If Bitcoin accepts below that area, the higher-value repair starts to fail and the market can rotate back toward $60,300, then potentially $59,700-$58,500.That would change the read from “bullish repair holding” to “failed repair risk returning.”What many Bitcoin traders may get wrong hereThe mistake is treating every move above $62,000 as automatically bullish.Bitcoin has already repaired strongly from the lows. That part is real. But the market is now trading into a resistance area where late longs can get trapped if the breakout does not hold.For me, the key distinction is simple:A quick move above $62,000 is not enough.A sustained hold above $62,100-$62,700 is what would make the bullish case more convincing.That is why the middle of the range, especially around $61,500-$61,850, is not the best place to force trades. It is the current balance center. The better opportunities are usually at the edges: support holds, confirmed breakouts, or failed breakouts.Bitcoin tradeCompass decision mapTrade management note for Bitcoin futures tradersIf a bullish trade reaches the first target near $61,900-$62,150, taking partial profits can make sense. That does not mean the move is over. It means the trade has reached a logical reaction zone where the risk of reversal increases.If price then reaches $62,700, traders should consider reducing risk further, moving the stop closer to entry, or leaving only a smaller runner, depending on their own strategy.The same logic applies to bearish trades. If a failed breakout short reaches $61,500 or $61,100-$61,300, that is a logical area to reduce risk rather than assuming the move must continue straight back to the lows.The goal is not to predict every tick. The goal is to know where the trade idea is valid, where it is invalid, and where the market may logically react.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validBecause Bitcoin trades around the clock, this analysis should be treated as a live decision framework, not a permanent forecast.The map remains most useful if BTC is still trading between $60,500 and $62,700.If BTC holds above $61,100-$61,300, the bullish repair remains alive.If BTC accepts above $62,100-$62,700, the bullish case improves.If BTC loses $61,450-$61,500, the current shelf starts to weaken.If BTC loses $60,500-$60,900, the repair is in trouble.If BTC returns to $59,700-$58,500, the failed-breakdown repair has mostly failed.If price has already moved far beyond these levels by the time you read this, do not treat the article as a fresh entry signal. Use the levels to judge whether Bitcoin accepted higher, failed at resistance, or became too extended to chase.Practical Bitcoin futures read for crypto traders todayBitcoin futures have successfully repaired from the $58,500-$59,700 lower-value zone into a new $61,500-$61,900 balance shelf. That is constructive and keeps the short-term bullish repair alive.But the move is now stalling below the real daily confirmation area. Bulls need acceptance above $62,100-$62,700 to strengthen the case for continuation toward $63,300-$63,900.Bears need a loss of $61,450-$61,500, and especially $60,500-$60,900, to argue that the repair is failing.Until one of those breaks, the cleanest description is:Bitcoin is in a bullish repair, but momentum is stalling below daily resistance. Trade the edges, not the middle.Trade Bitcoin and crypto at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Futures Analysis Today: BTC Repair Improves, But Bulls Still Need Acceptance Above $62KBitcoin futures have repaired meaningfully from the late June sweep low near $57,850, but this is not yet a full bullish reversal. The short-term structure has improved while BTC holds above $60,300-$60,500, with the next key test at $61,550-$61,700, followed by the larger daily repair gate at $62,100-$62,700.Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders todayCurrent score:+1 / +10 blended, with the short-term read closer to +2 / +10.Market state: Early bullish repair from lower value, not a confirmed higher-timeframe breakout.Main support flip:$60,300-$60,500 now matters more than the old short zone near $60K.Immediate breakout gate: Bulls need acceptance above $61,550-$61,700.Major confirmation zone: The bigger bullish repair is not confirmed until BTC accepts above $62,100-$62,700.Bitcoin futures score: why the read improved but is not fully bullishMy current blended Bitcoin futures score is +1 / +10.That is an upgrade from the prior bearish lower-value reset, because BTC has now defended the $58,000-$58,500 area, reclaimed the $60,000 region, and started migrating value higher on the intraday and 4-hour structure.But I would not call this a clean bullish takeover yet.The shorter-term Bitcoin futures read is constructive, closer to +2 / +10, because buyers have repaired the breakdown and are now pressuring the upper repair zone. The broader daily structure is still more cautious, because the market has not yet accepted above $62,100-$62,700, which remains