Crypto News
- Bitcoin Technical Analysis Todayby Itai Levitan on January 26, 2026 at 11:12 am
Bitcoin Technical Analysis Today - orderFlow Intel Signals a Late-Stage Intraday ShiftLive orderFlow Intel Update – Bitcoin FuturesTimestamp: Jan 26, 2026, 11:20 ET (16:20 GMT)Earlier today, Bitcoin futures spent several hours rotating inside a defined value area, with order flow showing slowing downside momentum but little evidence of committed buying. That balance phase suggested repair rather than an immediate reversal, keeping the short-term outlook cautious and range-bound.Over the past hour, however, conditions have begun to shift. Bitcoin futures have seen renewed downside pressure, with price slipping toward the lower portion of the developing value area. Recent short-term order flow shows more consistent selling activity, while rebound attempts have struggled to regain and hold prior intraday reference levels.Importantly, selling pressure is now appearing with slightly better follow-through than earlier, while upside responses remain shallow. This tilts the near-term bias back toward the downside, even as price approaches an area where responsive buying previously emerged.At this stage, the market is moving away from balance and back into a bearish-to-neutral short-term posture, though confirmation is still required.What would change the view:Bearish continuation: Sustained acceptance below the lower value area with expanding volume.Stabilization scenario: Failure to extend lower followed by renewed acceptance back inside value.Until one of these paths becomes clear, orderFlow Intel continues to favor discipline and level awareness over aggressive positioning.This update reflects evolving intraday conditions using orderFlow Intel as a decision-support framework. It is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk/// Previously today:Bitcoin futures are trading in a late bullish intraday phase, where price is still supported structurally, but momentum and efficiency are fading. This does not yet qualify as a bearish reversal, but it does mark an important transition zone where traders need to shift from chasing moves to reading reactions.Using orderFlow Intel, we analyze Bitcoin through two intraday lenses:A 200-range volumetric chart to understand the broader intraday contextA 100-range volumetric chart to time execution and detect early shifts in controlThis combination helps traders understand not just where price is, but how healthy the move actually is.orderFlow Intel ScorecardIntraday Context Score (200-Range Volumetric)Score: +2 / +10 - Slightly Bullish, WeakeningThe broader intraday structure remains upwardPrice is still holding above VWAP and the mid-channelMomentum expansion has slowed significantlyVolume is increasingly absorbed rather than converted into new highsEducational note: When a market remains above VWAP but struggles to push higher with volume, it often signals that early trend participants are distributing positions to late buyers. This is a normal and healthy market phase, but it reduces trend-trading opportunities.Execution Timeframe Score (100-Range Volumetric)Score: -1 / +10 - Neutral to Slightly BearishMultiple upside attempts fail to gain follow-throughBuyers are active, but their effort produces limited progressSellers appear at key reference levels without aggressive pressureVWAP acts as a gravity center rather than a launch pointEducational note: New traders often assume that green candles mean strength. orderFlow Intel teaches that efficiency matters more than color. When price moves up but repeatedly stalls near the same levels, it suggests absorption rather than momentum.What orderFlow Intel Is RevealingAcross both timeframes, Bitcoin is showing consistent behavior:Repeated tests of upper value without acceptanceRotations back toward VWAP after each push higherHigh interaction volume inside value, not above itThis is a textbook example of a market transitioning from trend to balance.For newer traders, this phase is important to recognize because:Breakouts fail more oftenRisk-reward deteriorates for trend continuation tradesPatience and level-based execution outperform predictionKey Bitcoin Levels Traders Should WatchThese are decision-support levels, not predictions.Upper Resistance Zone88,900 to 89,650Prior value highsRepeated seller responseWeak delta efficiency on bullish attemptsIf Bitcoin accepts above this zone with expanding delta and volume, the bullish intraday structure would regain credibility.Mid-Value Control Zone87,500 to 87,900Developing balance areaFrequent rotation and acceptanceHigh two-sided tradeAs long as price remains here, traders should expect chop and reduced trend quality.VWAP and Lower Value Support87,000 to 87,200VWAP and lower channel confluenceKey level where intraday control shiftsA clean acceptance below this zone would mark a transition from balance into a bearish intraday phase, with improved risk-reward for short setups.How Traders Can Use This IntelligenceWhen Bitcoin Holds Above VWAPFavor short-term, reaction-based tradesReduce position sizeTake partial profits earlierAvoid chasing upside moves without confirmationWhen Bitcoin Accepts Below VWAPBearish setups gain priorityMean reversion gives way to directional downsideStructure and order flow align for better probability tradesEducational takeaway: orderFlow Intel is not about predicting direction. It is about recognizing when the market’s behavior changes, and adapting risk accordingly.The Bigger PictureBitcoin is not weak. Bitcoin is not strong.Bitcoin is being tested.The current order flow pulse suggests a market that is still structurally intact, but increasingly sensitive to failed continuation. This is where professional traders slow down, observe more, and wait for confirmation.That is the core philosophy behind orderFlow Intel at InvestingLive.com. We focus on decision support, not headlines.Follow Our Real-Time Market UpdatesFor ongoing updates, trade ideas, and market intelligence across crypto, indices, commodities, and equities, follow our free Telegram channel:👉 https://t.me/investingLiveStocksWe share level-based insights, order flow observations, and risk-managed trade ideas across multiple instruments, not just Bitcoin.You are also welcome to see today's technical analysis for the S&P 500. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin Technical Analysis Today: orderFlow Intel Spots Bearish Auction Pause Near $90.6kby Itai Levitan on January 20, 2026 at 2:44 pm
Bitcoin CME futures are having a clearly bearish session, down close to 5% on the day, and the broader structure shows a market that has shifted from “rally continuation” into “value repair.” In plain English: after strong upside days earlier this month, the market stopped rewarding buyers, rolled over, and is now spending time building trade at lower prices.This Bitcoin technical analysis uses investingLive.com’s orderFlow Intel framework to translate what is happening behind the candles, focusing on buyer vs seller pressure, value acceptance, and whether today’s stabilization near support is a real base or simply a pause inside a bearish trend.orderFlow Intel is decision support, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.Let's first dive in my 2 technical analysis video overviews for today's bitcoin futures:Bitcoin technical analysis context: what changed since the Jan 13-14 rally?On the daily view, the powerful push higher on Jan 13 and Jan 14 has been “undone” quickly, with price already breaking below the Jan 13 low. That matters because strong trend legs usually hold their prior breakout zones. When those zones fail quickly, it often signals that the prior rally was more fragile than it looked.On top of that, the market has been unable to reclaim key reference areas from the prior session(s), including prior value zones and VWAP references. That reinforces the idea that this is not just a healthy pullback.Today’s VWAP and value area tell a bearish storyOn the 30-minute chart, today’s VWAP started near $92,500 (around yesterday’s POC) and has been sliding lower. At the time of this read:Today’s VWAP: about $91,516, clearly decliningToday’s POC: about $91,000–$91,045Today’s VAH: about $91,745Today’s VAL: $90,640Yesterday’s VWAP: about $93,075Two points matter for Bitcoin technical analysis traders:The entire value area today is below yesterday’s key references. That is value migration lower.Price has spent roughly the last 12 hours below VWAP without a meaningful test. When a market cannot even rotate back to VWAP, it usually means sellers are controlling “fair value,” and buyers are reacting rather than leading.This does not guarantee continuation lower, but it does define the playing field. Bulls need to prove themselves by reclaiming and holding key levels. Until that happens, rallies tend to behave like “sell-the-rally” opportunities, not trend continuations.The key support level: why $90,640 matters so muchThe level that keeps showing up across timeframes is $90,640, today’s value area low and an important lower reference on the intraday structure. This is where many traders start talking about a “double bottom” or “base building,” especially after a hard selloff.Here is the problem: candles alone cannot tell you if that base has real demand behind it. A sideways cluster can be either:Real dip buying that absorbs selling and prepares a reversal, orA pause that simply lets selling pressure cool before the next leg lowerThat is where orderFlow Intel helps. It tries to answer a simple question: when price pauses at support, are buyers actually taking control, or are sellers just temporarily resting?What orderFlow Intel sees right now: bearish control, but execution is neutralAcross the higher intraday range-based view (used for momentum and acceptance) and the shorter range-based view (used for execution), the message is consistent:Sellers had a real impulse lower earlier in the session.The market is now digesting that move, not reversing it.Buyer activity exists, but it has not produced the kind of “follow-through” you would want to see if a durable base was forming.In practical terms, this often creates the most frustrating environment for traders:Shorting late can be dangerous because snap-back rallies happen easily after a big drop.Buying early can be dangerous because pauses near support can break down once liquidity builds.So the highest-quality decision support is not “go long” or “go short.” It is: wait for the market to reveal whether $90,640 is being defended strongly, or whether it is being accepted below.Bitcoin technical analysis map: the levels that matter nextUse this as your decision-support compass. The market is currently in a bearish auction, but it is pausing. That pause will resolve either upward into a larger rotation, or downward into continuation.Bearish levels to watch$90,640 (VAL): the main “floor” level in focus$90,000 (round number zone): psychological liquidity area where stops often sitIf price accepts below $90,640, the bearish stage typically deepens, and the next downside references from the daily structure come into play (including the larger support zone around the low $80,000s highlighted earlier in your daily context).Bullish recovery levels to watch$91,000–$91,045 (POC zone): first area bulls need to hold consistently$91,745 (VAH): the first meaningful “reclaim” level$91,516 (today’s VWAP, declining): bulls need not just a tag, but sustained trade above it$92,300–$92,500: a stronger recovery zone (prior references and the area where today’s VWAP began)A useful rule of thumb:If price cannot sustain above the bullish thresholds (VAH, VWAP, then the next resistance band), shorts can become more attractive on rejection.If price breaks below the bearish threshold (VAL), it often signals that the auction is accepting lower and continuation risk rises.What the orderFlow Intel scores are, and how to use themorderFlow Intel assigns a score from -10 to +10. The score combines three things:Direction: positive is bullish bias, negative is bearish biasConfidence: larger magnitude means stronger evidenceTiming risk: the score avoids extreme readings when price is already extended and late entries are riskyIt also uses three timeframe buckets so we do not mix “structure” with “execution.”Score SummaryLong-term score (Daily / LTF): -4 The daily structure is bearish. The prior rally zone failed quickly, and value has shifted lower. This is not a strong trend breakdown score, but it is clearly negative.Medium-term score (200-range / MTF): -3 Sellers remain in control intraday, and the market has not repaired value upward yet. However, momentum has slowed, which prevents a more extreme bearish score.Short-term score (100-range / STF): 0 This is the most important score for actual trade execution. A 0 means “no edge right now.” The market is pausing and compressing. That often produces chop and false moves. You typically wait for confirmation.How traders can use this:When the long-term and medium-term scores are negative, you treat rallies as suspicious until the market proves otherwise.When the short-term score is near 0, you avoid forcing trades and instead wait for the next clean signal around the key levels.Scenarios for Bitcoin today: continuation vs rotationScenario 1: Bearish continuationThis becomes more likely if:Price breaks below $90,640 and holds below itBounces fail to reclaim the $91,000–$91,745 zoneVWAP continues drifting lower and price remains pinned below itIn this case, the market is communicating that it is accepting lower prices, and downside targets expand.Scenario 2: Rotation and stabilizationThis becomes more likely if:Price holds $90,640 and starts building value higherThe market reclaims $91,745 (VAH) and then spends time above itPrice rotates back to VWAP and starts holding above VWAP rather than rejecting itThis does not instantly make Bitcoin bullish again on the daily chart, but it can shift the intraday trade environment from “sell pressure” to “two-sided balance.”A quick educational note: why failed VWAP tests matter in Bitcoin technical analysisMany traders treat VWAP like a line on the chart. In reality, it is a live “fair value reference” used widely across institutional and systematic flows.When price spends hours below VWAP and cannot even test it, it often means:sellers are controlling the auction, andbuyers are not willing to pay up enough to challenge fair valueThat is why today’s declining VWAP, combined with a lack of VWAP tests, keeps the bias bearish unless conditions improve.Bottom line for Bitcoin technical analysis todayBitcoin remains in a bearish intraday auction, and the market is still trading well below yesterday’s key references. The interesting development is not that bulls are winning, but that selling has paused near $90,640, creating a decision point.If $90,640 breaks and holds below, bearish continuation risk rises.If Bitcoin reclaims $91,745 and starts holding above VWAP, the market shifts into rotation and stabilization.Until one of those conditions is met, the best decision-support stance is patience. The chart is bearish, but the execution edge is not clean right now.Trade at your own risk. Come check more out at the investingLive Telegram Channel on https://t.me/investingLiveStocks This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin has been slammed lower, back under US$93Kby Eamonn Sheridan on January 19, 2026 at 12:23 am