the first serious higher-timeframe confirmation zone.In plain English: Bitcoin has improved, but bulls still have work to do.Remember that the crypto market is serving up a massive dose of divergence right now, as broad-scale retail pain clashes with high-profile institutional wins. While recent filings reveal that Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto in 2026, the reality on the ground for the average market participant is starkly different, with data showing that the vast majority of token holders are currently sitting at a loss. This underlying retail exhaust matches a technical picture that has grown increasingly fragile over the last week. Recently on June 26, the market faced an ominous structural threat as Bitcoin threatened to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time since late 2023, signaling a deep shift in long-term momentum. Despite a brief attempt to stabilize, my Bitcoin analysis over the weekend of June 28 confirmed that order flow lacked the aggressive buy-side absorption needed to force a structural reversal. Without that liquidity cushion, the sellers kept pressing, leading to the current breakdown where Bitcoin is actively testing its lows for 2026. This push has dragged the benchmark asset down to valuation levels we haven't seen since September 2024. As an order flow trader, I am watching the volume profiles at these multi-year extremes very closely; I need to see clear signs of trapped short liquidity or aggressive passive buyers stepping in before assuming this floor will hold.What changed in the Bitcoin futures chart?The biggest change is that the $58K absorption zone worked again.BTC futures flushed into the $58,000-$58,400 area, even reaching approximately $57,850, but sellers failed to create downside continuation. That matters because a market that breaks a prior low but cannot stay below it is often showing early signs of absorption.What this means: Absorption happens when aggressive sellers push price lower, but buyers quietly take the other side and prevent the market from accepting below the low.After that failed breakdown, Bitcoin repaired through $59,500, reclaimed $60,000, and began building value around $60,500-$61,250. That is not just a price bounce. It suggests that the market has started to accept higher business after the prior liquidation.The important shift is this:Bitcoin CME Futures (4H): Preparing for a Potential Rebound?Following a prolonged downward trend, the 4-hour Bitcoin CME Futures (BTC1!) chart is starting to show tentative signs of stabilization. By establishing a structural anchor point at the June 5th low ($59,275), we can leverage two powerful institutional tools—Anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and a Fixed Range Volume Profile—to map out the shifting balance of power between buyers and sellers.Here is the technical breakdown of what is happening right now, designed for both educational clarity and actionable insight.Key Technical Indicators & Levels to Watch on the above Bitcoin 4h ChartThe Anchor Pivot (June 5th Low - $59,275): This point marks the bottom of a major flushing event. Anchoring our indicators here allows us to track the average cost basis and volume distribution of all market participants since this specific structure began.Point of Control (POC) at ~$60,200 (The Red Line): This represents the highest concentration of volume traded within this entire range. It serves as the ultimate market magnet and structural floor.The Anchored VWAP (The Purple Line) at ~$62,250: The VWAP represents the true equilibrium price for the period. Notice how the price is currently cradled inside the lower standard deviation bands (the shaded grey area bounded by green and red lines).The Educational Takeaway: Why This MatterWhat is a "Volume Node" & VWAP Band Entry? When price trades below the Point of Control (POC) and the core VWAP line, bears are technically in control. However, when price successfully reclaims the POC and pushes back into the first lower standard deviation band of the VWAP, it suggests that selling exhaustion has set in. Sellers failed to keep price pinned at the extremes, and the market is beginning to accept higher prices again.As we see on the right side of the chart, Bitcoin is currently trading just above $61,145. It has successfully broken back into the VWAP’s lower band and is holding steady above the critical $60,200 volume shelf.The Market Outlook: Bull vs. Bear ScenariosThe Bull Case (Targeting the Magnet): As long as the price maintains a clean foothold above $60,200, the bulls have a solid foundation to stage a deeper structural rebound. The immediate upside target is the purple Anchored VWAP line at ~$62,250, which will act as a natural price magnet.The Bear Case (The Failure Trigger): If buyers fail to defend the $60,200 zone on a closing basis, it means the recent push was simply a bear-market trap. A break back below the POC re-opens the door to retest the June lows.Current Bias Score: +1 (Mildly