Risk has taken a hit, as has the US dollar after the news over the weekend of Trump promising higher tariffs again and Europe assessing retaliationEarlier:Monday open indicative forex prices, 19 Jan 2026. 'Risk' lower on Trump's latest trade warEU calls emergency summit as Trump escalates Greenland tariff threat. Euro a little lower.US stock markets have fallen after Trump's extra tariffs announcement over the weekendGold has hit a record high after Trump's extra tariff plan announced over the weekendAs a recap. The European Union is moving swiftly to prevent a deepening trade confrontation with the United States after President Donald Trump threatened to impose sweeping tariffs on European allies in a dispute centred on Greenland.EU officials say the bloc is now operating on two fronts: ramping up diplomatic engagement with Washington in an effort to defuse tensions, while simultaneously preparing retaliatory measures should negotiations fail. The standoff is set to dominate discussions at an emergency summit of EU leaders in Brussels on Thursday, reflecting growing concern that the dispute could spiral into a broader transatlantic trade clash.Trump announced over the weekend that the United States would introduce tariffs of 10% from February 1 on a group of European countries, including Denmark, France, Germany and Sweden, with the rate rising to 25% from June. The measures, he said, would remain in place unless the U.S. is allowed to purchase Greenland — a demand European leaders have dismissed as unacceptable pressure on close allies.Brussels has responded by reviving preparations for a long-suspended package of countermeasures targeting €93 billion worth of U.S. imports. Those tariffs were frozen last August after a temporary trade understanding between the EU and Washington, but officials say they are now set to automatically come back into force on February 6 unless a new agreement is reached.Beyond tariffs, EU capitals are weighing whether to deploy the bloc’s Anti-Coercion Instrument, a far-reaching tool designed to respond to economic pressure from third countries. The mechanism would allow the EU to limit U.S. access to public procurement contracts, investment opportunities, financial services and parts of the digital economy. While several member states favour using the instrument to send a strong signal, diplomats say support remains uneven, with many governments preferring to begin with more traditional trade retaliation.European Council President Antonio Costa said consultations among member states had demonstrated firm unity in support of Denmark and Greenland, alongside a shared readiness to resist what the bloc views as coercive trade tactics. At the same time, he stressed that the EU remains open to dialogue with Washington.Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen echoed that message, saying Europe would not bend under pressure and welcoming the solidarity shown by EU partners.Attention is now turning to the World Economic Forum in Davos, where Trump is expected to appear later this week. EU officials hope the gathering will provide an opportunity to de-escalate tensions, but warn that failure to do so risks renewed market volatility and further strain on already fragile transatlantic trade relations. ---Gold update: This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- Oil back in the spotlight as US-Iran showdown may not be overby Giuseppe Dellamotta on January 16, 2026 at 8:23 am
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWAfter Wednesday, it looked like US-Iran tensions were finally subsiding following a comment from Trump where he said that the killing in Iran was stopping and that there were no plans for executions. That triggered a sharp drop in oil prices because Trump threatened "strong actions" in case the Iranian regime killed protestors. Late yesterday, we got a report from Fox News saying that US air, land and sea military assets were moving to the Middle East and added that US military transit to the Middle East is expected to take a week. Now, we might say that a lot can change in a week and that there's still time before worrying about an escalation, but you never know what might happen over the weekend with Trump. He likes decoy, so there's a risk that he's just trying to get Iran to let its guard down before acting. Axios reported that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke to Trump on Wednesday and asked him to wait to give Israel more time to prepare for possible Iranian retaliation. While this might just be noise, the market might start increasing the geopolitical risk premium again, especially given the much better levels after the sharp selloff on Wednesday. There might also be some hedging into the weekend risk. OIL FUTURES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that the price of WTI oil futures dropped all the way back to the key support zone around the 58.80 level. The buyers stepped in there with a defined risk below the support to position for a rally into the 66.00 level next. The sellers, on the other hand, will need the price to break below the support to open the door for a fall back into the 55.00 low. OIL FUTURES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that the price has been consolidating right at the support highlighting the uncertainty for what comes next. Technically, it's just about waiting for a breakout on either side and going with the flow at this point. The red lines define the average daily range for today. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.
- West Virginia treasury proposes bitcoin & precious metals purchases ... late cycle signal?by Eamonn Sheridan on January 16, 2026 at 12:22 am
Summary:West Virginia bill would allow up to 10% of treasury assets into metals and digital assetsOnly bitcoin currently meets the bill’s $750bn market-cap requirementStablecoins would require explicit regulatory approvalSimilar proposals have emerged across the U.S., with limited success so farPolitical support for the bill remains uncertainWest Virginia bill opens door to state investment in bitcoin and precious metals. What could possibly go wrong?A U.S. state lawmaker has proposed legislation that would allow West Virginia’s treasury to allocate a portion of its reserves into precious metals and select digital assets, adding to a growing but still limited push by state governments to gain exposure to alternative stores of value.Under a bill introduced this week by Chris Rose, West Virginia’s Board of Treasury would be permitted to invest up to 10% of its holdings in precious metals, qualifying digital assets and approved stablecoins. The proposal, titled the Inflation Protection Act, is framed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement rather than a wholesale shift in treasury management strategy.The bill specifies that any eligible digital asset must have recorded a market capitalisation above $750 billion in the prior calendar year. As of January, that threshold would limit exposure to Bitcoin alone, effectively excluding smaller cryptocurrencies and reinforcing the bill’s emphasis on liquidity and scale.According to the draft legislation, digital assets held by the state could be custodied through a qualified third-party custodian, an exchange-traded product, or another secure custody solution. Stablecoins would face tighter constraints, requiring explicit regulatory approval from either the U.S. federal government or individual states before being eligible for treasury investment.West Virginia would not be alone in exploring such an approach. Several U.S. states have debated similar measures over the past year, though legislative success has been uneven. While numerous bills were introduced in 2025, only a small number of states — including Texas, Arizona and New Hampshire — have ultimately passed laws allowing for some form of state-level crypto reserve or investment framework.At this stage, the political outlook for the West Virginia proposal remains uncertain. The bill has been referred to the legislature’s Committee on Banking and Insurance, where it will face scrutiny over risk management, volatility and fiduciary responsibility. There is no clear indication yet that it has sufficient support to advance to a full vote.For markets, the proposal highlights a broader trend of governments beginning to acknowledge alternative assets, often after significant price appreciation has already occurred. While such moves may add to the narrative legitimacy of bitcoin and precious metals, they also risk being late-cycle signals rather than catalysts for sustained upside. ---For bitcoin, the bill reinforces its positioning as a macro hedge and reserve-style asset rather than a speculative token. However, given bitcoin’s strong performance in recent years, incremental government interest is unlikely to be a major upside catalyst on its own and may instead signal growing mainstream saturation.For precious metals, particularly gold and silver, the proposal aligns with their traditional role as inflation hedges. Yet, similar to crypto, official-sector interest typically emerges after prolonged rallies, suggesting demand validation rather than fresh momentum.Overall, while such legislation supports the long-term legitimacy of alternative assets, it may also argue for caution on near-term price expectations. Buy some gold they say. It'll be fun, they say. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- U.S. Senate delays crypto market structure bill amid industry and political riftsby Eamonn Sheridan on January 15, 2026 at 3:14 am