Bullish / Improving)The trend bias has officially shifted out of negative territory to a +1 score. While it is still early to call a definitive macro reversal, the intraday market microstructure is shifting in favor of the bulls.Educational Disclaimer:This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Note that this analysis utilizes CME Bitcoin Futures data; spot Bitcoin prices (e.g., Coinbase, Binance) may feature minor price variances, though the overall technical narrative remains identical.Why $61,550-$61,700 is the first Bitcoin breakout testThe first important upside test is now $61,550-$61,700.Bitcoin has already shown that it can spike above $61,000, but the earlier push into roughly $61,550 failed to close strongly. That tells us sellers are still active in the upper repair zone.This is why the article should not simply say “Bitcoin is bullish above $61,000.” The more useful test is whether BTC can accept above the resistance shelf, not whether it can briefly trade through a round number.What this means: Acceptance means price is not only touching a level, but spending time above it, defending pullbacks, and treating the higher area as valid.If BTC accepts above $61,550-$61,700, the next upside path opens toward $62,100-$62,700. That is where the repair becomes much more important.Bitcoin futures support and resistance levels to watch todayBitcoin bullish scenario: what confirms the repair?The bullish case stays alive while BTC holds above $60,300-$60,500.That zone is important because it has started to flip from resistance into support. If pullbacks hold there, the repair structure remains valid and traders can watch for a renewed push into $61,550-$61,700.A stronger bullish signal requires acceptance above $61,550-$61,700. If that happens, upside targets become:$62,100$62,700$63,300-$63,900$64,500-$65,100 if momentum expandsThe best bullish setup is not necessarily a chase into resistance. A cleaner long scenario is a pullback hold near $60,500-$60,950, followed by renewed strength. That allows traders to buy closer to the support flip rather than after the first breakout attempt.Bitcoin bearish scenario: where does the repair fail?The first warning sign would be a sustained move back below $60,300-$60,500.That would suggest the support flip is failing. If BTC then fails to reclaim that zone, the repair becomes weaker and the market can rotate back toward $59,500-$59,700.The stronger bearish signal comes below $59,500-$59,700. That would mean Bitcoin is slipping back into the lower balance, which would reduce the bullish repair argument and bring the $58,500-$58,900 support zone back into focus.If BTC loses $57,850-$58,000, the market would shift away from repair and back toward bearish continuation risk.Bitcoin tradeCompass map for todayWhat many Bitcoin traders may get wrong hereThe obvious level is $61,000, but that is not the best decision point.Bitcoin already proved it can trade above that area and still reject. The better question is whether it can hold above the upper resistance shelf near $61,550-$61,700 and then push into $62,100-$62,700.This is where traders should be careful. A first breakout can easily become a trap if price only spikes higher, triggers late buyers or short covering, and then falls back below the breakout zone.That is why I am treating this as a repair attempt with improving value, not a confirmed bullish regime shift.Trade management reminder for Bitcoin futuresIf a long setup reaches the first target near $61,550-$61,700, partial profit-taking is reasonable. After the second target near $62,100-$62,700, traders should consider reducing risk more aggressively or moving the stop closer to entry, depending on their own timeframe and risk tolerance.The goal is not to predict the exact high. The goal is to avoid letting a winning trade turn into a full loss after the market has already reached a logical reaction zone.The same applies on the bearish side. If BTC fails below $60,300-$60,500 and rotates toward $59,500-$59,700, traders should not assume the move must continue in a straight line. That lower balance can still attract buyers unless it breaks with acceptance.How to know if this Bitcoin analysis is still validThis analysis remains useful only if Bitcoin futures are still reacting around the levels in the map.The read remains broadly valid if BTC is trading between $60,300 and $62,700, because that is the current repair and confirmation zone.The bullish repair stays alive above $60,300-$60,500.The bullish case improves above $61,550-$61,700.The stronger bullish confirmation comes above $62,100-$62,700.The repair starts failing below $60,300.The bearish lower-value structure returns below $59,500-$59,700.If price has already moved far beyond these levels by the time you read this, do not treat the article as a fresh entry signal. Use the levels to judge whether the move has accepted, failed, or become too extended to chase.Practical Bitcoin futures read for traders todayBitcoin futures have improved meaningfully from the late June breakdown. The defense of the $58K area, the reclaim of $60K, and the migration of value toward $60,500-$61,250 all support the idea of an early bullish repair.But the market is not fully bullish yet.The key pivot is now simple:Above $60,300-$60,500, the repair remains alive.Above $61,550-$61,700, trapped shorts may be pressured toward $62,100-$62,700.Above $62,100-$62,700, the broader bullish repair becomes much more credible.Below $60,300, the repair starts to fail.Below $59,500-$59,700, the bearish lower-value structure returns.Current read: Bitcoin futures are in an early bullish repair, but traders should still respect the overhead decision zone before assuming a full bullish reversal. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin is trying to repair after its recent sharp pullback, but I am not treating this as a clean bullish reversal yet. The short-term bounce is constructive, especially after the recovery from the $59,100 area, but the key level I cannot ignore is $61,775. If Bitcoin loses that zone, the bullish repair case weakens quickly.Key takeaways for crypto traders and investorsCurrent read: Bitcoin has bounced over the past week, but the larger trend remains damaged. Key level:$61,775 is the major line in the sand because it is the point of control from the recent consolidation range. Bullish defense zone: Bulls ideally need to protect the $63,200 to $63,850 area. Market context: Bitcoin is up over one week, but still deeply negative over longer timeframes. Relative strength: Bitcoin is not leading crypto this week, with several altcoins outperforming BTC. My Bitcoin technical analysis videoWhat does the Bitcoin chart show today?On my Bitcoin spot chart, the important recent low came near $59,100, from Friday, June 5. That area created a possible double-bottom structure, which is why many traders are now asking whether the dip has already completed.I also have a regression channel on the chart, using two standard deviations on each side. Once Bitcoin broke below that structure, it activated what looked like a bear flag. Since then, price has tried to repair higher and has retraced back toward the 20 EMA, a widely followed moving average.That is the current debate.Is Bitcoin building a real reversal, or is this only a normal bounce after a breakdown?For me, the answer depends on how price behaves around the nearby value zoneBitcoin has bounced, but the bigger picture is still carrying damageBitcoin has managed to put in a decent one-week bounce, up roughly 5%. That is not nothing. After the recent drop, even a modest green patch can quickly bring back the “was that the dip?” crowd.But zooming out, the chart still has some bruises.Over the past month, Bitcoin is still down about 16%. Over 6 months and year-to-date, it is down roughly 27%. Over one year, the damage is closer to 39%. So yes, the one-week bounce matters, but I would not confuse it with a full bullish regime shift yet.This is more like Bitcoin has stood up after getting knocked down. Good. Encouraging. But it still needs to prove that it can walk properly before we start talking about a real trend reversal.Bitcoin is not exactly the star of the crypto show this weekAnother thing I noticed is that Bitcoin is not leading the crypto board this week.Some of the stronger movers are coming from the altcoin side. XLM and UNI are the eye-catchers, with very strong one-week gains. ZEC and AAVE also showed solid relative strength, while SOL and ETH were modestly positive.Bitcoin, meanwhile, was slightly negative on the relative performance snapshot. That does not automatically make Bitcoin bearish, but it does tell me that the short-term excitement is not centered on BTC leadership right now.And on the weaker side, names like TAO, ICP, ADA, DOGE, and BNB were lagging. So the crypto market is not moving as one clean block. There is rotation, selectivity, and some clear winners and losers.For Bitcoin bulls, stronger BTC leadership would help. If Bitcoin starts outperforming while holding above the key value areas, the bullish repair case becomes more convincing. But for now, I still see this as a repair attempt, not a confirmed takeover by buyers.Bitcoin bullish and bearish scenariosThis is the practical trading map I am using now.Could Bitcoin still return toward $100,000?If Bitcoin completes a real bullish reversal from this area, I do think the upside can become meaningful. A move back toward the higher zones, potentially even closer to $100,000, becomes more realistic only if buyers first prove themselves at the current decision area.But that is not confirmed yet.The market still needs to show that this bounce is more than a retracement into the 20 EMA and value resistance. The next few sessions are important because Bitcoin is sitting near a technical junction, not a random price area.What should traders watch next?The macro picture is rapidly shifting, forcing active traders to quickly re-evaluate their exposure as monetary