Summary:Senate Banking Committee cancels crypto bill markupCoinbase withdraws support, exposing deeper divisionsStablecoin rewards and ethics rules key sticking pointsBill aimed to define U.S. crypto regulatory frameworkBitcoin trades slightly lower on renewed uncertaintyThe U.S. Senate Banking Committee has cancelled its planned markup of a sweeping crypto market-structure bill, delaying what was set to be the Senate’s first major legislative vote on comprehensive digital-asset regulation after months of negotiations.Committee chairman Tim Scott said talks were continuing, but confirmed that the legislation would no longer be taken up as scheduled and that no new date had been set. The setback follows public opposition from Coinbase, which withdrew its support on the eve of the markup, compounding existing rifts among lawmakers, regulators and industry participants.The bill was designed to define how federal agencies oversee the U.S. crypto industry, including the division of authority between regulators and the rules governing trading venues, token classification and market conduct. It has been viewed as a cornerstone of Washington’s attempt to provide “rules of the road” after years of enforcement-driven regulation and legal uncertainty.Several unresolved issues ultimately proved too difficult to bridge. One of the most contentious was whether to allow stablecoin rewards or yield-style programs — an idea strongly opposed by Wall Street banks, which warned such products could undermine traditional deposits. Lobbying on that front reportedly eroded Republican unity on the committee. Democrats, meanwhile, pushed for ethics provisions that would restrict senior government officials from profiting from crypto activities, proposals that the White House of Donald Trump was said to resist, arguing the issue fell outside the committee’s remit.The delay is a setback for an industry that has spent years and significant political capital pressing for regulatory clarity. While the Senate Agriculture Committee is still expected to consider related legislation later this month, the Banking Committee’s work has been the leading edge of the broader effort.For markets, the pause reinforces regulatory uncertainty. Digital assets edged lower following the news, with bitcoin trading slightly softer as investors reassessed the near-term prospects for U.S. legislative progress, even as longer-term momentum toward regulation remains intact. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin Technical Analysis Today as Bitcoin Feels “Stuck” Despite a Bullish Backdropby Itai Levitan on January 14, 2026 at 4:13 am
Bitcoin Futures Analysis Today: How orderFlow Intel Maps Key Levels After Breakout and ConsolidationWhile I'm still thinking back to my first bitcoin technical analysis of 2026, where I state my opinion that 100k is still open for the short term, I know that many of you crypto traders are looking at what will happen today. Bitcoin futures are entering a critical consolidation phase after reclaiming important value levels earlier this week. While standard charts may suggest indecision, deeper order flow-based analysis points to a market that is digesting gains rather than breaking down.At investingLive.com, we apply orderFlow Intel, a professional decision-support framework that studies how volume, participation, and price acceptance interact beneath the surface of the market. I mean, many of you can see that bitcoin is doing pretty good since Nov 21 (up almost 20% since then till today's high, in Bitcoin futures), even hitting its highest in a couple of months. But for today, we look beyond the obvious and these order flow insights are typically not available to most retail traders, and the goal is to do the heavy analytical lifting and translate it into a clear, usable map.This update is not financial advice, but structured guidance to help traders and investors think more clearly about risk, context, and probabilities.The bigger picture: why structure still matters more than short-term noiseOn higher timeframes, Bitcoin futures continue to display a constructive structure:Price has reclaimed and held above prior value areas from early January.High-activity zones from previous sessions have gradually shifted higher.Downside attempts have so far lacked follow-through.From an order flow perspective, this behavior often signals acceptance at higher prices, rather than distribution. In healthier bullish phases, markets tend to rotate, consolidate, and rebuild participation instead of collapsing immediately after a rally.Educational reminder: Strong markets do not move in straight lines. Consolidation near prior resistance is often a sign of digestion, not weakness.Why Bitcoin feels “stuck” despite a bullish backdropOn shorter timeframes, Bitcoin futures are currently trading inside a balanced zone, with price oscillating around the session’s average.orderFlow Intel highlights several important dynamics:Two-sided trade near the mean, rather than one-sided dominance.Sellers appearing near resistance, but without aggressive continuation.Buyers stepping in on pullbacks, even if they are selective.In simple terms, the market is deciding whether to build value higher or briefly rotate lower to attract more participation.Educational tip: When price stalls near resistance without strong selling pressure, it often reflects a lack of urgency rather than a bearish signal.Key price levels Bitcoin traders should watchThese levels are not arbitrary. They are derived from where meaningful trading activity previously took place, which is why markets often react around them.Bullish continuation zone95,780–95,800Acceptance above this area would indicate that buyers are willing to transact at higher prices, increasing the probability of continuation toward:96,300–96,400, followed by higher resistance zones beyond.For this scenario to gain traction, price needs to hold above this area, not just briefly trade through it.Near-term balance and support95,500–95,520This zone represents the lower boundary of the current consolidation. Holding above it keeps the structure constructive and supports the idea of sideways digestion rather than trend failure.First downside reaction area94,580This is an important prior high-activity area from early January. If price pulls back here, traders should observe how price behaves:Stabilization or rejection would support the broader bullish case.Clean acceptance below would increase caution.Educational tip: High-volume areas often act as “decision points” where markets pause, react, or reverse temporarily.Structural risk threshold93,920Sustained acceptance below this level would weaken the bullish structure and suggest that Bitcoin futures may need more time to rebuild support.Why order flow adds value beyond standard chartsMost traders rely on candles, indicators, and