policy uncertainty injects heavy volatility across key asset classes. We are seeing a distinct shift in market microstructure after US stocks fell on a more hawkish Fed policy signal, which triggered a broad sell-off across equities as market participants priced in tighter liquidity conditions and higher-for-longer interest rates. This aggressive defensive rotation was further exacerbated as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh left markets guessing following a Fed framework overhaul, a strategic pivot that has raised significantly more questions than answers regarding forward guidance and systemic liquidity. For short-term order flow, this means trailing VWAP levels and monitoring key institutional support zones will be absolutely critical to confirm whether this downside momentum has room to run or if a relief bounce is building.But focused on the bitcoin chart as guidance, the main thing I am watching is whether Bitcoin can defend the $63,200 to $63,850 zone and avoid a deeper rotation back toward $61,775.If Bitcoin holds and pushes higher, the repair remains alive.If Bitcoin loses $61,775, I would become much more cautious on the bullish case because that would suggest buyers are not strong enough to defend the main fair-value area from the recent consolidation.This is still a decision zone. It is not the place to assume certainty. The chart is giving traders clear levels, and the next reaction around those levels should tell us a lot about whether Bitcoin is repairing or preparing for another leg lower.Educational note: This analysis is a scenario map, not financial advice. Bitcoin can move quickly, and traders should manage risk according to their own plan, timeframe, and account size. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Ethereum technical analysis: Bulls are fine while ETH holds above this anchored VWAP zoneEthereum is showing a constructive short-term bullish repair on the 4-hour ETHUSD chart, while the larger weekly chart still sits inside a broader channel structure. For now, the key bullish area is around 1,747, while the larger swing-bull support zone is the anchored VWAP area near 1,686.Watch the full chart walkthrough in the embedded video above.Key takeaways for Ethereum traders and investorsMarket: Ethereum spot, ETHUSD on Coinbase.Main chart read: Bulls are still fine while Ethereum holds above the short-term support zone near 1,747.Higher-timeframe support: The anchored VWAP from the June 6 low is near 1,686, and that remains important for swing traders.Trade idea zone: A retracement toward 1,757 may offer a better risk-reward setup than chasing strength.Upside reaction area: The next important upside area from the video is near 1,845.Invalidation risk: A move below 1,669.20, especially if it accepts lower, would weaken the bullish case.The broader macro environment is shifting into a distinct risk-on mood following a political breakthrough, as geopolitical optimism regarding the Iran talks injects fresh confidence across global markets. This sudden appetite for risk is taking a heavy toll on traditional safe havens; for instance, team analysts at investingLive.com recently detailed how gold maintains its clear bearish bias under the weight of a hawkish Federal Reserve stance and shifting data-dependent expectations. As capital flows away from defensive assets, I'm watching how this macroeconomic liquidity pivots toward riskier plays. Specifically, I'm tracking crypto price action very closely, and in my own charts, I still need to see validation around a crucial psychological anchor, meaning my previous analysis highlighting why the $61,775 Bitcoin level matters right now remains my absolute core focus for determining the next major directional expansion.What does the Ethereum weekly chart show?On the weekly Ethereum chart, I am still watching the larger channel that has been developing since mid-2022.The channel uses lower touch points from around June 13, 2022 and June 1, 2026, and upper touch points from around March 11, 2024 and August 18, 2025. The important point here is not just the lines themselves. For a proper channel, the touch points need to sit on parallel lines, and that is what gives this structure its technical meaning.This broader view matters because it tells me Ethereum is not moving in a random vacuum. The short-term 4-hour setup is happening inside a larger weekly structure, so I do not want to look only at one intraday candle and ignore the bigger map.What does the Ethereum 4-hour chart show now?When I zoom into the 4-hour chart, the more useful short-term tool is the anchored VWAP from the June 6, 2026 low, which was around 1,155.The anchored VWAP shows the volume-weighted average price from that low. In plain English, it helps estimate the “fair value” area since that important bottom. If price is holding above the VWAP, buyers are generally defending higher value. If price starts accepting below it, the bullish repair becomes less convincing.What stands out to me