moving averages. orderFlow Intel focuses on how much participation supports price movement and whether that movement is being accepted or rejected.Currently, order flow analysis suggests:No signs of panic or forced selling.No evidence of aggressive liquidation.Continued absorption during pullbacks.This helps explain why downside moves have been contained and why rallies, even when hesitant, have not failed decisively.Educational reminder: Price moves supported by participation tend to persist. Moves without acceptance often fade.Short-term caution, medium-term constructive biasThe current environment rewards discipline over aggression.Short-term traders should expect rotations, false starts, and tests of patience.Medium-term participants should focus on whether price holds key support during pullbacks or accepts above resistance during rallies.This is often the phase where markets attempt to shake out impatient positioning before revealing a clearer directional move.The investingLive decision compass for Bitcoin tradersThink of this analysis as a map, not a forecast:Above 95,800, the bullish case strengthens and higher levels become relevant.Below 95,500, patience is warranted as the market tests balance.Below 93,920, structural risk increases and bias should be reassessed.Professional traders rarely act on a single signal. They wait for price to interact with important levels and then evaluate the response.orderFlow Intel is designed to support better decision-making, not to predict outcomes. Markets are probabilistic, not certain, and all trading involves risk.This analysis reflects current conditions and will evolve as new data comes in.Stay patient, stay level-aware, and let price behavior confirm the next move. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin has hit its highest against the USD in 2 monthsby Eamonn Sheridan on January 13, 2026 at 11:14 pm
Bitcoin above USD94,725, best for beleaguered crypto since 17 November last year. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin at the start of 2026: Bulls were back? Now bitcoin bears are back.by Itai Levitan on January 8, 2026 at 7:37 am
Today, I'm taking a fresh look at Bitcoin futures as we move deeper into the start of year 2026.After two weeks where bulls briefly reclaimed control and enjoyed what I would call their moment of fame, the technical picture has shifted again. Bears are back in control, and the structure that is developing deserves close attention, especially for traders and investors who were positioning for a clean continuation toward the $100K handle. Risk on or risk off moods? Gold was decining in the past couple of days, including today when we also had a successful trade idea on our Telegram Channel (hop on over, it's free).The Technical Structure: Regression Channel and Bear Flag RiskOn the chart in my bitcoin futures technical analysis video above , I am using a regression channel with two standard deviations, which helps encapsulate the dominant move and highlight where price is stretching or reverting. Bitcoin has now made another touch near the upper boundary of this channel. Importantly, the channel itself is slightly sloping upward, which often creates a deceptive sense of bullish continuation.In reality, this combination frequently resolves as a bear flag. The logic is simple: price consolidates or drifts modestly higher after a strong decline, then breaks lower once buyers fail to regain real control. If Bitcoin revisits this upper channel area again, perhaps after a modest retracement, and then rolls over, it increases the probability of a continuation move lower. In that scenario, a break below the November 21 low becomes a realistic risk rather than a tail event.Pitchfork Breakdown Adds Confluence to Bitcoin Bears TodayAdding to the bearish case, the pitchfork structure that previously guided price higher has already been broken to the downside. Whether you draw it conservatively or more aggressively, the message remains consistent: the market is no longer respecting that bullish framework. When multiple technical tools point in the same direction, it strengthens the signal and reduces the odds that this is just noise.Bitcoin Trading Volume Today Confirms Participation, Not ApathyOne detail I want to stress is volume. The recent downside has not occurred on thin or holiday-style participation. We are seeing healthy, elevated volume, including activity above the EMA and near what looks like exhaustion selling zones. This tells me the move lower is supported by conviction, not just a lack of buyers.Scenarios to Watch Going Forward for Bitcoin FuturesIn the near term, a relief rally is still possible. Price could drift toward the midline of the regression channel, potentially retesting the broken pitchfork area around $92,300, depending on timing. That would not invalidate the bearish structure by itself.For bulls to genuinely regain control, the market needs more than a bounce. I am watching a gently rising trend line defined by multiple clear touch points. Only if we see two consecutive candles closing above that line, currently around $96,100, would it suggest that bulls are meaningfully back in the game.On the downside, failure to reclaim those levels keeps the door open to a deeper move, potentially toward the $82,250 area, where the next major decision point would emerge.Bitcoin Market is Dynamic, and You Should Be, TooMarkets are dynamic, not ideological. I previously noted that a push toward $100K was possible if bullish conditions persisted and indeed buyers enjoyed that Long, but since yesterday, price is shifting to a different story. A marginal new high was rejected, and sellers stepped back in. The key now is staying agile, reading the message of price and volume, and avoiding stubborn bias.As always, this is a scenario-based technical perspective, not a prediction or financial advice. We will continue to update the outlook as the structure evolves. For deeper follow-ups and updated levels, stay tuned to InvestingLive.A Last Word about Bitcoin Dominance (...and what is that, anyway?)Based on a separate analysis I reviewed and my own interpretation which could of course be wrong, Bitcoin dominance looks like it may be setting up for a move higher, and with Bitcoin price already slipping since yesterday, the more relevant scenario to consider is a risk-off rotation inside crypto. When dominance rises while price weakens, it often means capital is leaving altcoins faster than it is leaving Bitcoin, a classic defensive shift rather than outright panic. For traders, the guidance here is not to predict but to observe: watch whether altcoins continue to underperform Bitcoin on relative charts, monitor if Bitcoin starts stabilizing while dominance keeps climbing, and pay attention to whether speculative narratives cool off. From an educational perspective, this environment tends to reward patience, reduced beta, and cleaner positioning, with Bitcoin acting as the relative safe haven inside crypto until risk appetite improves again. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin, solana ETFs planned as Wall Street leans into crypto, Morgan Stanley joins raceby Eamonn Sheridan on January 7, 2026 at 2:44 am
Summary:Morgan Stanley files for bitcoin and solana ETFsApplications submitted to the U.S. SECBitcoin ETFs now manage over $120bn in assetsNon-bitcoin crypto ETFs have seen weaker inflowsMove highlights growing institutional adoptionEarlier:MSCI delays crypto treasury index shake-up , supportive for BTC and other cryptoBitcoin rises as PwC leans into crypto on US regulatory shiftMorgan Stanley is preparing to deepen its push into digital assets, filing applications to launch exchange-traded funds that would hold Bitcoin and Solana, underscoring the continued integration of cryptocurrencies into mainstream finance.Info, ICYMI, via the Wall Street Journal (gated). Regulatory filings submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission show the investment bank plans to offer separate ETFs providing direct exposure to the two digital tokens. If approved, the products would place Morgan Stanley alongside a growing list of major financial institutions seeking to capitalise on investor demand for regulated crypto investment vehicles.The move follows the rapid expansion of U.S.-listed bitcoin ETFs since their launch in 2024. A group of 11 spot bitcoin ETFs, including products from BlackRock and Fidelity Investments, has attracted substantial inflows, with combined assets under management now exceeding $120 billion, according to data cited by JPMorgan. The success of these funds has helped cement bitcoin’s status as the dominant institutional entry point into the crypto market.Momentum outside bitcoin has been more uneven. Asset managers have also rolled out ETFs and exchange-traded products tracking other cryptocurrencies such as ether and solana, but these offerings have generally seen more modest inflows. That divergence reflects investors’ continued preference for bitcoin as a perceived store of value, compared with alternative tokens that are often viewed as higher risk and more sensitive to shifts in market sentiment.Market pricing reflects that volatility. Bitcoin was trading near $92,000 on Tuesday after rebounding from recent lows, but remains roughly 27% below its early-October peak above $126,000. Solana hovered around $137, well off its record high of about $294, highlighting the sharper drawdowns seen across the broader crypto complex.A Morgan Stanley spokesperson declined to comment beyond the details disclosed in the filings. Still, the applications signal growing confidence among large financial institutions that regulatory pathways for crypto ETFs are becoming clearer, even as price volatility and uneven investor appetite persist. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- MSCI delays crypto treasury index shake-up , supportive for BTC and other cryptoby Eamonn Sheridan on January 6, 2026 at 10:45 pm
Summary:MSCI halts plans to exclude crypto treasury firms from indexesImmediate forced selling risk for crypto-linked stocks avoidedBitcoin proxies retain benchmark inclusion for nowBroader review of non-operating firms still comingLonger-term index treatment of crypto exposure remains uncertainEarlier: Bitcoin rises as PwC leans into crypto on US regulatory shiftGlobal index provider MSCI has stepped back from an immediate overhaul of how crypto-heavy companies are treated in its benchmarks, a move that removes a near-term overhang for the digital asset sector while signalling tougher scrutiny may still lie ahead.MSCI said it will retain its current approach to so-called digital asset treasury companies, firms where cryptocurrencies account for more than 50% of total assets, and will not exclude them from its global indexes as part of the February 2026 review. Instead, the index provider plans to launch a broader consultation on how non-operating companies should be classified and weighted.For crypto markets, the decision is notable because it avoids a potentially disruptive forced selling event. An exclusion of crypto treasury firms from major benchmarks could have triggered mechanical selling by passive and index-tracking funds, amplifying volatility not only in affected equities but also in underlying digital assets such as Bitcoin. Indeed, the expected MSCI exclusion was widely cited as a critical factor in the crypto sell off back on October 10 last year and the extended down draft that followed.The pause offers short-term relief to companies that have effectively become leveraged proxies for crypto exposure. Strategy Inc., which holds more than $60 billion worth of bitcoin, remains in MSCI’s global benchmarks for now. Its shares jumped around 6% in after-hours trading following the announcement, while other crypto-linked stocks such as Bitmine Immersion also saw gains.Beyond individual stocks, the episode highlights a growing tension between traditional index construction rules and the evolving structure of crypto-centric businesses. MSCI acknowledged investor concerns that some digital asset treasury companies resemble investment vehicles rather than operating firms, a classification that could eventually reshape index eligibility. While MSCI has deferred any immediate exclusions, it also made clear that index support will not expand. Share count adjustments, inclusion factor increases and size-segment upgrades for affected firms have been put on hold.For crypto markets, the message is mixed: near-term stability has been preserved, but the longer-term debate over how crypto exposure fits into mainstream equity benchmarks is far from settled. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says Bitcoin new highs soon. Sees S&P 500 to 7,700 by end 2026 too.by Eamonn Sheridan on January 5, 2026 at 10:46 pm
Summary:Tom Lee says Bitcoin has not yet peakedNew all-time highs possible as early as January2026 seen as volatile first half, stronger second halfEthereum described as undervalued entering a supercycleS&P 500 forecast to reach 7,700 by end-2026Bitcoin has not yet reached its cycle peak and could print a new all-time high as soon as this month, according to Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder Tom Lee, who reiterated his bullish stance on digital assets and equities during an appearance on CNBC Squawk Box.Lee said recent weakness across crypto markets should not be interpreted as a definitive top. While he acknowledged that earlier expectations for a late-2025 breakout proved premature, he argued that price action remains consistent with a broader uptrend. In his view, investors should not assume that Bitcoin, Ethereum or the wider digital-asset complex has already peaked.The comments follow a sharp pullback into year-end 2025, with Bitcoin retreating from an October record above $126,000 to around $88,500 by December 31, according to CoinDesk. Lee positioned January as a potential inflection point, describing the correction as part of a broader consolidation phase after several years of outsized gains.Looking ahead, Lee characterised 2026 as a “two-speed” year for crypto markets. He expects the first half to be volatile, driven by institutional portfolio rebalancing and what he described as a strategic reset across risk assets. That process, however, is not seen as a sign of structural weakness. Instead, Lee argued that such periods of turbulence historically lay the groundwork for stronger advances later in the cycle, with a more powerful rally emerging in the second half of the year.Lee was particularly constructive on Ethereum, describing it as significantly undervalued and entering a multi-year expansion phase similar to Bitcoin’s 2017–2021 cycle. Despite missing earlier price targets, he has reinforced that view through balance-sheet positioning. His crypto-focused firm, Bitmine Immersion Technologies, has continued to accumulate ether, framing exposure as a strategic treasury decision rather than a speculative trade.Beyond digital assets, Lee extended his bullish outlook to equities. He forecast the S&P 500 could climb to 7,700 by the end of 2026, citing resilient corporate earnings and productivity gains driven by artificial intelligence. Any near-term pullbacks, he said, should be viewed as opportunities rather than warnings. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- The 1st Bitcoin Technical Analysis of Year 2026 and Bulls are Back.by Itai Levitan on January 5, 2026 at 10:44 am