in this Ethereum chart is that price found support near the anchored VWAP, then started accepting higher prices. ETH is also beginning to push beyond the first upper standard deviation of that VWAP structure, which suggests the market may be trying to reprice higher.That is why, in my view, the Ethereum bulls are still fine for now. It does not mean the move is guaranteed. It means the current chart structure still supports the bullish repair case as long as the key support zones hold.What are the key Ethereum levels to watch?What is the bullish Ethereum scenario?The bullish scenario remains active while Ethereum holds above roughly 1,747.If price pulls back toward 1,757 and buyers defend that area, the setup may offer a more attractive risk-reward profile than buying after a vertical move. In the video example, the upside target area is near 1,845, which gives the trade idea a potential reward-to-risk ratio of around 3:1, depending on the exact entry and stop.That matters because in trading, the question is not only whether the idea is right. The question is whether the possible reward is large enough compared with the risk being taken.A 3:1 reward-to-risk setup means a trader is risking one unit to potentially make three units. That does not guarantee a profitable trade, but it does mean the setup has a more attractive structure than a trade where the stop is far away and the target is close.What would weaken the bullish Ethereum thesis?The first warning sign would be ETH losing the 1,747 area and failing to reclaim it.The bigger warning would be a move below the anchored VWAP area near 1,686. For swing traders, that would matter more than a small intraday dip, because the anchored VWAP has been acting as the fair value line from the June 6 low.The cleaner invalidation area from the video is below 1,669.20, with an example stop around 1,664. If Ethereum trades down there, the chart is no longer behaving the way the bullish premise requires.For my money, I would not want a stop far below that zone. If price is already below the anchored VWAP and below the recent low, then the bullish idea has already weakened. Giving the market much more room below that can mean losing money after the original reason for the trade is no longer valid.The Ethereum trade scenario from the videThis is a scenario map, not a promise. Ethereum can move sharply in both directions, especially in crypto markets where liquidity can change quickly. Traders should decide their own position size, stop placement, and risk tolerance before entering any trade.How to know if this Ethereum analysis is still validBecause Ethereum trades 24/7, this analysis can become stale quickly if price moves far away from the levels in the video.The map is still useful if Ethereum is reacting near the same zones:If ETH is still above 1,747, the short-term bullish repair remains intact.If ETH is above 1,686, the larger anchored VWAP support is still being respected.If ETH breaks below 1,669.20, the bullish case weakens materially.If ETH already reached 1,845, traders should avoid treating the original entry idea as fresh.The main idea is simple: do not chase after the market has already paid the trade. Use the levels to judge whether Ethereum is accepting higher value, rejecting from resistance, or failing back below important support.Ethereum analysis summary for traders and investorsMy Ethereum read is still constructive while ETH holds above the short-term support area near 1,747 and, more importantly for swing traders, above the anchored VWAP area near 1,686.The bullish case improves if Ethereum continues accepting higher value and works toward the 1,845 area. But the setup is not risk-free. A sustained move below 1,669.20 would tell me the bullish premise has changed, and traders should respect that.As always, trade and invest at your own risk. This Ethereum analysis is a technical scenario based on the chart, not financial advice or a guaranteed forecast.Quick FAQ for crypto traders and investors at investingLive.comIs Ethereum bullish or bearish right now?Ethereum is leaning bullish on the 4-hour chart while it holds above 1,747 and remains above the anchored VWAP area near 1,686. A break below those levels would weaken the bullish case.What is the key Ethereum support level to watch?The short-term support level is around 1,747. For swing traders, the more important level is the anchored VWAP area near 1,686.What level would weaken the Ethereum bullish setup?A move below 1,669.20, especially if price accepts below it, would weaken the bullish thesis from this video.What is the next Ethereum upside target?The next upside area from this chart walkthrough is near 1,845, which was the prior high area from June 15.What does anchored VWAP mean?Anchored VWAP is a volume-weighted average price starting from a chosen candle or event. In this Ethereum chart, it is anchored from the June 6 low to show the fair value area since that bottom. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.