Bitcoin Futures Technical Analysis: Bulls Defend Breakout as 100,000 Comes Back Into FocusTimeframe: 4-hour chart | investingLive.com | January 2026Bitcoin technical analysis highlightsBitcoin futures are up about 3.3% from Friday’s close, starting 2026 with bullish momentum.BTC has broken above a multi-touch resistance zone dating back to November 2025.A clean breakout and retest confirms higher acceptance on the 4-hour Bitcoin chart.The Value Area High near 89,600 is holding as key bullish support.As long as Bitcoin holds above the Point of Control near 88,000, the bullish Bitcoin trend remains intact.Bitcoin futures breakout: why this level mattersThis Bitcoin technical analysis focuses on a structurally important resistance level that capped BTC price action for months. On the 4-hour Bitcoin futures chart, that resistance originated from:A pivot high on October 6, 2025A second major test on October 28A near-touch on October 27A closely aligned additional test shortly afterwardWhether traders count this as three or four touches is secondary. What matters is that Bitcoin repeatedly failed at this level in the past, making the eventual breakout technically meaningful.Last Friday, Bitcoin futures broke decisively above this resistance, signaling a shift in market control from sellers to buyers.Breakout, retest, and acceptance in Bitcoin priceBitcoin is pushing higher as PwC’s deeper move into crypto highlights growing institutional confidence, with improving US regulatory clarity lowering adoption barriers for banks, corporates, and payment providers. A breakout alone is not enough. What followed strengthens the bullish case.Friday’s low produced a textbook retest of the previously broken Bitcoin resistance, confirming it as new support.When Bitcoin futures reopened roughly 11–12 hours later, price gapped higher, reinforcing buyer confidence.At the same time, the Value Area High at approximately 89,600 is being actively defended. In Bitcoin technical analysis terms, this suggests that the market is accepting higher value, rather than rotating back into the prior range.This area now acts as a clear line in the sand between bulls and bears.Key Bitcoin support levels to watchWhile further pullbacks are always possible, the structure defines where bullish control should remain intact.89,600 (Value Area High): First key support that should continue to hold.88,000 (Point of Control): A critical Bitcoin futures level. Acceptance below this zone would weaken the breakout structure.87,000 (round number): Located just below the Value Area Low, this is a broader bearish threshold.As long as Bitcoin price stays above 88,000, the breakout thesis remains valid.Bitcoin pitchfork structure and tactical pullbacksA rising pitchfork channel is currently guiding BTC price action. For trend continuation, bulls will want to see Bitcoin remain within this channel.A retracement toward ~90,650 would still be constructive rather than bearish. This level aligns with:Highs from December 17The swing high from December 22This confluence creates a technically logical area where speculative Bitcoin longs may expect additional buyers to step in.What would turn Bitcoin bearishFor now, this remains a secondary scenario, but it is clearly defined.If Bitcoin futures were to print two consecutive 4-hour candles closing decisively lower, especially with acceptance back below value, that would indicate bearish re-engagement. Until then, Bitcoin bulls remain firmly in control of the medium-term structure.Bitcoin outlook into early 2026Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are starting 2026 on a bullish technical footing. If current support levels continue to hold, market participants and media narratives are likely to shift attention back toward the 100,000 round number, a major psychological reference in Bitcoin price analysis.As always, this is scenario-based Bitcoin technical analysis, not a prediction. Trade at your own risk, manage exposure carefully, and return to investingLive.com later this week for updated Bitcoin levels and follow-up perspectives as price action evolvesBitcoin Market Update: The "Invisible Hand" Supporting the RallyBy The Order Flow Desk | investinglive.com Date: Monday, January 5, 2026Bitcoin futures kicked off the week with a decisive gap higher, creating a stir among retail and institutional traders alike. While the headline price action is undeniably bullish, the real story lies "under the hood" in the order flow.At InvestingLive, our proprietary volumetric systems have been tracking a significant shift in market participant behavior since late last week. We are seeing classic signs of institutional absorption—where "Smart Money" passively buys into weakness, setting the stage for the kind of squeezes we are witnessing now.Here is what our advanced flow analysis is signaling for the sessions ahead.The Setup at Bitcoin Futures at the End of Last Week: Anatomy of a Bear TrapTo understand today's rally, we have to look at how last week ended. On Friday afternoon, Bitcoin appeared heavy, drifting below key average prices. Sentiment was bearish, and sellers were aggressive.However, our systems flagged a critical anomaly late in the session. As price poked new lows, we detected a massive spike in aggressive selling that failed to push the price down. In institutional analysis, we call this a "Passive Reversal."Essentially, large limit buyers stepped in and absorbed every sell order the market threw at them. This created a "Bear Trap"—shorts were caught at the lows with nowhere to go but out. That trapped liquidity became the fuel for today’s gap up.The "Inventory Squeeze" in Bitcoin Today So FarToday’s open saw Bitcoin gap well above Friday’s value area (above the 90,670 level). What is fascinating is the quality of the move.During the initial rally, our flow trackers showed that aggressive buying was actually quite low. In fact, for several hours, the net order flow was negative even as prices rose. This is a classic "Inventory Squeeze." It suggests that retail traders or algorithms were trying to fade the gap (shorting into the rally), but institutional players were simply holding their bids higher, forcing price up without needing to aggressively chase it.The market has been climbing a "Wall of Worry"—and that is often the healthiest way to sustain a trend.The "Guardian" at the VWAP for Bitcoin Futures TodayAfter hitting a session high near 93,970, we saw a healthy retracement. This is where the rubber meets the road. In a weak market, retracements turn into reversals. In a strong market, they are bought.Here is what our volume scanners just detected:The Flush: We saw a sharp dip back toward the session's average price (VWAP) around the 92,800–92,900 zone.The Defense: Precisely at the lows of this dip (specifically around the 03:23 mark), our indicators lit up. We didn't just see "buying"—we saw protective aggression. A specific class of buyer stepped in to defend the floor, absorbing selling pressure instantly.We often refer to this signature as "The Guardian." It confirms that major players are not just watching the market; they are actively defending their entry prices.The Road Ahead for Bitcoin Today and This Week: Battle Lines DrawnWhile the trend remains bullish, the market is currently digesting the recent volatility. We are monitoring a "Battle Zone" that has developed in the last few hours.While "The Guardian" buyers are protecting the 92,800 floor, a pocket of supply has re-emerged near 93,400–93,500. This is the key level to watch.Bullish Scenario: If price can reclaim 93,500, the sellers who entered recently will be trapped, likely triggering another rapid squeeze toward the daily highs.Cautionary Note: The trend remains your friend as long as the price holds above the average weighted price (approx. 92,900). A sustained break below this "Guardian" level would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis.The Bottom Line for Bitcoin Traders and Investors: The underlying structure of the market is stronger than the price chart alone suggests. The absorption we saw on Friday and the defense we are seeing today point to continued institutional accumulation. Ignore the noise, watch the 92,800 defense line, and look for the next squeeze above 93,500.Also from today, you're welcome to check out EURUSD: In the 1st technical analysis of 2026, EURUSD remains under pressure after rejecting the 1.18 resistance, with bears in control as price trades below the anchored VWAP and key downside levels stay in focus.Gold: In the 1st technical analysis of 2026, gold starts the year on a bullish footing after buyers defended the Value Area Low, reclaimed value, and kept upside targets near 4,450–4,489 firmly in playDisclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures involves substantial risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin rises as PwC leans into crypto on US regulatory shiftby Eamonn Sheridan on January 5, 2026 at 3:22 am
Summary:Bitcoin rose as institutional crypto sentiment improvedPwC signalled a strategic shift toward crypto servicesUS regulatory clarity seen as key catalystGENIUS Act boosted confidence in stablecoins and tokenisationBig-firm engagement reinforces long-term adoption narrativeBitcoin extended gains today as signs of deepening institutional engagement in digital assets reinforced confidence that the US regulatory backdrop has shifted decisively in favour of crypto adoption. Adding to the constructive tone, professional services giant PwC signalled a strategic pivot toward the sector, underscoring how regulatory clarity is reshaping risk perceptions across blue-chip institutions.PwC’s US senior partner and chief executive Paul Griggs said the firm will “lean in” to crypto-related work after years of caution, citing recent US legislative and regulatory developments, particularly around stablecoins, as a turning point. Griggs argued that the passage of comprehensive digital-asset rules has increased conviction in crypto as an investable and operational asset class, prompting PwC to expand its auditing, advisory and consulting services for crypto-native firms and traditional corporates alike.Central to the shift is the GENIUS Act, signed into law last year, which established the first clear federal framework for stablecoins pegged to assets such as the US dollar. The legislation set out custody, reserve and disclosure standards and opened the door for banks and large financial institutions to issue their own digital tokens. PwC executives said the move has removed years of regulatory ambiguity that previously kept major firms on the sidelines.The firm also highlighted growing interest among clients in using stablecoins to improve payment efficiency and liquidity management, while pointing to tokenisation as a structural trend that will continue to reshape capital markets. PwC’s decision to be “hyper-engaged” in the crypto ecosystem reflects a broader recalibration underway across professional services, banking and asset management.The regulatory shift has been reinforced by the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance, including the appointment of digital-asset-friendly regulators and a move away from enforcement-led oversight toward formal rulemaking. Under President Donald Trump, the policy environment has become markedly more supportive, encouraging large institutions to reassess earlier concerns around compliance risk, custody and reputational exposure.For Bitcoin, the signal matters. Institutional validation from a Big Four firm like PwC strengthens the narrative that crypto is transitioning from a fringe asset into core financial infrastructure. As regulatory clarity draws in auditors, consultants and payment providers, investors increasingly view Bitcoin as a beneficiary of a maturing ecosystem, a dynamic that helped underpin price. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
- Bitcoin Futures Technical Analysis Todayby Itai Levitan on December 29, 2025 at 6:46 am
Bitcoin Futures Technical Analysis Today: Range Pressure Builds Near 91,000 ResistanceWhen I look at the 30-minute time frame since December 11th, the story has been a step-like transition from a higher pricing zone into a more defined trading range. Price rotated around the mid area near 91,750, close to where the December 12 VWAP closed, and then shifted down into a range whose midpoint is closer to 88,500. We have largely been living inside that 88,500-centered regime since roughly December 14.For the year 2026, major banks predict Bitcoin will reach a six-figure price by 2026 as it moves from a risky experiment to a mainstream investment. This growth is driven by the ease of buying Bitcoin through regular stock accounts and the creation of clearer government rules that make big corporations feel safe investing. Additionally, as banks use Bitcoin's underlying technology to modernize traditional finance, the digital currency is expected to become a permanent and highly valuable fixture in the global economy. Ethereum's technology is also advancing and 2026 should be bullish, IMHO, for ETH, despite the last months' correction. But in today's bitcoin analysis, we are not looking that much ahead, and more looking at a very near resistance. Bitcoin technical analysis video before New Year's: Watch 91k-92kToday's range map for bitcoin futures This is still a range market first, trend market second.Range top resistance: ~91,000 This area matters because it lines up with the December 2 point of control and has acted as a recurring ceiling since December 14.Range floor support: ~85,800 That zone has repeatedly attracted responsive buying.With Bitcoin futures already up roughly 3% to 3.5% on the day, it is not surprising to see sellers leaning into the upper portion of the range again. In ranges, the market often punishes late momentum chasing near the edges.Key bullish pathway for BTCA bullish continuation case requires more than a quick poke above 91,000. The trigger is a sustained acceptance above 91,000, meaning price holds above it and does not snap back into the range.If that happens, the next upside magnets become:91,650: near the December 12 VWAP area92,600: just below the December 12 value area high regionFrom an orderFlow Intel perspective (without getting too granular), the earlier push did show buyer initiative. But the market needs to prove it can keep that initiative once it meets the supply sitting at the range highs.Key bearish pathway for BTCThe bear case is more immediate if the 91,000 area keeps rejecting price and the market fails to hold today’s developing balance.Levels that matter on the way down:90,650: developing point of control for today during this analysis90,100: a key reference tied to the December 12 value area low region89,925: today’s VWAP area89,350 to 89,400: a prior value reference zone88,900: December 25 value area high88,500: December 19 point of control87,875: recent value area low reference (Friday)87,000: broader range breakdown threshold (bigger bearish trigger)Order flow read on bitcoin futures today, so far: controlled weakness, not panicRecent order flow behavior suggests a subtle shift: after an initial burst of buying, upside momentum faded, and it started taking less participation to push price lower than it took to push price higher earlier. That is often an early warning of a bearish drift inside a range.Another important dynamic is that activity near recent lows looks somewhat unresolved. When an auction does not fully complete at a low, the market often revisits that area before a cleaner directional move develops. That creates a natural downside pull even without aggressive selling.tradeCompass-style execution note for a range regimeBecause we are still in a defined range with many nearby levels, traders typically treat targets as partial-profit zones rather than expecting one clean trend leg. If you are trading this as a range, consider taking partial profits into the first one or two targets and tightening risk. After TP2 is reached, move the stop to entry (breakeven) to protect gains and manage the runner. Read more about trading with the tradeCompass principles.Primary bias right nowSlightly bearish while below 91,000, mainly because the range ceiling is still doing its job and the order flow has cooled after the earlier push.This is a decision support tool, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
